How can you use Line moves and %'s to cap games?

[goterps74]

For the record. Pittsnogle averages 19 points, 6 rebs and shoots 85% from the FT line..

[upinya83]

Originally Posted by goterps74

For the record. Pittsnogle averages 19 points, 6 rebs and shoots 85% from the FT line..

And couldn't defend ME if his life depended on it......

[sesh]

Originally Posted by iggs111

ok well this is just an example....but lets say the lakers are playing the mavericks and the line opens up at Dallas -4....and you see 64% on the lakers and the line moves favoring Dalls by 6....in my eyes this is the book baiting bettors onto the lakers....if 64 were already on em why would the books bump the line up to 6...they are attracting more laker money and most of the time the mavericks will get the cover....for example tonight the clippers opened at 7 but with the public pounding them they went down to 6.5...strange if everyone was jumping on em.....bulls won str8 up....over unders can be a little tougher but I always watch line movements in nba totals.....books are usually very dead on with there totals...and I follow the action that is coming in along with the movement...hope this helps...any other questions let me know

I've been having a lot of luck with this strategy lately, Kansas State was an example from NCAA today, 69% of Kansas State, they were favoured by 2 and then it moved to 1. I think the books have a lot more info/room for manipulation on the college games than they do the nba.

[KALIND]

i love to see a line move 3 or more points on my totals plays. i usuallywill follow the move accordidng to where %'s lay. at a move of 2.5 i will fade. its crazy but i have set rules for my totals plays. with totals it doesnt matter where you see money and %'s at unless its a 10/90 cut o/u then its fade time but people dont play totals as much as sides so there is considerably more action for sides players and %;s mean more as well as line mvmt. i myself play almost exclusively totals, i would say 95% of my plays involve totals whether i post or not. be careful annd track situations. for one i notice 5.5-6.5 pt hm dawgs have done well lately and ind was a play today although i didnt post it. goodpickings and use each season as a guide. take notes on mvmts and find the perfect situation to use refernces when you catch them.

[pats3peat]

where do you guys find your %'s i know of one site but its not accurate as it only shows its own sportsbooks %

[KALIND]

Originally Posted by pats3peat

where do you guys find your %'s i know of one site but its not accurate as it only shows its own sportsbooks %

most times you dont need the %'s fromthe places that do post their numbers. if you scroll thru different forums and see people loaded up on a team you wil see what the books see. its a few out there but if i told ya where i would have to kidnap jack and his crew

[sportsfan]

the only one I know of is sports insights, it has been working wonders for me with nba sides. I would love to know of some others though.

[Joe D]

Originally Posted by KALIND

most times you dont need the %'s fromthe places that do post their numbers. if you scroll thru different forums and see people loaded up on a team you wil see what the books see. its a few out there but if i told ya where i would have to kidnap jack and his crew

Example #1: National Championship game - USC

Example #2: Super Bowl - Seattle

Example #3: Illinois @ Wisconsin - Wisconsin

[sesh]

Originally Posted by sportsfan

the only one I know of is sports insights, it has been working wonders for me with nba sides. I would love to know of some others though.

I find sports insights to be the best, I use wagerline also which gives the details of each line move and the # of bets at each change, and sportsbook.com has one also

[ronaldn]

Originally Posted by sesh

I find sports insights to be the best, I use wagerline also which gives the details of each line move and the # of bets at each change, and sportsbook.com has one also

If a sportsbook is providing you with that information doesnt that tell you something?

[sportsfan]

Cool, wagerline looks like a cool tool. And yes, that is odd that sportsbook tells you betting %'s right on their website. I guess they just assume most people don't know how to use this info to their advantage and they are probobly right.

[Yankee23]

Just remember those sites might show the # of bets made but not the amount of $$$ that is wagered. So tread lightly.

[The Judge]

Originally Posted by leafs

Then there are some of us who really don't watch those moves or %'s...now that dosen't mean I don't take a peak at movement, but when I cap a game and my #'s show me that A will beat B, and I'm confident in my capping abilities, then line movement and %'s don't really matter anymore cuz I have to believe in my work or I gotta be changing my approach...or just not gamble...LOL
If you do the homework then most often then not you will find that you are on the right side of the lines

[Caveman]

Originally Posted by Yankee23

Just remember those sites might show the # of bets made but not the amount of $$$ that is wagered. So tread lightly.

sorry if I interfere in this discussion, wanted only to mention there is a site mostly used by european betters, which shows also money flow and exact amount of cash on 1 event:

..... --> search particular event at left side --> click on what you want to bet (ML/Spread etc) ---> click on team name --> second windows opens and shows all cash flow...

[rmaciasl]

On Late Games This Works , Go Against The Publick On The Late Game!