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#1
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Why not buy the hook?
my cousin calls me up all pissed off cuz he lost a huge bet recently by half a point. im like
"dude why didnt you buy the hook?" He responds, "cuz there was too much juice on it." And i say "sooooo, whats your point?" and he responds "i wanted to win more money."So i say, "well instead of getting your money back you lost 1500 because you didnt wanna sacrifice a little juice, how dumb is that?" then he doesnt respond. ive never lost a bet from buying a hook and i cant tell you how many times ive pushed because i did. why dont people buy the hook? explain....
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one thing ive learned is, never let anyone hooskow ya! -the great chili dog 2006 NBA Playoff Contest Champion |
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#2
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the average bettor cant do much better then right around 55% day in and day out over a long haul betting. The extra 10% would obviously hurt the average bettor.
Sharps are more common for buying hooks, especially if they are trying to middle a game for instance. I feel like asking why bet the game? Live by the hook, die by the hook. I would say winning or losing by a hook happens once in every 50 wagers for me. Maybe 1 in 25 for CBB??? I would lose more buying the hook everytime then not buying the hook. What are you going to do? You were right on the game, you lost by a half point? Would you have changed the wager? I would have still took my side. It goes both ways like when a game gets called after 6 innings of baseball sometimes youre up and sometimes youre not.
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“Things are as they are. Looking out into it the universe at night, we make no comparisons between right and wrong stars, nor between well and badly arranged constellations.” Alan Watts |
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#3
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Quote:
__________________
one thing ive learned is, never let anyone hooskow ya! -the great chili dog 2006 NBA Playoff Contest Champion |
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#4
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Just looked it up, and in my past 400 bets, I have had 5 pushes...
Just say i'm betting a flat 100$ on every game, which I am not, but let's just say I am.. From those 400 plays I am 231 wins, 164 losses.. 5 pushes... NOT BUYING the hook, and having every loss at -110, and every win at +100. I am +5,060$. BUYING THE hook, and having every loss at -120, every win at +100. I am +3,920$. Big difference, and main reason I don't buy the hook on every game.. Also, I don't buy the hook on most games, because if I feel that I need to buy the hook, I probably really don't like the game that much and shouldn't be betting it in the first place.. Yes, sometimes I buy the hook, but only when I feel it is benefitiary.. GL man PV |
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#5
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I think the few extra bucks would just add up against you in the long haul. And dont get started on football where you're paying triple juice off of 100 to buy off that 3/3.5-----7/7.5.
I know some online books have lower juice and its more enticing or makes a little more sense money management-wise. IMO its a bad idea on a straight wager It's also not good for money management. If you're 50/50 thats a losing day in sports, would hate to have purchased hooks on bad days. The good days you will find that it doesnt really come in to play and you won anyway so... bought hooks are money in the bag for the book IMO
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“Things are as they are. Looking out into it the universe at night, we make no comparisons between right and wrong stars, nor between well and badly arranged constellations.” Alan Watts |
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#6
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1 thing stood out, you probably shouldnt play it if you feel you NEED or MIGHT need the hook. Very true
__________________
“Things are as they are. Looking out into it the universe at night, we make no comparisons between right and wrong stars, nor between well and badly arranged constellations.” Alan Watts |
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#7
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the hook
I am on the side of Bigfratdaddy on this one, as I will buy the hook more often than not. Usually Im buying the half on the push and always will I buy on a parlay ticket.
I look at it this way, if your playin -110 WTF is wrong with another .09% or so to cover your ass in case of the intangables cause the intangables are the one thing that you cant figure out, but you can figure them in. |
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#8
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buying that .5 off 3 for UNLV would have been even better. I'd rather lose by 100 then to lose like that. Im sure a hook would have done you justice in another game somewhere tonight. I dont disagree with buying points in parlays, I know of one book that allows it and I'm not the biggest fan--whatever. It's a prop bet
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“Things are as they are. Looking out into it the universe at night, we make no comparisons between right and wrong stars, nor between well and badly arranged constellations.” Alan Watts |
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#9
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if it comes down to deciding on buying .5 you should probably find a different game. Thats basically that, see the above posters response
__________________
“Things are as they are. Looking out into it the universe at night, we make no comparisons between right and wrong stars, nor between well and badly arranged constellations.” Alan Watts |
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#10
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if it costs more than 10 cents its not worth it
statistically speaking
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The only bridge I've ever burned along this legacy I dance is the one that linked the cities of prosperity and chance Check out Technicapping for quantitative sport analysis |
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#11
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Nutzo always buys the hook.
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Pura Vida! |
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#12
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Buying a hook in basketball is dardly worth it, Im sure the math supports this (Rome?). However, I do buy hooks in the NFL at times becasue the big numbers hit so often.
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I'd rather be a free man in my grave than living like a puppet or a slave- Jimmy Cliff |
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#13
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ya but this is only valid if you have a large volume of bets per week like you do. i probably play 20% of the games you do between cbb,nba, and hockey and whatever ever else you play. if you play less games i dont think the juice will catch up to you in a significant amount. I also dont understand people that wil place an abnormally large wager on a game and not buy the hook either, its just dumb to me not to give yourself any oppurtunity to get your money back if it comes down to it....
__________________
one thing ive learned is, never let anyone hooskow ya! -the great chili dog 2006 NBA Playoff Contest Champion |
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#14
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a book can simply push every even line by a half, creating for hooks on both sides. in the scenerio where everyone bought hooks then the book makes off like bandits, literally, in the long run.
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#15
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Quote:
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Pura Vida! |
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