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#1
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Do sportsbooks "get greedy"
I have thought about this time and time again... So I will ask here...
Do the sportsbooks/Bookmaker "get greedy" They want even money... they also need to protect themselves against sharp money as well. My point/question is... on a game like the colts/jags tonight you would have to anticipate your going to get more $ on the colts at -3 even if you expected major sharp $ to hit the jags right ? Personally don't believe they could have possibly had even money here tonight. Now even if you do not agree with what I am saying for tonights game ( colts/jags ) this could be applied to other games over the years as well... games were you know there will be lopsided action on one side... yet the line is low. Now MOST of the time there are sides the "public" just doesn't catch up on perception/matchup problems etc etc. then they think the line is shady... but really its not and they are just missing the point.. in these cases I think they are most likely ready to balance the action in an attempt to get near 50/50 knowing some will "get it" while others missed. Then there are times ( like tonight IMO ) where u are just not going to get even money yet still hold the line very low... and look the jags gave em a hell of a game. I personally believe there are games like tonight they take chances on figuring they can win enough of the lopsided action games to come out ahead....I didn't bet this game, but if my theory is right it has cost me some change over the years.. I doubt I am typing really clear at this point, but maybe someone knows what I am saying... FYI I am not saying ANYTHING about people just thinking about trap lines all the time.. fading public etc etc I am talking about a few games here or there that they actually "get greedy" on and shave points away from themselves to try and increase their rake they could have EASILY made tonights game colts -4 - -6 and still got more $ on colts IMO any thoughts ? that is if i am making any sense for anyone to respond ( again really not talking about the same thing as the public fading and going against every line you "think" is a "trap" |
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#2
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everybody gets greedy where money involved
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#3
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of course some books take a position...but not all
its generally the books that set lines, pinnacle, thegreek, Bookmaker, betphoenix not the books that copy those lines and even then not all the time
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The only bridge I've ever burned along this legacy I dance is the one that linked the cities of prosperity and chance Check out Technicapping for quantitative sport analysis Last edited by Romanowski; 12-18-2009 at 11:29 AM. |
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#4
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-3 @ -135 kept me from betting - leaned Colts, but didn't like the juice...
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Where'd who go!?! (Hollywood - Top Gun) F Tom Hicks |
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#5
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sportsbooks are greedy
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#6
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Fukers
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