Public Moves ..

[golfguru]

Team %played open line current line Play
GB / Miami 59% GB Mia -4 Mia -5.5 Miami

Den / Cle 67% Den Den -5.5 Den -4 Cleve

Wash/Indy 60% Indy Indy -9.5 Indy -8 Wash

Minn/Sea 60% Sea Sea -7 Sea -6 Minn

Just some insight, take it or leave it.

[golfguru]

Few trends for Sunday..

NY Jets are 6-0 OVER the total this season (hosting Detroit)
Denver is 5-0 UNDER the total this season (visiting Cleveland)
New England is 16-3-1 ATS in the second meeting of the season (against Buffalo) over the last two decades (visiting Buffalo)
Carolina is 20-4 ATS last 24 as an underdog (visiting Cincinnati)
Miami (-4 1/2) is 1-11 ATS last 12 as home favorite of -3 or more (hosting Green Bay)

[drsho01]

Originally Posted by golfguru

Team %played open line current line Play
GB / Miami 59% GB Mia -4 Mia -5.5 Miami

Den / Cle 67% Den Den -5.5 Den -4 Cleve

Wash/Indy 60% Indy Indy -9.5 Indy -8 Wash

Minn/Sea 60% Sea Sea -7 Sea -6 Minn

Just some insight, take it or leave it.

So, based on this "unnatural occurrance" the plays would be Miami, Cleveland, Washington, and Minn.

[golfguru]

Yes, the public money is on one side but the line moves the opposite, so you play with the line move.

Correct.

[drsho01]

Thanks

[jefff]

71% on SD over but total has dropped 4-5 points
60% on NE over but total has drpped 2 points
64% on Oak over but total has dropped 1-2 points
60% on Min over but total has dropped 2 points

[golfguru]

Originally Posted by jefff

71% on SD over but total has dropped 4-5 points
60% on NE over but total has drpped 2 points
64% on Oak over but total has dropped 1-2 points
60% on Min over but total has dropped 2 points

Thanks, I don't get the totals on the site I use.

[smokeman]

based on the bad line moves my plays would be
K.C. Buffalo, Atl, Tampa Bay, Clev, Car/Cincy under, Den/Clev under, and Oak
biggest plays would be Oak,Buff, and Clev.
good looking guru i followed this for three year and sometimes it really looks bad to bet some of the games but hey at least we are on the books side and we know how they go. if it looks to easy dont play em

[Grunt]

Originally Posted by jefff

71% on SD over but total has dropped 4-5 points
60% on NE over but total has drpped 2 points
64% on Oak over but total has dropped 1-2 points
60% on Min over but total has dropped 2 points

this sucks, 2 of my biggest plays where going to be the SD over and Oak over
i still got time to do a little more research
best of luck today guys!

[Roofies]

are the %'s the amount of money on each side or the actual number of people on each side?

[orthofix]

Originally Posted by jefff

71% on SD over but total has dropped 4-5 points
60% on NE over but total has drpped 2 points
64% on Oak over but total has dropped 1-2 points
60% on Min over but total has dropped 2 points

these are not accurate....the sd total opened the week at 41, now 40. ne at 37 still 37

[k9cop]

Originally Posted by Roofies

are the %'s the amount of money on each side or the actual number of people on each side?

Number of bets on the side, not the amount of money.

[Roofies]

one thing to consider with this system. i am assuming that the idea here is to be on the bookies/vegas side right? ok say the total amount of money bet on a game is $50000. if you are using the percentage of money bet on a side it doesnt take in to consideration: the number of bets and the amount of each wager. for example of the 50K there could be 300 $100 bets on one side and on the other side there are 50 $400 bets. you have 250 more bets on one side than the other. chances are if we are to assume the general public is usually wrong that the 50 people who bet $400 would win yet there is less money bet on that side, by just looking at percentages. just my 2 c.

basically what i am saying is that there could be a huge imbalance as far as the number of people on each side because you dont know how much they are each betting.

[smokeman]

its about the bets cant tell what the money is but it doesnt make a difference because if you had ten people that bet all the same plays then it would make a difference but when you have thousands or more all betting different things you cant go by the dollar amount. you still have time to check on that oakland total but the sd is good as long as its the over but the oak doesnt look bad the % are moving the right way so you may good

[smokeman]

Originally Posted by smokeman

based on the bad line moves my plays would be
K.C. Buffalo, Atl, Tampa Bay, Clev, Car/Cincy under, Den/Clev under, and Oak
biggest plays would be Oak,Buff, and Clev.
good looking guru i followed this for three year and sometimes it really looks bad to bet some of the games but hey at least we are on the books side and we know how they go. if it looks to easy dont play em

not to bad and thats without all those trends and angles just looking at public. who wouldnt take 6 out of 8