Nfl 2006 Results : ...

[Kramer]

2006 After week 16 :

Line ATS ATS % OU O % SU SU %
As Home All Lines 117-117-6 50% 117-114-650.6% 129-111-053.8%
PK to 2.5 20-22-0 47.6% 21-19-0 52.5% 20-22-0 47.6%
3 to 6.5 58-66-5 46.8% 64-60-4 51.6% 57-72-0 44.2%
7 to 9.5 26-12-1 68.4% 16-22-1 42.1% 28-11-0 71.8%
10 to 13.512-15-0 44.4% 15-11-1 57.7% 21-6-0 77.8%
14 to 16.51-1-0 50% 1-1-0 50% 2-0-0 100%
17 to 19.50-1-0 0% 0-1-0 0% 1-0-0 100%

As Away All Lines 117-117-650% 117-114-650.6% 111-129-046.3%
PK to 2.5 22-20-0 52.4% 21-19-0 52.5% 22-20-0 52.4%
3 to 6.5 66-58-5 53.2% 64-60-4 51.6% 72-57-0 55.8%
7 to 9.5 12-26-1 31.6% 16-22-1 42.1% 11-28-0 28.2%
10 to 13.515-12-0 55.6% 15-11-1 57.7% 6-21-0 22.2%
14 to 16.51-1-0 50% 1-1-0 50% 0-2-0 0%
17 to 19.51-0-0 100% 0-1-0 0% 0-1-0 0%

As FavoriteAll Lines100-134-642.7% 117-114-650.6% 138-102-057.5%
PK to 2.5 18-24-0 42.9% 21-19-0 52.5% 18-24-0 42.9%
3 to 6.5 49-75-5 39.5% 64-60-4 51.6% 66-63-0 51.2%
7 to 9.5 20-18-1 52.6% 16-22-1 42.1% 28-11-0 71.8%
10 to 13.512-15-0 44.4% 15-11-1 57.7% 23-4-0 85.2%
14 to 16.51-1-0 50% 1-1-0 50% 2-0-0 100%
17 to 19.50-1-0 0% 0-1-0 0% 1-0-0 100%

As Dog All Lines 134-100-657.3% 117-114-650.6% 102-138-042.5%
PK to 2.5 24-18-0 57.1% 21-19-0 52.5% 24-18-0 57.1%
3 to 6.5 75-49-5 60.5% 64-60-4 51.6% 63-66-0 48.8%
7 to 9.5 18-20-1 47.4% 16-22-1 42.1% 11-28-0 28.2%
10 to 13.515-12-0 55.6% 15-11-1 57.7% 4-23-0 14.8%
14 to 16.51-1-0 50% 1-1-0 50% 0-2-0 0%
17 to 19.51-0-0 100% 0-1-0 0% 0-1-0 0%

As Home FavAll Lines69-86-244.5% 81-70-4 53.6% 92-65-0 58.6%
PK to 2.5 9-13-0 40.9% 12-9-0 57.1% 9-13-0 40.9%
3 to 6.5 29-46-1 38.7% 43-30-2 58.9% 35-41-0 46.1%
7 to 9.5 19-11-1 63.3% 12-18-1 40% 24-7-0 77.4%
10 to 13.511-14-0 44% 13-11-1 54.2% 21-4-0 84%
14 to 16.51-1-0 50% 1-1-0 50% 2-0-0 100%
17 to 19.50-1-0 0% 0-1-0 0% 1-0-0 100%

As Home DogAll Lines48-31-460.8% 36-44-2 45% 37-46-0 44.6%
PK to 2.5 11-9-0 55% 9-10-0 47.4% 11-9-0 55%
3 to 6.5 29-20-4 59.2% 21-30-2 41.2% 22-31-0 41.5%
7 to 9.5 7-1-0 87.5% 4-4-0 50% 4-4-0 50%
10 to 13.51-1-0 50% 2-0-0 100% 0-2-0 0%

As Away FavAll Lines31-48-439.2% 36-44-2 45% 46-37-0 55.4%
PK to 2.5 9-11-0 45% 9-10-0 47.4% 9-11-0 45%
3 to 6.5 20-29-4 40.8% 21-30-2 41.2% 31-22-0 58.5%
7 to 9.5 1-7-0 12.5% 4-4-0 50% 4-4-0 50%
10 to 13.51-1-0 50% 2-0-0 100% 2-0-0 100%

As Away DogAll Lines86-69-255.5% 81-70-4 53.6% 65-92-0 41.4%
PK to 2.5 13-9-0 59.1% 12-9-0 57.1% 13-9-0 59.1%
3 to 6.5 46-29-1 61.3% 43-30-2 58.9% 41-35-0 53.9%
7 to 9.5 11-19-1 36.7% 12-18-1 40% 7-24-0 22.6%
10 to 13.514-11-0 56% 13-11-1 54.2% 4-21-0 16%
14 to 16.51-1-0 50% 1-1-0 50% 0-2-0 0%
17 to 19.5 1-0-0 100% 0-1-0 0% 0-1-0 0%


I ignored week 17 since teams rest players,
you can insert your own calculations if you wish
Summary :
1) every year you will hear these statements :
The bookies got hit this week !(i..e. If 12/16 favs Cover)
Well a bookie doesn’t care about 1 week , they have a yearly plan and usually a 5-10 year plan . So should every gambler .
2) Just pick the winner , ignore the spread : The spread generally affects 15% of games
over 5 years . Now in 1 week you only have 16 games , so its obvious 16x 15%
would only be an average of 2 per week .
Anyone can pick 3 out of 5 games , once in a while
but try 3 games as week x 17 weeks = 51 games.
Now multiply that by 40 (age 20 to 60) or 2040 each and every week
That’s what you’re up against.
The spread will affect you much more
but won’t affect the sports book at all .
Last year home teams were 53.8% su , 50% ats.
Favorites were 57.5% s/u , 42.7% ats