NFL Angle # 1 :

[Kramer]

The public loves betting NFL Favorites , even if on the road and even if over a touchdown .

Since 1997 there have been 104 games that the odds maker set a line on a road team of 7 or more points.

In those games the road betting line favorite has a record of 38-63-3 for a 37.6 %winning percentage.(ATS)

If you wagered against the road team in all these games you'd have
won over 62%

The underdog won 31 0f these games outright !!(29.8%)

[BigdaddyQH]

Let's see what happened last year. If my records are correct, I have:
Chicago -11 1/2 @ Arizona...Loss
Chicago - 7 at Jets...Win
Dallas -9 1/2 @ Tennessee...Win
Denver -9 1/2 @ Oakland...Loss
Indy -8 at Jets...Loss
Indy -7 1/2 @ Tennessee...Loss
Indy -10 @ Houston...Loss
Jacksonville -10 at Houston...Loss
Kansas City -7 @ Oakland...Win
Pitt -9 @ Oakland...Loss
San Diego -10 @ San Fran...Win

4 Wins, 7 Losses. Knock out Indy and it is 4-4. Maybe we should just fade Indy when they are a 7 point favorite or more on the road. Scratch that. They were 3-0-1 ATS in 2005. Interesting angle, though I would like to know how many of those games were decided before 2003, when the odds first started to tighten up.

[Kramer]

2006
Indianapolis Colts -8 @ New York Jets Colts 31-28 Lost
Dallas Cowboys -9½ @ Tennessee Titans Cowboys 45-14 Won
San Diego Chargers -10 @ San Francisco 49ers Chargers 48-19 Won
Chicago Bears -13 @ Arizona Cardinals Bears 24-23 Lost
Jacksonville Jaguars -8 @ Houston Texans Texans 27-7 Lost
Pittsburgh Steelers -9 @ Oakland Raiders Raiders 20-13 Lost

Baltimore Ravens -7½ @ Tennessee Titans Ravens 27-26 Lost
(you forgot that one)

Denver Broncos -8 @ Oakland Raiders Broncos 17-13 Lost
Indianapolis Colts -7½ @ Tennessee Titans Titans 20-17 Lost
Indianapolis Colts -9½ @ Houston Texans Texans 27-24 Lost
Kansas City-7 @ Oakland KC won 20-9 won
Bear @ Jets were -6.5 I think?
3 wins , 8 losses last year or 8-3 with the angle