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#1
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Do you vary your bet stakes......
Based on the track record on the sport/option you are betting on?
For example bet your sport with the best track record with the largest stakes. Sport with the worst track record the smallest stakes. In an ideal world many of us would but sometimes it doesn't work that way. For me I until recently had a bad habit of betting NRL and NBA with decent stakes, even though my record on those sports historically isn't amoungst my best sports. That said though, my best sports....rugby union, MLB, NHL, golf, netball to name a few, I bet much bigger than the rest and vary my stakes based on track record. How does it work for you?
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CM Posted 2003 till 2012 records (updated daily) : NHL : +161 (units) NFL : +3 MLB : +53 NBA : -20 WNBA : +23 Aussie NBL Hoops : +96 Cricket : +69 Golf : -5 Rugby union and rugby league : +126 Soccer : -5 Netball : +8 AFL (Aussie Rules) : +71 Total : +580 units 1 unit or less = small bet, 1-3 = medium, 3+ = large Cappersmall Hall of Fame 2008 Last edited by dave nz; 05-11-2010 at 05:57 AM. |
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#2
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Yes, I bet bigger when I think I have a larger edge. NFL, NBA, NCAAF are pretty tough to beat for me so I bet them smaller. With AFL, WNBA, props, I can find larger edges and bet more.
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#3
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ideally if you have a good model for a particular sport you use the kelly criterion
a kelly calc, used by warren buffet among others in financial and commodities markets says that the % of the play is relative to the edge you have, for optimal bankroll growth problem becomes at times it will tell you to risk up to 20% of your bankroll on one play some people employ a half kelly, which isnt as agressive
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