Best Angle For Each NFL Team :

[Kramer]

By Dr.V :

You can debate the validaty of angle , but you can't dispute the numbers below.
I tend to beleive the simpler the angle , the more likely it is
to be valid .
All angles below meet that criteria and only have 1-3 parameters .
This is using dfata going back to 1996 ( 20 years) .

When you add up all the angles below , you'll come up with an astounding
643-209-21 ats record.!!!
That's 75.4% Folks and + 414 units.

You can start tracking these in the 2nd week of the NFL

ARIZONA :
Play with Arizona at home "after" losing 3 straight s/u .
They tend to get turned around at home and cover .
Playing this angle is 14-4 , 77.8% +10 units .

ATLANTA :
Play the over after a game they lose ats and go under .
The Falcons tend to bounce back after a poor low performance
The over is 15-4 or 78.9% , + 11 units .

BALTIMORE :
Go with Baltimore on the road following a home ATS loss .
They're resting at home and fired up after a game they were beaten badly or
underperformed .
Playing Baltimore is 14-3-1 , 82.4 % , + 14 units .

BUFFALO :
Play against as an underdog after winning ATS.
Sounds simple but they have momentum from prior week ,
and do well getting the points .
Playing the Bills here is 26-11-1, 70.3% ,+14 units .

CAROLINA :
Play the under at home after winning ATS .
They've been controlling the game tempo , and favors low scoring game.
The under here for Panthers is 15-4-1 , 78.9% + 11 units.

CHICAGO :
Play the under after a Bearss under and ATS loss.
They're on the wrong roll here and have trouble scoring.
The under is 28-10-1 , 73.7% + 17 units.

CINCINNATI :
Play the over as a home dog after losing SU and going under.
Vegas tends to set toal too low and Bengals bounce back .
The over is 14-3 , 82.4% , + 11 units.

CLEVELAND :
Go against when they've lost and gone over in prior 2 games.
The Browns are trying hard but still losing.
The over is often other team putting up big numbers.
Going against here is 18-10 ATS
since 1996 ,18-10 ats + 7 units.

DALLAS :
Go against when favored this week after a home win last week .
You pay a premium when Dallas starts to play well
and they usually don't rise to the occasion.
Playing against them here is 25-7-2 or 73.5% + 15 units.

[Romanowski]

Originally Posted by Kramer

This is using dfata going back to 1996 ( 20 years) .

thanks tho kramer, looks good

[jaypasco]

your a trend guy krammaer and i dont fault you for it

[Kramer]

Originally Posted by Romanowski

thanks tho kramer, looks good

lol typo , happens ...

[Kramer]

Originally Posted by jaypasco

your a trend guy krammaer and i dont fault you for it

St. Louis is 5-21 ats when allowing 125-150 yds rushing ,
since 1996 and 4-11 ats in Sept Games L5 yrs ...

While Denver Last 5 years is 9-1 ats when outgain opp
by 1-1.5 yds per gm.
and 9-3 ats vs poor passing def
how's St.L. D looking up from # 30?

got you thinking now?

[Kramer]

DENVER :
Play the over when Denver is favored after winning
2 games ATS . They're producing and on a role and vegas lines can't catch up quick enough .

The over is 25-9 , 73.5% + 15 units.

DETROIT :
Go against when they are on the road follow a home win.
Going against is a nice 21-9 -1 ATS , 70% + 11 units .

GREEN BAY :

Play against after losing a home game and are playing the current
week as a favorite .
Public thinks they'll bounce back but they usually just fall flat .
Going against is 18-4-1 81.8% ! + 14 units .

HOUSTON :

Go with Houston following two s/u losses.
The Texans tend to adjust enough to get past the lopsided pointspread even
without a win.

Going with Houston is 18-7-1 , 72% + 10 units.

INDIANAPOLIS :

Play the over when Indy is an underdog after a home game.
A well rested team with lots of offense puts up big numbers.
The over is 27-9-1 , 75% + 17 units.

JACKSONVILLE :

Play the under following 2 Jacksonville overs.
Eventually the vegas line catches up and for Jags it seems to happen
after 2 games.
Playing the under is 22-8-1 73.3% , +13 units.

KANSAS CITY -

Play the under when KC is favored after going over on the road.
Another example of jumping the gun setting the line too high.
Going under is 21-7-75% + 13 units.

MIAMI :

Play the under after the Dolphins are an underdog following a home loss.
Miami is playing under expectations .

The under is 20-5-1 80% + 14 units.

MINNESOTA :

Play with the Vikings following a road game they won both S/U and ATS.
They have momentum after a big road win .
Playing the Vikings here is 21-7 ATS , 75% , + 13 units.

[Dr. Jack]

thanks Kramer