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#1
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Fielding Independent Pitching stat...
I'm reworking a modeling program for MLB, and trying to upgrade to the use of sabermetrics as a tool. So far, things are working but I'd like some input about the use of DICE figures from those who may use them.
My question is this. I'm using a fielding independent stat, DICE, for computation as a stat for Overall pitching, H/A pitching, and Last 3 gm pitching. These 3 stats are then averaged with a weighting method, that then gives me a DICE stat for that pitcher (Yes, I know I've omitted a Day/Night stat, but I'm fine with that.) Now, what weighting would work the most efficiently for the 3 stats I've got. I'm currently using the following: Season Overall: 3* Home/Away 1.5* Last 3 gms. 2.5* ...this divided by 7 I've never read anyones philosophy on weighting pitching stats, but I'm curious as to how others evaluate pitching when using different parameters. |
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#2
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best way to weight is to do a regression analysis, find the correlation and adjust the variables to the overall total, then readjust so the numbers can all be set to add up to 1
then you can do a weighted average via base 100 use the lahman database or retro sheet to extract the data, enter formulas, and find the best correlations and between Wins, ERA, and other variables
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#3
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