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#1
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Can you overhandicap?
I feel like lately i have been over handicapping games and it's been hurting me. I feel as though I am having an information overload instead of just picking winners.
Does anyone else think can happen or has happened to them?
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#2
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Quote:
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Someone said: "Skippy, sports is NOT your niche" Skippy says: "Fade me if you dare" http://cappersmall.com/forums/showpo...3&postcount=45 http://cappersmall.com/forums/showpo...7&postcount=20 (new) Contest Wins: SPORTS Cappers Mall Monthly POD EQUINE BETJM Weekly Horse Racing Challenge HOOPS BETJM Monthly Hoops Challenge (TWICE) HOOPS Cappers Mall Monthly BBall (THRICE) HOOPS 1st to 100 units Best Bets Record: Dec.: 3-0-0 (W3) Nov.: 2-2-0 (L1) MLB Record (all 1 unit plays for $1): April '06: 7-5-1 (+2.16) Double or Nothing record: Risks: One unit per day Days: 2 (1-1) >>> Units: +11 |
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#3
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Yanks, I definitely think you can over-cap. I know I've done it so much. I usually just take a break, when I think I've been doing that.
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NFL ATS Streak System (after 3 weeks) Won 2: 7-3 (70%) Won 3: 1-1-1 (50%) Won 4: 1-0 (100%) Won 5: 1-0 (100%) Lost 2: 4-2 (67%) Lost 3: 1-2 (33%) Lost 4: 1-0 (100%) Lost 5: 1-0 (100%) Overall: 17-8-1 (68%) NFL ATS/Public System (after 3 weeks) 5-3 (63%) NCAAFB Public System (after 1 week) 60% - 69% - 10-11-1 (48%) 70% - 79% - 10-4 (71%) <---- Good early trend 80% - 99% - 0-2 (0%) Overall: 20-17-1 (54%) |
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#4
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Yes u can. Remember every bet u place has pros and cons, there is no bet without cons, if u analysed to death every bet u would never place one lol. Bottom line stick to the capping methods that u have found best to work for you. If it ain't broke don't fix it. If something isn't woking back off and refine.
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CM Posted 2003 till 2012 records (updated daily) : NHL : +161 (units) NFL : +3 MLB : +53 NBA : -20 WNBA : +23 Aussie NBL Hoops : +96 Cricket : +69 Golf : -5 Rugby union and rugby league : +126 Soccer : -5 Netball : +8 AFL (Aussie Rules) : +71 Total : +580 units 1 unit or less = small bet, 1-3 = medium, 3+ = large Cappersmall Hall of Fame 2008 |
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#5
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yankee. earlier in the year I was totally doing that. I have a very close friend of mine that is a local in Florida. his plain advice to me was to stop trying to play my own games (or to many games) and just fade majority, the public and horrible cappers.
Since he told me that I have been up big! I still look, still debate to myself, but leave it in the hands of the capper gods on who I will take. The only sports I do all my own researching is college hoops, but I suck in football and just recently in this forum was -20 units and now +12 I believe I think the problem is that alot of us want to pick OUR OWN WINNERS, and think we can win, but more times than not its not going to happen. just my 2 cents
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NBA 53-38 ( +13.3 units ) ![]() TENNIS 45-21 ( +17.31 ) units ) ![]() NHL 52-46-2 ( -6.68 units YTD ) ![]() WNBA 1-0 ( +2 units ) CBB 300-265-11 ( +16.55 units ) ![]() MLB 74-79-2 ( -20.80 units )
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#6
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I used to do a lot better before the Internet. Now I think there is too much information available which makes it more difficult to cap games.
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#7
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not sure u can over cap but sometimes u have to determine what is of importance and what is crap when capping
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#8
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Quote:
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Pura Vida! |
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#9
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when I start to overanalyze a bet I just screw up my courage, say f#ck it.....and don't bet it.
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records deleted due to incompetence. |
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