A Ten Year Study Of The 1 Point NFL Line :

[Kramer]

A ten year review of the 1 point line.
This article will review how the 1 point line has done over the last 10 years .

There have been 45 Home teams favored by one point.
In the last 10 years.
Of these 45 home favorites , 19 have won , 26 have lost giving the advantage
to the road underdog to the 58% edge.
That’s a significant advantage for the average gambler.

There have been 43 road teams favored by 1 point.
Of these , 19 favorites have won , and 24 have lost
giving a 56% advantage to the home underdog .
Another decent advantage to the underdog.

Here is each team’s breakdown as some have done better than others :
ARIZONA : 1 WIN , 2 LOSSES
ATLANTA : 1 WIN , 1 LOSS
BALTIMORE : 3 WINS , 4 LOSSES
BUFFALO : 1 WIN , 2 LOSSES
CAROLINA : 1 WIN , 3 LOSSES
CHICAGO : 3 LOSSES
CINCINATTI : 5 LOSSES
CLEVELAND ...
DALLAS : 3 WINS , 1 LOSS
DENVER : 2 WINS , 1 LOSS
DETROIT : 1 WIN , 1 LOSS
GREEN BAY ...
HOUSTON...
INDIANAPOLIS : 3 WINS , 1 LOSS
JACKSONVILLLE : 1 LOSS
KANSAS CITY : 4 WINS , 1 LOSS
MIAMI : 4 wins
MINNESOTA : : 3 wins , 1 loss
NEW ENGLAND : 1 win
NEW ORLEANS 1 WIN , 2 LOSSES
NEW YORK GIANTS : 2 WINS 2 LOSSES
OAKLAND ...
PHILEDELPHIA : 1 WIN , 3 LOSSES
PITSBURGH ...
ST.LOUIS : 2 LOSSES
SAN DIEGO : 3 LOSSES
SAN FRANSISCO : 2 LOSSES
SEATTLE : 1 WIN
TAMPA BAY : 1 WIN , 1 LOSS
TENNESSEE : 1 WIN , 1 LOSS
WASHINGTON : 1 WIN , 5 LOSSES

Total , just 88 games over the last 10 years .
Conclusion : Since the home team is favored by 1 point
when the line is 1 and underdogs have won mostly in 10 years,
and the road team is favored by only 1 , not 3
and home underdog has mostly covered,
Vegas certainly knows what its doing.

If you or I knew so much about the line afterall ,
we'd have the job wouldn't we ...

[Trossi3389]

MINNESOTA : : 3 wins , 1 loss

Go minny !!

[Kramer]

Originally Posted by Trossi3389

Go minny !!

Trossi , the results are each team as a favorite as - 1 ...

Results as underdog + would be different,
However Buffalo has lost two and won only 1 here ...