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Old 08-22-2010, 07:45 AM
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Via Pinnacle, the Chicago Bears' current future win total is at 8, with the over set at 108, and the under -126

Given this data, what is their projected single game winning percentage?
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Old 08-22-2010, 08:08 AM
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Old 08-22-2010, 08:41 AM
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solid guess, but the possible answers given the variables are continuous, which means the number has to be more precise
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Old 08-22-2010, 09:05 AM
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Old 08-22-2010, 09:54 AM
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negs
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Old 08-22-2010, 10:04 AM
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hint: start with the implied, with the vigs set, probability
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Old 08-22-2010, 10:07 AM
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Old 08-22-2010, 10:17 AM
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woops, 46.08295 assuming that is -108 and -126 <tup>

Last edited by bigsportsguy2006; 08-22-2010 at 10:23 AM.
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Old 08-22-2010, 10:23 AM
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48.4 ?
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Old 08-22-2010, 10:24 AM
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and if you are saying the lines are +108 and -126, then it would be 47.84689
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Old 08-22-2010, 11:27 AM
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i think that is over +108
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Old 08-22-2010, 11:37 AM
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Old 08-22-2010, 11:49 AM
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lol i thought i had answer but realized some of my equations were off, though it was probably a reasonable approximation

if you think you have answer please feel free to share how you approached the problem
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Old 08-22-2010, 11:57 AM
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i get 48.86
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Old 08-22-2010, 11:59 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by uva3021 View Post
Via Pinnacle, the Chicago Bears' current future win total is at 8, with the over set at 108, and the under -126

Given this data, what is their projected single game winning percentage?
At 0-0 .500 ?

At 1-0 .466

At 0-1 .533

At 0-2 .571

Or would it vary depending on opponent week to week assuming everything remains constant for them and their opponents as it is now through the end of the season. IE if Jay Cutler were to get injured their win probabality would drop or if Aaron Rodgers or Brett Favre were to go down then it would go up ? Honestly I have no idea.

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