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  #1  
Old 08-10-2013, 05:31 AM
angelo56 angelo56 is offline
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Angelo's Picks and analysis

DOMZALE – ZAVRC (Slovenian league)
Zavrc is a solid team and now they’ve gained more quality by signing Kresinger, a striker who is even too good for Slovenian league. They’ve recently managed to give a hard time to Maribor who is no1 in this league and they won against Celje and Triglav. Domzale on the other hand didn’t perform quite good this season, moreover, in the last round they suffered a heavy defeat (3:0) from Krka which is a new team in this league and now again they have lots of problems with injuries (Skubic, S. Vuk, Ljubovic, Majer, Jelar, Rems, Mulalic – all out for this match). Also they are playing at home but that’s not a real advantage for them. They’ve won only 5 out of last 26 home games. I think Zavrc can give them a real hard time in this match and go home with at least one point.

Bet: X2
Odds: 2.10
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  #2  
Old 08-26-2013, 07:52 AM
angelo56 angelo56 is offline
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LOKOMOTIV - ROSTOV
Rostov will be missing Dzyuba, and it’s the same as if they are missing half of the team because Dzyuba is their top goalscorer and by far the best player this season. He scored 7 out of 12 Rostov goals so far. Without him they will struggle in attacking part while Lokomotiv on the other hand under coach Kuchuk is playing better and better. Lokomotiv recenty also bought Boussoufa and Lassana Diarra, two quality players who should add more depth to their play.
Rostov played some solid games but it was all against lower class teams and now they are facing four difficult challenges in which they won’t be capable of taking as much as point or two and it would be a huge surprise if they get anything here.
Bet: 1
Odds: 1.75
BOL ;)
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  #3  
Old 09-03-2013, 06:51 AM
angelo56 angelo56 is offline
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All winners so far..lets keep that record with this nice pick from brasilian league ;)

NAUTICO – SAO PAOLO
Just by looking at the table one can see in how difficult situation Nautico is. With or without second division syndrome, they are justifying their status of relegation candidate from the beginning of the season. They’ve lost 11 out of last 15 games and they also have worst efficiency in the league with only 9 goals scored so far. Constant coach shifts are also not helping them gain stability – in last four months they’ve changed four coaches.
Moreover, they’ve recently moved onto the new stadium so they don’t even have the feeling of playing on home turf. They’ve also been eliminated from Sul-Americani Cup against biggest rival, now playing in second division Sport Recife. In this match they wont be able to count on their key defender Joao Filipe so I expect their defense to be even more unstable.
In last four league games they played against Cricuma, Bahia, Fluminense and Atletico PR and lost all four of them – on the other hand Sao Paolo played with Fluminense and Atletico and took 4 points in those two matches. They’ve also played very good against Flamengo where they missed last minute penalty worth all three points and took a point against top team of Botafogo. All that suggests that they are close to getting out of crisis because they are showing it not only with results but also with their play on the field.
Difference in squad quality is also notable cause Sao Paolo has a couple of times more expensive team than hosts and they will also be stronger today because their top striker Luis Fabiano is back from suspension.
Advantage for visitors is also the fact that Nautico played four games in last two weeks and Sao Paolo only two and I expect more freshness in away team.
BET: 2
Odds: 2.10
Good luck ;)
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  #4  
Old 09-06-2013, 07:59 AM
angelo56 angelo56 is offline
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IRELAND - SWEDEN
There are few options i have in mind here. First of all is Ibrahimovic to score option - he's scored 5 out of last 6 Sweden goals, if there is to be a penalty he'll take it probably and he always spends whole 90 minutes on the field. Some bookies offer up to 2.90 (at least my local bookies) which is excellent.

Also DNB seems quite nice with 1.85. I really dont think Ireland can do more than to take a point here. What do you think people?

Btw here are some probable lineups and missing players
IRELAND (missing McGeady, Kelly, St Ledger, Hendrick)
Forde - Coleman, Dunne, O'Shea, Wilson - Walters, Whelan, McCarthy, McClean - Long, Keane
SWEDEN (missing Elm, Granqvist, Bengtsson)
Isaksson - Lustig, Nilsson, Antonsson, Olsson - Wernbloom, Ekdal - Larsson, Ibrahimovic, Kacaniklic - Elmander
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  #5  
Old 09-07-2013, 04:23 AM
angelo56 angelo56 is offline
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Sweden won after all but no goal from Ibrahimovic who was assisting instead of scoring :/ Anyways some nice info for today.
WC qualifiers Africa: Gambia - Tanzania
Hosts are eyeing a revenge and Tanzania is coming in this match without seven key players including three best strikers, most experienced defender and three important midfielders (Samata, Ulimwengu, Bocco, Abubakar, Athuman, Yondani, Kapombe).
Odds on home team victory are around 1.80..still worth a shot.
MLS league: LA Galaxy - Colorado Rapids
Los Angeles will miss their two best strikers Donovan and Keane who scored 12 out of last 13 Galaxy's goals. Instead young Villareal and McBean will step up. They are also without first goalkeeper Penedo, and chief in defense Gonzalez. Colorado lost only once in last 10 outings and they could surprise here as they dont have much problems with absences except for Torres.

handicap +1 on away team..or X2 is also equivalent ;)

Cheers
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Old 09-07-2013, 06:59 AM
NEW_WORLD NEW_WORLD is offline
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good luck angelo
but one point
AH +1 and X2 aren't the same
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  #7  
Old 09-08-2013, 06:02 AM
angelo56 angelo56 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by NEW_WORLD View Post
good luck angelo
but one point
AH +1 and X2 aren't the same
I didn't mean Asian Handicap +1 but only Handicap +1..that's huge difference ;)
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  #8  
Old 09-08-2013, 06:02 AM
angelo56 angelo56 is offline
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Corinthias – Nautico

Corinthias is one of the very best teams in the league with very wide and quality bench while Nautico is by far the worst team in the league.
Nautico has obvious problems with quality, especially in the offensive part which is proven by fact that they’ve only scored one goal in the last seven games (nine in whole season). They already had a tight schedule they couldn’t cope with and now they also had some postponed matches to play and all that is a real nightmare for them. This will be their third match in only six days and in last two they lost on home turf without even scoring a goal. These days they’ve also made their FIFTH switch on coaching position in the last five months and it is most obvious that the problem is not in staff but in lack of quality in player roster.
Corinthias has some problems with injuries for this match and will miss kinds of Pato and Emerson but there are still Romarinho and Danilo and I have absolutely no doubt that they will find the way to Nautico’s net.
Hosts have excellent defense which is allowing only 0.44 goals per match and I don’t see how Nautico who scored only once in last seven away games could be a threat here, moreover because Corinthias received only one goal on home turf since end of May (including all competitions!!!!). I expect that trend to continue.

Bet: Away team NOT to score
Odds: 1.80

Equivalent is also home team to win without receiving a goal which can be found at around 2.00 but I prefer first option which is safer.
Cheers ;)
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  #9  
Old 09-10-2013, 08:55 AM
angelo56 angelo56 is offline
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Nautico stayed on zero ;) Lets move on to internationals again

CYPRUS – SLOVENIA (WCQ Europe)
Slovenia and Cyprus played seven times so far and not once did Cyprus manage to win. There is absolutely no reason why that trend should be broken today. Their motivation is not on the highest level as they don’t have even theoretical chance to go to Brasil and they have a lot of problems with absences. Striker Cristofi, defender Christoua and winger Efrem are all out including one of their most dangerous offensive player from APOEL, Aloneftis who has a suspension. As for their play it is enough to say that they haven’t scored in more than 340 minutes.
Slovenia on the other hand will be boosted by the return of their captain Cesar and they still have a chance to advance at least to play-offs if they win all the remaining three matches. They’ve had a bit of luck beating Albania recently but their stable and organized, moreover disciplined play will be enough to get them all three points here against last-placed Cyprus.
Bet: 2
Odds: 2.10
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  #10  
Old 09-11-2013, 10:10 AM
angelo56 angelo56 is offline
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Yesterday also a winner

NAUTICO – GREMIO
Nautico so far managed to collect only 9 points which is 13 less than they need to get to safe zone so in reality no one believes they will be able to stay up in this league. Even the chairman decided to give up – after they fired their last coach (fifth time this season) they decided not to invest in new coaching names so they left the team in hands of inexperienced former assistant.
In last round they’ve managed to get a point away in Corinthias but it was lack of efficiency from opponents side that caused the goalless draw. Only spark of “creativity” from Nautico was kicking the ball as far from their goal as they can. That kind of play brought them only one goal in last 8 rounds, and today they’ll be without two of their best strikers Carioca and Rogerio (suspension and injury).
Gremio is on the other hand on second place, only six points behind leading Cruzeiro and today they’ll try to shorten the gap because Cruzeiro is also going on difficult away trip to Goias where Gremio was also defeated two rounds before. That defeat was the only “black spot” in Gremio’s form – in last seven outings they won six. They do have some absences but those are not so important for the team and are mostly related to defense line which inefficient Nautico is not capable to put in danger. Since they appointed coach Gaucho they’ve found their winning formula and I really don’t see how Nautico will be able get two consecutive positive results against top teams – they wouldn’t be on the last spot if they are really able to do so.

Bet: 2 (Gremio wins)
Odds: 2.00
Cheers ;)
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Old 09-12-2013, 10:36 AM
angelo56 angelo56 is offline
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ATLETICO MG - CORITIBA
Atletico is on the edge of falling into danger zone and therefore they have an imperative to win today and key factors should be the home turf and absent players in the visiting team. In home team strikers Donizeti and Guilherme are fit after injuries and should provide enough firepower upfront today when Tardelli is expected to get some rest.
On the other hand there is probably no team in Brazil with one player standing apart and above his teammates like Coritiba with Alex. He did not even travel for this away match, even though he is not injured according to betprepare betting site where I found that info. Other than Alex, several more players will be missing today in all lines, including defensive midfielder Junior Urso and the important defensive pair Leandro Almeida and Victor Ferraz. Because of this, the Coritiba defense will feature three players with only eight matches played in total between them.
Odds on home win are already down so I’ll go with home team to score some goals. Atletico has scored at least two goals in six out of last seven home games and I expect the same today.
Bet: Home team over 1,5 goals
Odds: 1.85
Cheers ;)
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Old 09-13-2013, 03:55 AM
angelo56 angelo56 is offline
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Jet another winner...anyone followed me on Atletico?
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Old 09-13-2013, 06:25 AM
angelo56 angelo56 is offline
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AALEN – MUNICH 1860
Aalen seemed like a solid team beating Kaiserslautern recently but I don’t understand that they can be such major favourites against undoubtedly better Munich who is main candidate for promotion to Bundesliga. Quality difference between these two is major.
Even though this might be a difficult match I think odds on Draw no Bet are exceptionally good. Munich appointed new coach Funkel who by the way lead 5 different clubs to promotions so far and it’s expected for players to be motivated in order to prove their spot in first lineup with new coach.
Bet: DNB away win
Odds: 2.00
Cheers ;)
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Old 09-14-2013, 05:56 AM
angelo56 angelo56 is offline
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No win but no loss either ;) Here's another one

Man Utd - Crystal Palace

Finally an "easy" game for United. Certainly easier than the matches they played recently. After the draw against Chelsea and defeat to Liverpool, this is the match where the Red Devils should prove the critics wrong. Crystal Palace doesn't have the firepower to make life difficult for United, unless the Manchester team underestimates them and doesn't go into the match fully concentrated. Since they are in a so called "crisis", I expect David Moyes' players to go all out from the beginning and break down the visitors in the first half. The next match for United is a local derby against City, and there is nothing better for boosting morale than a resounding win. As the captain Vidić points out, the defence is pretty good, but the attack has yet to start firing on all cylinders. This is the perfect opportunity for them. De Gea is confident in goal, and playing in front of a packed Old Trafford has never been easy, and it certainly won't be for today's visiting team.

Bet: Home team to win by nil
Odds: 1,85
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Old 09-15-2013, 05:53 AM
angelo56 angelo56 is offline
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Man Utd made us some money yesterday hope Salzburg can do the same

RIED - SALZBURG
I found this nice info on Betprepare site and I think its worth a shot.
Ried will be missing their most creative player Zulj, Ziegel is also injured, defender Janeczek and forward Kreuzer as well as long-term injured Rieter are all out of action for today so the home team will be in a lot of troubles because their previous good results rested on these key players.
Ried and their results in the first seven rounds are to be applauded, but it is time for their winning series to end, as the best team of the league, Salzburg, are coming to town. Salzburg's claim to being best will require proving, of course, but the team coached by German Roger Schmidt will have plenty of motivation to do so.
Fumbles again Ried cost Salzburg their title last year, as they have not managed to beat their tough opponent in four games, squandering as much as nine points through one loss and three ties. Smart men and good sports teams learn from their mistakes though, so the lesson was surely not lost on Salzburg, and they will want payback for all the frustrations from last season.
The guests are arriving to Ried in full, with their strongest lineup at the moment, and a string of players that Ried cannot hope to match. Soriano, Mane, Alan and Kampl are a quartet of offensive aces the home team will find difficult to neutralize.
Bet: 2
Odds: 1.75
Cheers ;)
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Old 09-17-2013, 07:12 AM
angelo56 angelo56 is offline
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BENFICA - ANDERLECHT PREVIEW

Following a problematic preseason due to a series of poor defensive performances, Benfica have entered the new championship in a similar way, but they are starting to show glimpses of the playing style that brought them wins over respectable European teams in recent seasons, especially in home games. Over the last season alone, Celtic and Spartak fall at Benfica's statium in the CL, and Leverkusen, Bordeaux and Fenerbahce followed in the EL during springtime. All these teams are stronger than Anderlecht, who should be the right opponent for them to continue raising their form after improved performances against Sporting (in the second half) and Pacos, reminiscent of their recent seasons' dynamic and attacking play that brought them some good European achievements ever since Jorge Jesus took charge. Anderlecht are Group C underdogs with a rather young team that lacks experience at the European level, and playing away is not their strong suit. This summer, most of the important players have left the club, so it's small wonder they are already trailing six points behind Standard. They've displayed a respectable goalscoring ability in the championship, as well as some defensive errors. None of Anderlecht center backs are over 23 years of age. They lack the necessary European experience and I believe that they will not be able to stop the home side's forward line led by Cardozo and Lima, who jointly scored 63 goals last season. In a match where the home team is at least a class above the visitors, with both teams better on the attack and relatively weak in defense.

Bet: Over 2,5
Odds: 1.80
Cheers ;)
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Old 09-18-2013, 06:59 AM
angelo56 angelo56 is offline
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Thats what i call a bad luck..two goals in first 30 mins and it still wont go in over..but thats betting, thats life, both goes on..here's another nice pick ;)

SLOVAN BRATISLAVA – NITRA (Slovakian league)
Found this preview on Betprepare and seems like a reasonable bet..think it's worth a shot ;)

Nitra was a good customer to the Slovan's players in the last season as well, and they aparently had a better team then. This current team is, not to use an uglier word, horrible. The dilemma regarding this game was this: home team's win with more than 2.5 goals in the game ([email protected]) or more than 2.5 home team's goals. I decided for the second option, because even the first one would hardly pass without Slovan scoring three goals, since Nitra's offense is pretty bad. And Unibet is paying really well for this second option. Yes, you could always say why would they chase the third goal if they're 2-0 in the lead? They didn't have to do that last season either, but they won at home with 4-0 and 5-1, and 3-0 in an away game. Slovan is the most potent offensive team in the league, and after two games in front of empty stands, they will be playing in front of supporters again, and that is definitely an extra motive. They've already gone over this margin twice this season, they stayed under three times, but they missed everything against DAC, and the game against Senice was a derby. And they were up 2-0 against ViOn in front of empty stands. But, more important thing for me right now is what Nitra's defense looks like - in four out of five away games they conceded four goals (Trencin, Kosice, Zilina and Dukla BB). They were under that only against equally bad DAC, they conceded only one goal and lost.

Bet: Home team total goals over 2,5
Odds: 2.10
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Old 09-20-2013, 05:11 AM
angelo56 angelo56 is offline
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OSTERS – HALMSTADS
We're dealing here with clash of two newcomers included in relegation battle and I expect a serious and cautious approach from both sides. Osters is 4 points ahead of Halmstads and their main goal will be to stay on that distance and not to risk to much going gung-ho. On the other hand away team is basing their play on strong defense waiting for counters and set pieces because they don’t have the capacity nor the quality to play differently.
In last two rounds both of them scored only 1 goal total and the offensive part is not their strongest. Except for Syrianska they have the worst attack in the league so far although their defenses are amongst better in the lower part of the Allsvenskan.
Moreover, (according to Betprepare) Halmstads will probably be without their most dangerous player Selaković who sustained an injury in the last round.
I expect a tight match and not so many goalscoring opportunities.
Bet: Under 2,5 goals
Odds: 1.80
BOL ;)
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Old 09-22-2013, 06:36 AM
angelo56 angelo56 is offline
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STUTTGART – EINTRACHT FRANKFURT
After they've made changes on coaching position Stuttgart became more stable and is showing improvement lately. Now when they are out of European competitions their main and only focus is domestic championship in which they now have two victories in a row. In last match on their home arena they’ve trashed Hoffenheim with 6:2.
On the other hand Eintracht is also solid in this season beginning but today they’ll have some serious fatigue problems. Only three days ago they had a tough match against Bordeaux in EL and they are not the team used to playing on both fronts (their own coach Armin Veh admitted they will have problems with fatigue). Moreover, three Eintracht’s key players will be missing this match - Meier, Rosenthal and Schwegler.
I think Stuttgart’s selfconfidence is higher, they are rested and don’t have major problems with absences and anything but their victory today would be a surprise.
Bet: 1
Odds: 2.10
BOL ;)

Anyone tailing? we're on fire at the moment
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Old 09-22-2013, 10:22 AM
thaikarate thaikarate is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by angelo56 View Post
STUTTGART – EINTRACHT FRANKFURT
After they've made changes on coaching position Stuttgart became more stable and is showing improvement lately. Now when they are out of European competitions their main and only focus is domestic championship in which they now have two victories in a row. In last match on their home arena they’ve trashed Hoffenheim with 6:2.
On the other hand Eintracht is also solid in this season beginning but today they’ll have some serious fatigue problems. Only three days ago they had a tough match against Bordeaux in EL and they are not the team used to playing on both fronts (their own coach Armin Veh admitted they will have problems with fatigue). Moreover, three Eintracht’s key players will be missing this match - Meier, Rosenthal and Schwegler.
I think Stuttgart’s selfconfidence is higher, they are rested and don’t have major problems with absences and anything but their victory today would be a surprise.
Bet: 1
Odds: 2.10
BOL ;)

Anyone tailing? we're on fire at the moment
I am in!
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Old 09-22-2013, 10:48 AM
chalie215 chalie215 is offline
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Angelo's Picks and analysis

Who u taking?
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  #22  
Old 09-24-2013, 06:33 AM
angelo56 angelo56 is offline
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Just unlucky there with Suttgart :/ Ibisevic missed a penalty in stoppage time but picks go on ;)

EMPOLI – SIENA (Italian Second Div)
This match is a Toscan derby and a face-off of two best offenses in the first five rounds of Serie B. Both coaches announced a fight to win, both of them are hoping for a good performance and both of them announced three great forwards in the first lineup. On one side there are Verdi, Tavano and Maccarone and on the other Rosina, Paolucci and Gianetti. Those are respectable offenses, but they are not the only aces Sarri and Berreta have up their sleeves because both teams have excellent efficiency with free kicks, especially Empoli who look deadly with Tonelli in the goal area after a corner kick. Anything except a good match with at least three goals would be a big surprise.
Bet: Over 2,5 goals
Odds: 1.95
BOL ;)
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Old 09-27-2013, 07:46 AM
angelo56 angelo56 is offline
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Been away for a few day..got struck by flu..but we're back in action now ;)

LAHTI – JARO
Lahti is in excellent shape at the time, winning four out of last five matches. They also have strong motivation to fight for the third place that leads to Europe and besides that they will be boosted by the return of their top goalscorer Rafael who was suspended for the last three matches.
On the other hand Jaro is currently way out of form with five losses in a row and in most of them they were outplayed by great margin. Their motivation is not something they can rely on since they’ve already fulfilled their goal – escaping relegation zone.
Lahti has everything to play in this match and they are in front of home crowd while Jaro has nothing to play and hasn’t won away since May.

Bet: 1
Odds: 1.70
BOL ;)
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Old 09-28-2013, 06:23 AM
angelo56 angelo56 is offline
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Back on winning tracks with Lahti yesterday ;) Hope Nice can do the same and earn us some money

NICE – GUINGAMP

***absent players (according to betprepare)
Nice: Maupay, Anin, Mah. Traore, Eysseric, Bautheac
Guingamp: Vivian, Cerdan, Pereira, Samassa

Guingamp had a lot of luck so far. First of all Bastia gave them two unnecessary penalties and they took only one point, they’ve won against Sochaux who had a lot of problems in that match (injuries, new players, poor form), they’ve barely managed to get a point against Reims when opposing team had problems in the attacking part and all that doesn’t seem very impressive from the Guingamp side. Moreover, the point won against Reims is all they’ve managed to get on the road this season.
Nice on the other hand is a strong team and they’ll be looking for reaction after loss away in Nantes. They’ll be playing on new stadium, with full support of home crowd since they are unbeaten at home this season.

Bet: 1
Odds: 2.00
BOL ;)
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Old 09-29-2013, 05:34 AM
angelo56 angelo56 is offline
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Another succesfull day behind us with Nice winning against Guingamp..let's hope Goteborg will do the same today ;) Cheers

KALMAR - GOTEBORG
Although Kalmar are playing a solid game recently, I am not convinced that they will be able to parry their guest neither in quality not in motivation. The Kalmar defense, as mentioned in the preview, looks very stable at the moment, but that has a lot to do with the schedule they've been having. They played rather more defensive teams in their last five games, such as Gefle, AIK, Halmstads, and it's no wonder they managed to keep their net intact. That will definitely be much more difficult against a team such as Goteborg, which they've already proven earlier against Malmo, who loaded them up with four goals. Goteborg are in dire need of points at the moment, and cannot afford a fumble here. They are one of the teams with the best form in the championship at the moment, I'd even dare say the most impressive, looking at their results. Against the opponents Kalmar got one point from, playing no-goal ties (Gefle, AIK, Atvidabergs), Goteborg scored high wins and it is hard to say which part of their game is more impressive - the killer offense or the tough, impenetrable defense. Aside from that, the home team will again be missing their best midfielder and offense player Soderqvist, which makes it difficult for them to strike back. Anything other than Goteborg winning this, as currently the better and more motivated team, would be a surprise
Bet: 2
Odds: 2.10
BOL ;)
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