Go Back   Sports Handicapping Forum > Welcome Forums > Main Street


Main Street Gambling forums, online sportsbooks, players talk, sports talk, offshore betting, poker, off-topic, etc!

Reply
 
LinkBack Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 03-19-2007, 12:06 PM
Banned
 
Join Date: May 2004
Location: Hamilton, Canada
Posts: 25,040
Rewards: 3
10 Segment Journey/Quest..

Hey guys, this is not what you are thinking. I am sure the first response will be something like good luck on your quest,
or something similar to that. I am looking for honest, truthful, serious opinions. Thanks.

This is my plan.
I would start this in either April (the beginning of the MLB season) or in October (the beginning of the NHL season).
Starting Bankroll: 500$

For the NHL, I would use Pizzaman's NHL UNDER 3/4 - 3/5 - 4/6 system, betting to win 1% of starting bankroll (5$) on every series.
http://www.cappersmall.com/forums/sh...79#post1779979
This system should net anywhere from 70-150 units each season (or 70%, to 150% of bankroll each season).
The least I expect it to profit in a year is 30-50 units (or 30-50%).

For the MLB, I will use a UNDERDOG system that I used last year, and that profited 43.5 units last year, and 35.2 units the year prior.
For every play I will wager 2% of starting bankroll, so last two years I would profit 87% and 70.4%.
This system should net anywhere between 30-50 units each season (or 60-100% of bankroll each season)
The least I expect to profit in a year is 15-20 units (or 30-40%).

On top of this, this is what I am going to do. Since I still wan't to bet and handicap games to my liking. Every Sunday/Monday, I will choose
a game that will be on my TV the following weekend (Saturday + Sunday). I will ONLY follow these teams and their games through out the week
or in NFL, practices and information that comes out about them. I will keep notes about the teams etc. and cap the game to the fullest, with an in-depth
write-up and everything. I will then choose the side or total that I like for the game, and bet 5% of starting bankroll on the game. Then do the same for the
next week. I will do this all 52 weeks, and believe I can win 29+ out of the 52 weeks. 56% +.
If I go 30-22, I will be up 5.8 units/ 29% of bankroll on the year.


Now for my plan. I am going to use these two systems, and my play of the week. Once I have won the amount starting bankroll (500$ in this case) no matter if it
takes two months or two years, I now, add that 500$ to my starting 500$ to make a Starting bankroll of 1,000$, and start over.
So my NHL 1% bets, would now be 10$, and MLB 2% bets 20$, and own play of the week would be 50$. I continue until i've won 1000$ and then start over, with a
2000$ starting bankroll. I continue to do this for 10 segments.

I have broken it down into 10 segments.
1- 500$
2- 1,000$
3- 2,000$
4- 4,000$
5- 8,000$
6- 16,000$
7- 32,000$
8- 64,000$
9- 128,000$
10, 256,000$

After 10 segments of sucessfully doing this, I would now be up a grand total of 512, 000$.
Worst case scenario, system or own plays have an ABSOLUTELY dreadful year, in which I lose everything.
If this happens, really I am only losing 500$, and this could be over a 15 year span, which isn't really a bad ratio compared to the general public and how much they lose
per year. Best case scenario, win 512,000$, use it for Vegas and family, and future.

If the systems stay on target of how they have done the past few years, these 10 segments could take as little as 5 years to reach the final goal.
But, I know there WILL be down years, the reason why the % I will bet on each game is so low, because it will take a whole of a lot to make the plan go bankrupt.
Realistically, I could see this possibly taking 10-15 years to accomplish, but I am young and it would be WELL WORTH it. Even if it doesn't work, will still be a fun journey, and
I will learn alot about myself and gambling from it, I am sure.

After segment 6, I would probably have to find a differnet method of betting the plays, possibly @ vegas or calling in through pinnacle or a book with large limits. Defiantly would
take lots of the money until I really need it with the systems, incase something happens.

I am sure I left out a bunch of shit, but I will add stuff as I remember it.
What are your guys thoughts, and in-take on this?

Thanks
PittViper
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 03-19-2007, 12:09 PM
Banned
 
Join Date: May 2004
Location: Hamilton, Canada
Posts: 25,040
Rewards: 3
The way I look at it, each system/ my own plays, the worst I see happening in a year, combined is winning 50% of bankroll, which is fine.

Best possible scenario... Well in the past 2 years doing this, without my own plays, we would have already completed almost four segments.. which is crazy, and is crazy to expect it each year. But it will/should happen some years..
PV
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 03-19-2007, 12:11 PM
the straightshooter
 
Join Date: Aug 2004
Location: an onrushing tram, on collision course
Posts: 46,803
Rewards: 842
who in the hell is gonna read all that
__________________
The only bridge I've ever burned along this legacy I dance is the one that linked the cities of prosperity and chance

Check out Technicapping for quantitative sport analysis
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 03-19-2007, 12:12 PM
Banned
 
Join Date: May 2004
Location: Hamilton, Canada
Posts: 25,040
Rewards: 3
Quote:
Originally Posted by Romanowski
who in the hell is gonna read all that
lol..
Just looking for opinions and thoughts, I am sure some people will read it. It is really not that long of a read, lots of filler you can skim over..
PV
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 03-19-2007, 12:20 PM
All Day
 
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: Toronto
Posts: 4,050
Rewards: 121
Are these systems flawless?

Ive been seeing a lot of Serie losses in the hockey one.
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 03-19-2007, 12:24 PM
Banned
 
Join Date: May 2004
Location: Hamilton, Canada
Posts: 25,040
Rewards: 3
Quote:
Originally Posted by nickwadden
Are these systems flawless?

Ive been seeing a lot of Serie losses in the hockey one.
No they are not flawless...

THE NHL system I am sure will have a season in which we lose say 20-30 units (20-30%), but, the big winning seasons will make up for the time.
THE MLB system, might have losing seasons, but it is betting on ONLY underdogs, so at worse it should come out even... Has profited the past 3 years by 30+ units I know that, only have the numbers for past 2 years, but supposively 3 years ago it profited about 50 units (100%)..

My capping might have down seasons also, but i'm pretty sharp..
If I feel that I can get a grip of the games or the sports, i'll pack it up, and let the systems take over for a while.
PV
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 03-19-2007, 12:25 PM
Banned
 
Join Date: May 2004
Location: Hamilton, Canada
Posts: 25,040
Rewards: 3
Quote:
Originally Posted by nickwadden
Are these systems flawless?

Ive been seeing a lot of Serie losses in the hockey one.
This is for the UNDER system, not the 5-D system I posted, which is still up money, but requires a much larger bankroll.
The under system is up 80 units this year, won 130 or so last year, and like 30 the year b4.
PV
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 03-19-2007, 12:42 PM
Hoods
 
Join Date: Oct 2005
Location: AZ
Posts: 12,327
Rewards: 1,060
No shot, gl.
__________________
I'd rather be a free man in my grave than living like a puppet or a slave- Jimmy Cliff
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old 03-19-2007, 01:01 PM
Banned
 
Join Date: May 2004
Location: Hamilton, Canada
Posts: 25,040
Rewards: 3
Quote:
Originally Posted by jonnyblaze
No shot, gl.
thanks, but how come you think theres no chances... Odds are against me yes, but I feel with patience, it is possible.
PV
Reply With Quote
  #10  
Old 03-19-2007, 01:02 PM
the straightshooter
 
Join Date: Aug 2004
Location: an onrushing tram, on collision course
Posts: 46,803
Rewards: 842
the truth is pittviper that if you now your outcome beforehand you will find a way

but it might take you longer
__________________
The only bridge I've ever burned along this legacy I dance is the one that linked the cities of prosperity and chance

Check out Technicapping for quantitative sport analysis
Reply With Quote
  #11  
Old 03-19-2007, 01:05 PM
Registered User
 
Join Date: Jan 2006
Location: Harrah's Chester
Posts: 4,221
Rewards: 28
I would quit at +$5 profit and by myself a sandwich
Reply With Quote
  #12  
Old 03-19-2007, 01:08 PM
Banned
 
Join Date: May 2004
Location: Hamilton, Canada
Posts: 25,040
Rewards: 3
Quote:
Originally Posted by Romanowski
the truth is pittviper that if you now your outcome beforehand you will find a way

but it might take you longer
Ya... I know that there will be ups and downs, and that this could take 20 years... but I have confidence that with patience, and money management. I could eventually reach my goal. Which would make it all worthwhile.

PV
Reply With Quote
  #13  
Old 03-19-2007, 01:12 PM
the straightshooter
 
Join Date: Aug 2004
Location: an onrushing tram, on collision course
Posts: 46,803
Rewards: 842
20 yr bump would make u feel reeal proper like
__________________
The only bridge I've ever burned along this legacy I dance is the one that linked the cities of prosperity and chance

Check out Technicapping for quantitative sport analysis
Reply With Quote
  #14  
Old 03-19-2007, 01:13 PM
Lifetime Moderator
 
Join Date: Jan 2003
Location: Cleveland
Posts: 12,367
Rewards: 1,950
You'll have much more satisfaction taking that $500, paying a visit to your local establishment, and making it rain on dem hoes for 10 seconds.

GL with your attempt to increase you bankroll 1024 times over.
Reply With Quote
  #15  
Old 03-19-2007, 01:23 PM
Banned
 
Join Date: May 2004
Location: Hamilton, Canada
Posts: 25,040
Rewards: 3
Quote:
Originally Posted by domafia
You'll have much more satisfaction taking that $500, paying a visit to your local establishment, and making it rain on dem hoes for 10 seconds.

GL with your attempt to increase you bankroll 1024 times over.
It's a longshot, but at the same time, very doable..

The risk vs. return is minimal, so I think that it's worth it. Even if it doesn't pan out, it keeps me busy for the next 10 years or so, while still being able to gamble, but without it taking over my life, like it is doing now.. lol
Only 10 minutes of work per day for the system, and as much time as I wan't for the capping of the weekend game..
PV
Reply With Quote
Reply

Bookmarks

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Trackbacks are On
Pingbacks are On
Refbacks are On



All times are GMT -5. The time now is 05:18 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.7
Copyright ©2000 - 2012, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.