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#1
10-24-2011, 02:38 PM
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Odds of a winning a straight bet
I've been thinking about this all day and google hasnt really helped. This is probably a question for a math major.
A straight bet with the point spread that pays out 1/1 is suppose to be a 50/50 proposition. But if you factor in the event of a push, you actually have 3 possible outcomes: win, lose or push. So what exactly is the true probablility of winning or losing and does the push effect even matter in calculating this? 
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#2
10-24-2011, 02:45 PM
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No clue with math, awful at it.
But if your just seeking in terms of winning or losing, wouldnt it be a 50/50 If you add the push, somewhere around 33.3333 or 1/3 Again, just my nonsense dont listen to me, let some one who is good with math confirm
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$10 = 1 Unit 2011/2012 NFL 0-1 CFB 1-0 NHL 17-20  It's going to be a long season
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#3
10-24-2011, 02:54 PM
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A push wouldn't come into play with half point spreads!
__________________
MLB: 12 - 9 - 4 (+3.89 units) 1 - 1unit 1 - 3units You will be allowed (5) one unit picks, (4) two unit picks, (3) three unit picks, (2) 4 unit picks (1) 5 unit picks
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#4
10-24-2011, 02:59 PM
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Depends the number your getting on the spread. A 3 point score difference is the most common at about 13-14% so if the spread is on a 3 you can expect that game to push that amount of time. Different amount of pushes based on the spread number.
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#5
10-24-2011, 03:03 PM
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no money changes hand in a push so as a function of your bet a push is immaterial and does not effect the win or lose probabilities
bigsportsguy2006 likes this.
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"Nobody goes there anymore, its too crowded." --Yogi Berra "Always tell the truth, that way you won't have to remember what you said." --Mark Twain *=$50,000
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#6
10-24-2011, 03:06 PM
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If you are UVA3021 then its a million to one...against
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#7
10-24-2011, 03:30 PM
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Quote:
__________________
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