Centrebet betting news March 16-19

[dave nz]

MARCH 19, 2009

QLD ELECTION


· A further $10,000.00 in bets have arrived in steady trade on the Qld election today!


· The money has gone both ways, although bet numbers have run 3:2 the LNP’s way in the last 24 hours!


· Labor, while still a well-backed favourite, has eased out today from $1.42 to $1.47, with the constant small-middle bets for LNP who have shortened from $2.80 into $2.70, and the release of disturbing internal polling!


· Around 100 bets have arrived in the last 24 hours, with LNP commanding 65 per cent of that money wagered!


· Overall Labor still holds 65 per cent of the book, and 13 of the 15 biggest bets!

MAR 18, 2009


QLD VOTES: Big Labor punters still stalling LNP momentum!

Despite enjoying its best betting momentum in six months with leading Bookmaker.com/?cmpid=4437" target="_blank">Bookmaker Centrebet – firming back in from $3.20 to $2.80 – the Liberal-National Opposition is still being wiped by specialist election punters continuing to back the government to retain power in Saturday’s crucial Qld State election!

Centrebet media chief and political analyst Neil Evans said the Labor government still owned nearly all of the biggest bets placed, although the LNP support from smaller and middle ground “speculative” punters meant that actual bet numbers – totalling nearly 800 – were running neck-and-neck!

“There’s no doubt punters around the land believe the LNP - in accordance with the latest opinion polls - are over the odds, but we have taken regular bets of between $10,000.00 and $15,000.00 on the ALP, and a whole stack of business from $2,000.00 up to $10,000.00,” Evans said.

“One punter who has an outstanding election record has backed Labor four times shelling out around $13,000.00 at prices between $1.53 and $1.36! The bigger, smarter money suggests Labor will hang on, although there’s no doubt the LNP will claw back plenty of ground, but the state-wide swing required is substantial!”

Nearly $200,000.00 has been traded on the Qld election, with Evans predicting another $200,000.00 will arrive in the last 48 hours of trading before the book shuts Saturday morning.

“At the moment, Labor holds 70 per cent of all monies staked, although a lot of that came in the week after polling day was announced. Since then, Premier Anna Bligh’s once pedastalled personal approval rating has taken some big hits both financially through a downgrading of the state’s credit rating and environmentally through the damaging oil spill, and for that reason there’s no doubt the LNP will continue to shorten up and attract plenty of business!

“But you must keep in mind, redistributed seats favour Labor, and the LNP doesn’t have a lot of personal community power across its candidate list!”

In the high-profile seat of Beaudesert, the LNP’s Aidian McLindon remains a well-backed $1.40 favourite, although the “smokey” in the seat is popular Independent Keith Gee who has been backed from a $41.00 outsider in to $9.00! Punters so far are not interested in Pauline Hanson at $6.50.

MAR 17, 2009

CENTREBET COUNTDOWN: CATS $1.45 TO SMASH HAWKS, AS TOP 2 CLEAR OUT! ABLETT & JUDD BROWNLOW SHOWDOWN!

Punters have declared the latest September showdown in AFL football is a mere formality, with NAB Cup winner Geelong ripe to regain premiership glory from Hawthorn who have almost lost sight of the Cats’ tail in money bet!

Stunningly, nearly $50,000.00 has been wagered with Centrebet on Geelong to win back the AFL crown, from an opening $3.40 late last year into the current quote of $2.80! The Bookmaker.com/?cmpid=4437" target="_blank">bookmaker’s media chief Neil Evans said one professional punter staked $15,000.00 at $3.35!

“Virtually, by comparison, just 20 per cent of that total has come for the Hawks to go back-to-back, but never in AFL history have two teams cleared out so much before a ball is kicked,” Evans said.

In round one betting, Geelong is a “hot” $1.45 to avenge last year’s GF loss to Hawthorn ($2.70), but the best early support has come for rejuvenated Richmond at $2.20, with key Carlton possession-getter Nick Stevens rubbed out for the opening match.

Evans said despite blowing in premiership betting from $26.00 to $31.00, under-achieving Fremantle is a $1.75 fancy at home to repel the Western Bulldogs ($2.05) who are now out to $15.00 to win the flag!

And punters are declaring a two-man war for this year’s Brownlow Medal! Fit-again Carlton midfield general Chris Judd and the Cats perennial medal place-getter Gary Ablett have both commanded scores of bets and several thousand each as they put a gap on their challengers well before the season-proper starts!

“Judd took the early money and from an opening $13.00 shortened to $9.00. But Ablett has powered back in from $10.00 to $7.00 – and Hawthorn’s Lance Franklin ($13.00) is the only other player in the competition under 20/1! In fact, the next best-backed player on Centrebet is Tigers’ bad boy Ben Cousins who has shortened from $34.00 into $26.00. Every other player is a massive drifter.”

RABBITOHS $1.70 TO BEAT EELS, AS ROOSTERS BLOW TO $34.00 & $2.30 OUTSIDER TO THE RAIDERS!




· Heavily backed on Centrebet to make the NRL top eight in what appeared to many punters a luxury price of $4.50, South Sydney have now opened a $1.70 favourite with the bookmaker to beat Parramatta in round 2, despite the Eels being shorter in the outright premiership market!


Centrebet media chief Neil Evans said nearly $20,000.00 in bets arrived for the Rabbitohs at $4.50 (opened $5.00) in and around their barn-storming opening to the season against arch-rival Roosters, forcing their top eight price in to $4.25!


The Rabbitohs have shortened from $41.00 into $26.00 to claim the NRL title, but Parramatta - $21.00 in premiership betting – are the early $2.15 outsider against Souths at home!


“No-one wants $12.00 yet about Souths making the four, but scores of punters steamed in to what they saw ($4.50) was a luxury price for the club to make the play-offs,” Evans said. “One punter had nearly $5,000.00 at $4.50!”


In other opening markets for round 2 on Centrebet, the Broncos are $1.60 to avenge last year’s heart-breaking finals loss to Melbourne ($2.30), while Canberra has opened its shortest price in years against a higher-ranked side - $1.60 at home against the Roosters ($2.30)! “I can’t remember the last time the Chooks were $2.30 against the Raiders! Brad Fittler’s side has paid for that awful first-up showing against the Rabbits!”


But Manly – despite the strife and first round embarrassment against the Bulldogs – is tipped to hit back at home, quoted $1.53 against the NZ Warriors ($2.50)!

MARCH 16, 2009

Wests Tigers charge into $1.48 on Centrebet to win tonight!!



Punters with bookmaker Centrebet are starting to plunge on the Wests Tigers to win tonight’s opening NRL Monday clash, firming them up from $1.53 into $1.48!


Centrebet’s Neil Evans said nearly $50,000.00 had been wagered, with the Tigers commanding nearly 80 per cent of all monies, with a lot of confidence around the home side successfully giving up the start!


“The biggest bets have been at the – 4.5 Line, which has shortened from $1.91 into $1.86,” Evans said. “One punter has had nearly $20,000.00 on Wests Tigers giving up 4.5 start at $1.91, while another had just over $7,000.00 at the same price!


Evans said outright punters included one who has wagered $7,500.00 at $1.52!


Punters have opened the NRL season on a strong note and most are trying to capitalise on a lucrative weekend. Outside of the favourites, both the Bulldogs and the Rabbitohs were very well backed outsiders on Centrebet!