Percentage ofCFB underdogs cover at +7 and above

[Beep]

Overall long term underdogs cover 50% of the time, however I do have a theory that the higher the point spread in college football, the more the underdogs cover.
The ideal research would be to determine lets say in the last 30 years CFB underdogs that were +7 cover x% of the time, +10 is x%, +15 etc. You would do this in 5 point increments until you got to +40 then it could be +40 or more underdogs cover x% of the time.

If anyone has the ability to perform this function, I would be interested in the results.

[g_rock65]

I would also be quite interested!

[Beep]

Yes this is important, because in general if 50/50 favorites versus underdogs overall and we find, that over the last 30 years:

Underdogs that cover +7 or more points is 52%
Underdogs that cover +10 or more points is 53%
Underdogs that cover +15 or more is 53.5%
Underdogs that cover +20 or more points is 54%
Underdogs that cover +30 or more cover 55%
Underdogs that cover +40 or move cover 56%
THESE ARE JUST EXAMPLE NUMBERS-THESE ARE NOT ACCURATE
That would mean that Underdogs + 6 or less would cover under 50%, lets say 48.5%


Its a matter of finding that number is it 4 points, 6 points 14 points who knows, that why i would like to see the results, if anyone has the know how to run these types of numbers.

Thanks fellas.

[uva3021]

i have lines and results from 1978 to 2009 on my home laptop, when I have time tonight I'll do a quick calculation and post the results

[JunkyardDog47]

Actually, the dogs cover 48.6 % of the time. and the Favorites 51.2% according to the last set of numbers that I saw.