NCAA Hoops Capping 101

[Dr. Jack]

NCAA Hoops Capping 101

By

Tony George


Well boys and girls it is finally here, NCAA Conference Hoops Action has taken wing. The opportunity now lies in those conference games. Duke in the ACC, Kansas and Oklahoma in the Big 12, Indiana and Michigan State in the Big 10, Georgia and Alabama along with Florida and Kentucky in the SEC, and throw in Creighton and Southern Illinois in the Mo Valley, along with Oregon and Arizona in the Pac 10. Big time hoops huh? Tons of winners await you right? WRONG, big time losers!


What do I mean you ask? Simple answers for sports bettors, time to do your homework, or make sure your selected sports service is doing theirs. The money in Vegas and offshore mainly goes on the above teams, and host of them in the Big East I did not mention. The lines are sharp now that Oddsmakers have plenty of information to base lines on, but once again the Oddsmakers also know who the public likes to bet, and it is not the small conferences, and THAT is where the value lies; following closely the smaller conferences in College Basketball.


I would say that 95% of the money stays out of the Colonial, Atlantic 10, Mid-Continent, Ohio Valley, Sun Belt and Patriot Conferences to name a few of them. I am right in the thick of it and have my contacts and sports writers lined up for a feast in 2003 in these small conferences. A win is a win last time I checked, and just because it is not a game with a large national media frenzy surrounding it, it still counts in the books as a win at the end of the day.


One tip I can give you in these small conference games is the home/road dichotomy involved in these games. Home teams win more than they don’t, even the weak sisters against the powerhouse teams. Check it out for yourself. The ATS cover rate at home for favorites are over 60%, and the home underdogs are even higher over the last few years. Anyone see an opportunity here?


Concentrate on what makes you money, not what is on TV, or is the most popular team in the land, and your bankroll will reflect this discipline greatly in 2003.

[celtics72]

This is definitely something to keep an eye on. I made the mistake yesterday of betting several games where I felt the numbers were off, but did not take into consideration that many of the picks were road favs. DUMB---many of them lost straight up, including Hawaii, who was a 12 pt fav and rated out at -17, but home court is bigger then the 4 points they give it in most ratings systems. celtics72