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  #26  
Old 10-18-2018, 04:34 PM
sailfish sailfish is offline
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(363) W MICHIGAN @ (364) C MICHIGAN | 10/20/2018 - 3:00 PM
Play ON W MICHIGAN using the money line in All games when playing with 6 or less days rest
The record is 16 Wins and 2 Losses for the last three seasons (+14.00 units)
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  #27  
Old 10-19-2018, 10:57 AM
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Preview: Oklahoma at TCU


Oklahoma and TCU were the class of the Big 12 last season and met in the conference's first title game since realignment in 2010, but both have some work to do over the next month in order to make it happen again in 2018. A pair of conference heavyweights coming off three-point losses hope to avoid falling further behind in the conference race Saturday when the 10th-ranked Sooners visit the Horned Frogs.

Despite erasing a 21-point fourth-quarter deficit in less than six minutes, Oklahoma allowed Texas to drive 52 yards in nine plays and convert a 40-yard field goal with nine seconds left in a 48-45 setback on Oct. 6. "To get it back there in a tight game and have a great chance to win a football game says a lot about what we have in the locker room and says a lot about the culture that we have here at Oklahoma," coach Lincoln Riley told reporters. TCU had its heart broken as well, allowing first-time starter Jett Duffey to score the go-ahead touchdown on a 38-yard quarterback draw midway through the fourth quarter in a 17-14 defeat on Oct. 11. The Horned Frogs held the Red Raiders' FBS-best offense 31 points and 238 yards below their season averages, but it wasn't enough to avoid their first home loss in nine outings.

TV: Noon ET, ABC. LINE: Oklahoma -7.5.

ABOUT OKLAHOMA (5-1, 2-1 Big 12): The Sooners are averaging 8.9 yards per play - a mark that would break the FBS record they set last year (8.3) - and are led by Kyler Murray, who has posted a league-best 227.8 passer rating (second in the country) and ranks sixth in the conference with 377 rushing yards. Marquise Brown is tied for the Big 12 lead with seven receiving touchdowns and ranks second in receiving yards (675) and yards per game (112.5) despite getting shut out Sept. 22 against Army. No defensive duo in the country averages more tackles per game than Oklahoma's Curtis Bolton and Kenneth Murray; Bolton ranks third in FBS with a Big 12-high 12.5 and Murray is fourth in the nation with 12.3.

ABOUT TCU (3-3, 1-2): KaVontae Turpin moved into eighth place on the school's all-time receptions list with 140 after posting six catches against Texas Tech; he needs eight more to move into sole possession of seventh place. Sophomore Jalen Reagor boasts a team-high 37 receptions (seventh in the conference) and topped 1,000 receiving yards for his career in his 20th game versus the Red Raiders - tied for the fourth-fastest Horned Frog to accomplish the feat in the Gary Patterson era (2000-present). Preseason Big 12 Defensive Player of the Year Ben Banogu had two sacks as part of an eight-tackle effort against Texas Tech; his 4.5 sacks on the season are tied for the fourth most in the Big 12.

EXTRA POINTS

1. Five of the seven meetings since TCU joined the Big 12 have been decided by seven or fewer points. Oklahoma's two victories last season (38-20 on Nov. 11 and 41-17 in the conference championship) are the two exceptions.

2. The Horned Frogs fell to 111-5 when allowing 17 points or fewer in 116 games under Patterson following the loss to Texas Tech.

3. The Sooners have won 17 consecutive true road games - the longest active streak in the country. Their last such loss came in a 38-33 decision at TCU in 2014.

PREDICTION: Oklahoma 34, TCU 24
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  #28  
Old 10-19-2018, 10:57 AM
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ATS Trends
Oklahoma

Sooners are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Sooners are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
Sooners are 26-12 ATS in their last 38 games following a straight up loss.
Sooners are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Sooners are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Sooners are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Sooners are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in October.
Sooners are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Sooners are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
Sooners are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games.
Sooners are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.

Texas Christian

Horned Frogs are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Horned Frogs are 5-17 ATS in their last 22 home games.
Horned Frogs are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games in October.
Horned Frogs are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
Horned Frogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Horned Frogs are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
Horned Frogs are 4-17 ATS in their last 21 games on grass.
Horned Frogs are 1-6 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Horned Frogs are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
Horned Frogs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.

OU Trends
Oklahoma

Over is 5-0 in Sooners last 5 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Over is 7-1 in Sooners last 8 games on grass.
Over is 6-1 in Sooners last 7 games overall.
Over is 10-2 in Sooners last 12 games following a straight up loss.
Over is 4-1 in Sooners last 5 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Sooners last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Sooners last 5 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Sooners last 5 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Sooners last 5 conference games.
Over is 6-2 in Sooners last 8 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
Over is 20-8 in Sooners last 28 games in October.
Over is 24-10 in Sooners last 34 games following a ATS loss.

Texas Christian

Under is 7-1 in Horned Frogs last 8 games following a ATS loss.
Under is 4-1 in Horned Frogs last 5 games following a straight up loss.
Under is 4-1 in Horned Frogs last 5 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 7-2 in Horned Frogs last 9 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 6-2 in Horned Frogs last 8 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Under is 20-8 in Horned Frogs last 28 games overall.
Under is 10-4 in Horned Frogs last 14 games on grass.
Under is 5-2 in Horned Frogs last 7 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
Under is 33-16-2 in Horned Frogs last 51 games in October.
Under is 35-17 in Horned Frogs last 52 conference games.

Head to Head

Under is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings.
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  #29  
Old 10-19-2018, 10:58 AM
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Preview: Auburn at Ole Miss


Auburn took a dramatic tumble out of the top 25 with back-to-back losses and has yet to show the type of offensive firepower that was expected of the team. The Tigers will try to bounce back and find the end zone with some consistency when they visit Ole Miss on Saturday.

Auburn failed to score a touchdown in a 23-9 loss at Mississippi State on Oct. 6 and committed three turnovers in a 30-24 home loss to Tennessee last week that snapped the Volunteers' 11-game SEC losing streak. "The reality is we're disappointed because we wanted to have a chance to win a championship this year and that's no longer the case," Auburn head coach Gus Malzahn told reporters. "But our players and our coaches are extremely close. We're in this thing together. We're going to roll up our sleeves this week – this is a big game for us, obviously, going on the road – and get a victory before we get to the off week." The Tigers will see what a team firing on all cylinders offensively looks like with the Rebels, who are averaging 41.6 points behind standout quarterback Jordan Ta'amu and are coming off back-to-back wins. "Now you're coming home at 5-2 and you get some momentum and the crowd fired up about coming and playing another big game in Oxford," Ole Miss coach Matt Luke told reporters. "I think that's what you're most proud of is you get the momentum going forward."

TV: Noon, ET, ESPN. LINE: Auburn -3.5

ABOUT AUBURN (4-3, 1-3 SEC): All three turnovers in last week's loss came from quarterback Jarrett Stidham, who threw a pair of interceptions and lost a fumble. Malzahn reiterated this week that Stidham is his starting quarterback despite the junior posting career worsts with a completion percentage of 60.6 and 7.04 yards per attempt. Malzahn's teams are usually renowned for their rushing attacks, but this season's Tigers rank 11th in the SEC at an average of 158.4 yards on the ground while leading rusher JaTarvious Winslow was held out of the end zone in each of the last three games and is nursing a shoulder injury.

ABOUT OLE MISS (5-2, 1-2): Ta'amu is up to 2,298 yards passing and threw for at least 336 yards in each of the team's five victories. The senior from Hawaii showed off his dual-threat abilities with 141 rushing yards on 17 carries to go along with 387 passing yards and three total touchdowns in last week's 37-33 victory at Arkansas. Ta'amu gets plenty of help from running back Scottie Phillips, who is averaging 6.7 yards per carry with nine TDs on the ground and two more through the air.

EXTRA POINTS

1. Ole Miss WR D.K. Metcalf will miss the remainder of the season after suffering a neck injury.

2. Auburn DB Jeremiah Dinson is suspended for the first half of Saturday's game after being ejected for targeting last week.

3. The Tigers have taken four of the last five meetings, including a 44-23 home victory last season.

PREDICTION: Ole Miss 31, Auburn 24
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  #30  
Old 10-19-2018, 10:58 AM
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ATS Trends
Auburn

Tigers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Tigers are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games in October.
Tigers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Tigers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
Tigers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Tigers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
Tigers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
Tigers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Tigers are 0-6 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Tigers are 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.

Mississippi

Rebels are 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 games following a ATS loss.
Rebels are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 home games.
Rebels are 4-10-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Rebels are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games in October.
Rebels are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Rebels are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
Rebels are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up win.
Rebels are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Rebels are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Rebels are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

OU Trends
Auburn

Under is 6-1 in Tigers last 7 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 6-1 in Tigers last 7 games in October.
Under is 5-1 in Tigers last 6 conference games.
Under is 9-2 in Tigers last 11 games overall.
Under is 9-2 in Tigers last 11 games on grass.
Over is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 road games.
Under is 13-4-1 in Tigers last 18 games following a straight up loss.
Under is 15-5-2 in Tigers last 22 games following a ATS loss.
Over is 6-2-1 in Tigers last 9 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 19-7-2 in Tigers last 28 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 5-2 in Tigers last 7 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.

Mississippi

Over is 7-0-1 in Rebels last 8 games in October.
Over is 12-3 in Rebels last 15 home games.
Over is 12-3 in Rebels last 15 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 7-2 in Rebels last 9 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 10-3 in Rebels last 13 conference games.
Over is 12-4 in Rebels last 16 games on grass.
Over is 6-2 in Rebels last 8 games following a ATS loss.
Under is 9-3 in Rebels last 12 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Over is 19-7-1 in Rebels last 27 games overall.
Over is 10-4-1 in Rebels last 15 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 5-2 in Rebels last 7 games following a straight up win.
Over is 5-2 in Rebels last 7 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 12-5 in Rebels last 17 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.

Head to Head

Tigers are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Mississippi.
Over is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings.
Underdog is 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
Tigers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 meetings in Mississippi.
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  #31  
Old 10-19-2018, 10:59 AM
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Preview: Tulsa at Arkansas


The news from the injury front was mostly good for Arkansas as sophomore quarterback Ty Storey and leading rusher Rakeem Boyd appear ready to go when the Razorbacks host Tulsa on Saturday. Storey (head, ribs) and Boyd (back) left last week's 37-33 loss to Ole Miss -- Arkansas' sixth straight setback -- but second-leading rusher Devwah Whaley will have surgery and is expected to miss at least two weeks after sustaining an ankle injury against the Rebels.

"He's a player," left tackle Colton Jackson told reporters about Storey. "If you've got a quarterback that can take those licks though some might be unnecessary that just runs out of the pocket, scrambles and tries to get those extra yards. Man, you love a quarterback like that." Arkansas, which is paying Tulsa $1.45 million to play, must win its final five games to guarantee bowl eligibility after allowing a game-losing 97-yard touchdown drive to Ole Miss in the final 2 minutes, 2 seconds. The Golden Hurricane have dropped five straight after a 25-24 loss to No. 20 South Florida last week, blowing a 14-point lead in the last 7:10. “We just have to stay together,'' redshirt freshman quarterback Seth Boomer told reporters. "Losing sucks and I’m tired of it, but as long as we stay together that’s the most important thing.”

TV: Noon ET, SEC Network. LINE: Arkansas -7

ABOUT TULSA (1-5): Boomer is 19-of-52 for 306 yards with two touchdowns and one interception in the last two games after sophomore Luke Skipper completed 58.6 percent of his passes with four TDs and six picks in the first four contests. The Golden Hurricane are 32nd in the country at 209 rushing yards per game thanks to a two-pronged attack from sophomores Shamari Brooks (475 yards, six TDs) and Corey Taylor II (411, four). The defense, led by junior linebacker Cooper Edmiston (team highs of three interceptions and 54 tackles), is allowing 398.5 yards per game after yielding an average of 587.5 over the first six contests in 2017.

ABOUT ARKANSAS (1-6): Storey took a helmet-to-helmet hit from Ole Miss safety Vernon Dasher, who was ejected, and also absorbed a shot to the ribs before leaving in the second quarter. Boyd, a sophomore, had already racked up a career-high 109 yards on seven carries and also left before halftime. Tight end Cheyenne O'Grady has three touchdown receptions in the last three games after missing the first two contests because of suspension and playing sparingly in the next two, while wide receiver La'Michael Pettway caught a TD pass versus Ole Miss for his team-high fourth of the season.

EXTRA POINTS

1. Razorbacks junior LB De'Jon Harris leads the SEC with 77 tackles after recording 13 last week.

2. Tulsa, which has the smallest enrollment among FBS schools at 3,343 (Arkansas 27,558), is 22nd nationally against the pass at 184 yards per game but 114th among the 129 FBS teams in rushing defense at 214.5.

3. Arkansas leads the series 54-15-3 and has won 18 straight meetings, including 19-15 in 2012 in the last encounter.

PREDICTION: Arkansas 31, Tulsa 24
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  #32  
Old 10-19-2018, 10:59 AM
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ATS Trends
Tulsa

Golden Hurricane are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in October.
Golden Hurricane are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Golden Hurricane are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 road games.
Golden Hurricane are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Golden Hurricane are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Golden Hurricane are 1-5 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Golden Hurricane are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win.
Golden Hurricane are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.

Arkansas

Razorbacks are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.
Razorbacks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in October.
Razorbacks are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up loss.
Razorbacks are 8-3-2 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Razorbacks are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games on fieldturf.
Razorbacks are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Razorbacks are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Razorbacks are 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Razorbacks are 0-7-2 ATS in their last 9 non-conference games.
Razorbacks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

OU Trends
Tulsa

Under is 5-0 in Golden Hurricane last 5 games overall.
Under is 6-0 in Golden Hurricane last 6 road games.
Under is 5-0 in Golden Hurricane last 5 games in October.
Under is 4-0 in Golden Hurricane last 4 games following a straight up loss.
Under is 6-1 in Golden Hurricane last 7 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 5-1 in Golden Hurricane last 6 games following a ATS win.
Under is 5-1 in Golden Hurricane last 6 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Golden Hurricane last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 4-1 in Golden Hurricane last 5 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 6-2 in Golden Hurricane last 8 games on fieldturf.
Under is 9-3 in Golden Hurricane last 12 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Under is 5-2 in Golden Hurricane last 7 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.

Arkansas

Over is 4-0 in Razorbacks last 4 games in October.
Over is 4-0 in Razorbacks last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Over is 5-0 in Razorbacks last 5 games following a ATS win.
Over is 5-0 in Razorbacks last 5 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Razorbacks last 5 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 8-2 in Razorbacks last 10 home games.
Over is 5-2 in Razorbacks last 7 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 7-3 in Razorbacks last 10 non-conference games.

Head to Head
No trends available.
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  #33  
Old 10-19-2018, 11:00 AM
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Preview: Maryland at Iowa


Nate Stanley enjoyed a historic outing in No. 22 Iowa’s 42-16 thrashing of Indiana last week as the Hawkeyes piled up over 400 yards of total offense for a fourth consecutive week. Coach Kirk Ferentz likes the club's maturation over a season ago when they averaged only 329 yards, but the Hawkeyes will have to be sharp when they host an opportunistic Maryland team this Saturday.


“I just think we're a little bit more experienced than we were. We were really inexperienced last year at the receiver position, tight end position, quarterback position,” Ferentz said during his weekly press conference. Stanley threw for 320 yards and six touchdowns against the Hoosiers - tying for the second most TD passes in school history - and has 14 touchdowns over the past four games to tie Chuck Long (1985) for the most ever over a four-game stretch. Tight ends Noah Fant (four catches, 102 yards, one TD) and T.J. Hokenson (4-107-2) combined for eight receptions, 209 yards and three TDs, while Toren Young added 96 yards rushing on 19 carries. Maryland picked off five passes, yielded only 179 yards of total offense and was just 43 seconds shy of its first shutout since 2013 in last week's 34-7 rout over Rutgers.
TV: Noon ET, ESPN2. LINE: Iowa -10.

ABOUT MARYLAND (4-2, 2-1 Big Ten): Kasim Hill (8-for-17, 76 yards) threw three touchdown passes against the Scarlet Knights and senior Ty Johnson ran for 121 of his 132 yards in the first half to improve his career total to 2,564 yards - fourth most in school history. The Terrapins are currently fifth in the country and lead the Big Ten in turnover margin, at plus-1.5 per game, and safety Darnell Savage Jr., who had two interceptions last week, is tied for the FBS lead with four. “I’m like a cheerleader for our defense,” interim coach Matt Canada said after the win. “They're around the football and when you're around the football, good things happen.”

ABOUT IOWA (5-1, 2-1): Hockenson and Fant rank first and second, respectively, on the team in receptions and have combined for 692 receiving yards on 45 catches, including nine receiving touchdowns. Maryland relies heavily on the running game (245.2 yards per game), but Iowa's defense allows 2.7 yards per carry - fifth in the country - and is one of four defenses to have allowed only four rushing touchdowns (Alabama, Auburn, North Carolina State). Wide receiver Ihmir Smith-Marsette is averaging 37.4 yards on his five kick returns, which would lead the nation if he had enough returns to qualify.


EXTRA POINTS

1. The teams split their first two meetings all-time with the Hawkeyes coming out on top the last time, 31-15 at home in 2015.

2. The five interceptions last week were Maryland's most since a seven-pick performance against Duke in 1998.

3. Iowa is one win from becoming bowl-eligible for the 17th time in the last 18 seasons.

PREDICTION: Iowa 41, Maryland 17
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  #34  
Old 10-19-2018, 11:01 AM
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ATS Trends
Maryland

Terrapins are 16-35 ATS in their last 51 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Terrapins are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games in October.
Terrapins are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 road games.
Terrapins are 4-11 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Terrapins are 6-22 ATS in their last 28 games following a ATS win.
Terrapins are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Terrapins are 5-21 ATS in their last 26 games following a straight up win.
Terrapins are 2-11 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Terrapins are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Terrapins are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Terrapins are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.

Iowa

Hawkeyes are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Hawkeyes are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Hawkeyes are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games on fieldturf.
Hawkeyes are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Hawkeyes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.
Hawkeyes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
Hawkeyes are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Hawkeyes are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 home games.
Hawkeyes are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games in October.
Hawkeyes are 5-2-2 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Hawkeyes are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Hawkeyes are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.

OU Trends
Maryland

Over is 6-1 in Terrapins last 7 games in October.
Under is 5-1 in Terrapins last 6 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.
Over is 4-1 in Terrapins last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Over is 7-2 in Terrapins last 9 road games.
Over is 6-2 in Terrapins last 8 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 6-2 in Terrapins last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 9-3 in Terrapins last 12 conference games.
Over is 12-5 in Terrapins last 17 games on fieldturf.
Over is 7-3 in Terrapins last 10 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 7-3 in Terrapins last 10 games following a ATS win.
Over is 13-6 in Terrapins last 19 games overall.

Iowa

Over is 4-0 in Hawkeyes last 4 games overall.
Over is 7-0 in Hawkeyes last 7 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 4-0 in Hawkeyes last 4 games on fieldturf.
Over is 6-0 in Hawkeyes last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 4-0 in Hawkeyes last 4 conference games.
Over is 6-1 in Hawkeyes last 7 games following a straight up win.
Over is 5-1 in Hawkeyes last 6 games following a ATS win.
Over is 4-1 in Hawkeyes last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Over is 4-1-1 in Hawkeyes last 6 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.

Head to Head
No trends available.
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  #35  
Old 10-19-2018, 11:01 AM
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Preview: Illinois at Wisconsin
Gracenote
Oct 17, 2018

No. 19 Wisconsin looks to bounce back from its first conference loss in nearly two years when it hosts Illinois on Saturday. The Badgers suffered a 38-13 setback to seventh-ranked Michigan in Week 7 to see their College Football Playoff dreams effectively dashed and hope to get over the disappointment of their second loss of the season by beating the Fighting Illini for the ninth consecutive time.


Wisconsin is one of four teams in the Big Ten West with a conference loss, but controls its own destiny in its quest for a third straight division title. The Badgers hope to separate themselves from the logjam by posting their 10th consecutive home win in conference play. Illinois is heading in the wrong direction after surrendering 611 yards in the 46-7 drubbing at the hands of Purdue last weekend. The Fighting Illini, who have lost three of their last four games, have given up an average of 54.5 points in their last two Big Ten setbacks and hope to overcome their defensive deficiencies as they aim to knock off Wisconsin for the first time since a 31-26 victory on Oct. 6, 2007. "I have faith in our scheme as it has a proven success rate," Illinois coach Lovie Smith told reporters. "We have a sound defense … but sometimes execution doesn't necessarily happen."

TV: Noon ET, Fox Sports1. LINE: Wisconsin -24.5.


ABOUT ILLINOIS (3-3, 1-2 Big Ten): AJ Bush Jr. completed 12-of-25 passes for 170 yards and an interception, but scored the Fighting Illini's lone touchdown of the game - a five yard run - in the lopsided loss to Purdue. "We've just got to bounce back and we've got to have a short memory about it," Bush told reporters. "It hurts to lose like that but we've got to bounce back and be tough and be men about it." Tight end Louis Dorsey, who was named to the Mackey Award Preseason watch list after leading the team in touchdown catches last year, revealed on Tuesday that he intends to transfer to another school, making him the fourth player to leave the program this season.

ABOUT WISCONSIN (4-2, 2-1): Alex Hornibrook was limited to 100 yards on 7-of-20 passing with a touchdown and two interceptions, including a pick that was returned for a score, in the loss to Michigan. Jonathan Taylor rushed for 101 yards on 17 carries against the Wolverines to top the century mark for the seventh consecutive game dating to last season, which is the longest active streak in the nation. Starting defensive end Isaiahh Loudermilk is set to miss his second straight game with a leg issue while defensive backs Scott Nelson (leg), D'Cota Dixon (lower-body) and Reggie Pearson (foot) are all questionable for Saturday's clash.


EXTRA POINTS

1. Wisconsin has outscored Illinois 96-36 over the last three meetings.

2. Taylor is ranked second nationally in rushing yards per game (158.3).

3. The Fighting Illini have forced at least one turnover in 20 straight games.


PREDICTION: Wisconsin 34, Illinois 10
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  #36  
Old 10-19-2018, 11:02 AM
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ATS Trends
Illinois

Fighting Illini are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.
Fighting Illini are 16-33 ATS in their last 49 games following a double-digit loss at home.
Fighting Illini are 18-38 ATS in their last 56 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Fighting Illini are 6-15 ATS in their last 21 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Fighting Illini are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Fighting Illini are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
Fighting Illini are 5-23 ATS in their last 28 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.

Wisconsin

Badgers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss.
Badgers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
Badgers are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points.
Badgers are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games following a ATS loss.
Badgers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in October.
Badgers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
Badgers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games on fieldturf.
Badgers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games.

OU Trends
Illinois

Over is 4-0 in Fighting Illini last 4 games following a straight up loss.
Over is 4-0 in Fighting Illini last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Under is 7-1 in Fighting Illini last 8 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Fighting Illini last 5 conference games.
Over is 6-2 in Fighting Illini last 8 road games.
Under is 5-2 in Fighting Illini last 7 games following a double-digit loss at home.
Over is 5-2 in Fighting Illini last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 17-7 in Fighting Illini last 24 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 15-7 in Fighting Illini last 22 games following a ATS loss.

Wisconsin

Over is 9-1-1 in Badgers last 11 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 8-1 in Badgers last 9 games following a ATS loss.
Over is 9-2 in Badgers last 11 games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points.
Over is 4-1 in Badgers last 5 games overall.
Under is 4-1 in Badgers last 5 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Badgers last 5 games on fieldturf.
Over is 4-1 in Badgers last 5 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
Over is 16-6-1 in Badgers last 23 games following a straight up loss.
Over is 12-5 in Badgers last 17 conference games.

Head to Head

Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Wisconsin.
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Old 10-19-2018, 11:02 AM
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Preview: Northwestern at Rutgers


Coming off the best game of his career, senior quarterback Clayton Thorson will lead a Northwestern squad into Rutgers on Saturday seeking a third straight victory and a sixth straight Big Ten triumph on the road. Thorson, who is coming off knee surgery that limited him early in the season, completed 41-of-64 passes for a career-high 455 yards and three touchdowns to lead the Wildcats to a 34-31 overtime triumph over Nebraska last weekend.


He drove the Wildcats 99 yards in the final two minutes to force overtime, and Northwestern won the game when sophomore Drew Luckenbaugh capped his first game with a 37-yard field goal after Nebraska failed to convert a fourth down on its only possession of the extra session. Senior wide receiver Flynn Nagel matched his career high for the second time this season with 12 receptions and recorded career bests with 220 receiving yards and two scores, setting the third-best single-game receiving yard mark in program history and the most by a Big Ten player since 2013. "Guys were pumped up," Nagel told nusports.com. “We knew as an offense we had to take over. We had to step up. We had to make some big plays. Clayton and I looked at each other, and we looked at the other guys, and we said we've got to win this game as an offense. While Northwestern sits tied atop the West division, Rutgers showed last week it has a long way to go for respectability in the Big Ten after getting pounded 34-7 at Maryland.

TV: Noon ET, Big Ten Network. LINE: Northwestern -20.5.



ABOUT NORTHWESTERN (3-3, 3-1 Big Ten): Nagel's 46 receptions and 622 receiving yards are the most by a Northwestern player through the first six games since at least 2000, according to the school’s website. Nagel, who earned Big Ten Co-Offensive Player of the Week honors, leads the Big Ten and ranks second in the country in receptions per game (8.0) and is tied for 12th in the nation in receiving yards. The running game continues to struggle without Jeremy Larkin (346 yards but did not play due to injury the last three weeks); the Wildcats, who average just 69.8 for the season, ran for just 32 yards against the Huskers after combining for 36 in the previous two weeks.

ABOUT RUTGERS (1-6, 0-4): Freshman quarterback Artur Sitkowski was pulled late in the third quarter against the Terrapins after going 2-for-16 for eight yards and four interceptions, and backup Giovanni Rescigno had his only pass picked off as the Knights mustered just 179 yards of total offense. The lone bright spot was freshman Isaih Pacheco, who ran 22 times for 107 yards and his first touchdown. “When you struggle to run the ball and protect the quarterback, and you struggle to get open against man-coverage and make turnovers, it's going to be tough to win the game," Rutgers coach Chris Ash told reporters. "We've got to figure out something offensively to move the ball consistently and score some points."



EXTRA POINTS

1. Rutgers leads the all-time series 3-0 with wins in 1919, 1989 and 1991, but this meeting is the first Big Ten contest between the two.

2. Scarlet Knights senior linebacker Trevor Morris leads the Big Ten with 62 tackles, and he’s 24 stops away from joining the school’s top-10 list.

3. Northwestern is the least penalized team in the country with only 2.8 per game.

PREDICTION: Northwestern 44, Rutgers 16
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Old 10-19-2018, 11:03 AM
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ATS Trends
Northwestern

Wildcats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on fieldturf.
Wildcats are 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 games in October.
Wildcats are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Wildcats are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Wildcats are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Wildcats are 21-5-1 ATS in their last 27 conference games.
Wildcats are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up win.
Wildcats are 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 games overall.
Wildcats are 16-5-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Wildcats are 14-5-1 ATS in their last 20 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Wildcats are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Wildcats are 37-18 ATS in their last 55 road games.

Rutgers

Scarlet Knights are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 games following a straight up loss.
Scarlet Knights are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Scarlet Knights are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Scarlet Knights are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points.
Scarlet Knights are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Scarlet Knights are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
Scarlet Knights are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Scarlet Knights are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 conference games.
Scarlet Knights are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
Scarlet Knights are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games on fieldturf.

OU Trends
Northwestern

Over is 3-0-1 in Wildcats last 4 games on fieldturf.
Over is 5-0-1 in Wildcats last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Over is 5-1-1 in Wildcats last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 4-1 in Wildcats last 5 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Wildcats last 5 games in October.
Over is 4-1 in Wildcats last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Wildcats last 5 conference games.
Over is 15-5-1 in Wildcats last 21 road games.
Under is 3-1-1 in Wildcats last 5 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 11-5-1 in Wildcats last 17 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.

Rutgers

Over is 7-2 in Scarlet Knights last 9 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 6-2 in Scarlet Knights last 8 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 8-3 in Scarlet Knights last 11 games following a straight up loss.
Over is 5-2 in Scarlet Knights last 7 games following a ATS loss.
Under is 5-2 in Scarlet Knights last 7 conference games.
Over is 9-4 in Scarlet Knights last 13 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.

Head to Head
No trends available.
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Old 10-19-2018, 11:03 AM
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Preview: Michigan at Michigan State


Michigan tries for its seventh straight victory when it travels to face rival Michigan State on Saturday in the Big Ten Conference. The seventh-ranked Wolverines are coming off a home rout of No. 19 Wisconsin 38-13, while the Spartans won at No. 16 Penn State 21-17.

Jim Harbaugh’s squad has been strong offensively during its winning streak, averaging 41.7 points, though in its one road game during that time -- at Northwestern -- Michigan scored 20 points, its only game with less than 38 over that span. Quarterback Shea Patterson has been solid (1,311 yards, 10 touchdowns) but may need to go to the air more often against a Michigan State defense that is No. 1 in the country in rushing defense (62.3 yards per game). His counterpart, the Spartans' Brian Lewerke (1,587 yards, eight TDs), will also have to be solid as Michigan State has struggled with a number of injuries to key skill position players and the Wolverines are No. 1 in the nation against the pass (129.1 yards per game). One player who will draw a lot of attention from the Michigan defense is wide receiver Felton Davis III after he riddled Penn State for eight catches for 100 yards and a pair of second-half scores.

TV: Noon ET, FOX. LINE: Michigan -7

ABOUT MICHIGAN (6-1, 4-0 Big Ten): To beat Michigan State, the Michigan defense is going to need to keep Lewerke in check, and not just through the air, as the junior is one of the better running quarterbacks the Wolverines will face this season. In its lone loss of the season, Michigan allowed Notre Dame quarterback Brandon Wimbush to rush 19 times for a team-high 59 yards, similar to Lewerke’s 15 carries for 61 yards in last year’s Michigan State victory over the Wolverines. Lewerke gains yards on more than just designed runs as well, so the Michigan defenders will need to be aware of him scrambling when his passing targets are all covered.

ABOUT MICHIGAN STATE (4-2, 2-1): The availability of many of Michigan State’s best offensive weapons is so unsure because of multiple injuries, coach Mark Dantonio didn’t put out an updated depth chart heading into this contest. Running back LJ Scott’s status is up in the air, so it will likely be up to sophomore Connor Heyward (191 yards, three touchdowns) and freshman La’Darius Jefferson (185, two) to carry the load for the Spartans’ ground attack again. Both showed flashes at the end of the Penn State contest, but need to be at their best from the get-go against a Michigan defense that can clamp down on the passing game in order give Michigan State some needed offensive balance.

EXTRA POINTS

1. Michigan RB Karan Higdon is third in the Big Ten and ninth in the country with 114.5 rushing yards per game.

2. Spartans S Khari Willis was named the Big Ten Defensive Player of the Week after tallying a season-high nine tackles and a forced fumble against Penn State.

3. Michigan State has won eight of the last 10 meetings, though the Wolverines took the last encounter in East Lansing in 2016.

PREDICTION: Michigan 24, Michigan State 14
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Old 10-19-2018, 11:04 AM
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ATS Trends
Michigan

Wolverines are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
Wolverines are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.
Wolverines are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Wolverines are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games in October.
Wolverines are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 games following a ATS win.
Wolverines are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
Wolverines are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Wolverines are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games.

Michigan State

Spartans are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Spartans are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win.
Spartans are 11-29 ATS in their last 40 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Spartans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Spartans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
Spartans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.

OU Trends
Michigan

Over is 5-0 in Wolverines last 5 games in October.
Over is 8-1 in Wolverines last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Over is 4-1 in Wolverines last 5 games overall.
Under is 4-1 in Wolverines last 5 road games.
Over is 4-1 in Wolverines last 5 games following a straight up win.
Over is 4-1 in Wolverines last 5 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Wolverines last 5 conference games.
Over is 18-7-1 in Wolverines last 26 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 5-2 in Wolverines last 7 games on grass.

Michigan State

Over is 6-0 in Spartans last 6 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Over is 4-0 in Spartans last 4 home games.
Over is 4-1 in Spartans last 5 games following a straight up win.
Over is 4-1 in Spartans last 5 games following a ATS win.
Under is 7-2 in Spartans last 9 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 6-2 in Spartans last 8 games overall.
Over is 6-2 in Spartans last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Head to Head

Wolverines are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 meetings.
Wolverines are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Michigan State.
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Old 10-19-2018, 11:04 AM
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Preview: Cincinnati at Temple


Off to its first 6-0 start in six years, No. 21 Cincinnati puts its unblemished record on the line Saturday against host Temple. The Bearcats and Owls are each undefeated in conference play - two of the four unbeaten teams in the American Athletic Conference's East Division.

Cincinnati has allowed 24 points in its three road games and is giving up 13.7 points on the season, ranking third among FBS squads. "Their defense did a great job," Tulane coach Willie Fritz said after absorbing a 16-point defeat to the Bearcats earlier this month. "They whipped us up front and did a good job tackling and pressing us. It was hard for our receivers to get open." Temple is coming off a 24-17 road win against Navy - its fourth win in five games following an 0-2 start. "It was a fun game," Owls coach Geoff Collins said. "I am just so amazingly proud. Those guys fought back. They stayed together and made play after play after play in an adverse situation in a hostile environment. You just can't say enough about that group of young men who were in there."

TV: Noon ET, ESPNU. LINE: Temple -3.5

ABOUT CINCINNATI (6-0, 2-0 AAC): The Bearcats have put up at least 34 points in four straight games with Desmond Ridder throwing multiple TDs in each contest. He also has run for a touchdown in each of those four outings, while Michael Warren II has 11 rushing TDs on the year and is seeking his fourth straight 100-yard rushing effort. Six different Bearcats have accumulated between 10-21 receptions with Josiah Deguara leading the team in both categories (21 catches, 296 yards).

ABOUT TEMPLE (4-2, 3-0): The Owls' Anthony Russo threw for a season-high 300 yards in the win over Navy, highlighted by his fourth-quarter touchdown pass to Ventell Bryant. That marked the first TD of the season for Bryant, who leads the team in receptions (26) and yards (343). Ryquell Armstead, who is battling an ankle injury, has six rushing touchdowns in the last three games and a team-high 626 rushing yards on the season.

EXTRA POINTS

1. Temple leads the series 12-7-1 and has won the last three matchups.

2. Cincinnati, which won four games last season, is bowl-eligible for the first time since 2015.

3. No team in the nation has more defensive touchdowns than the Owls (five).

PREDICTION: Cincinnati 33, Temple 13
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  #42  
Old 10-19-2018, 11:05 AM
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ATS Trends
Cincinnati

Bearcats are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
Bearcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.
Bearcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.
Bearcats are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
Bearcats are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Temple

Owls are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win.
Owls are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Owls are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Owls are 21-5 ATS in their last 26 conference games.
Owls are 12-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Owls are 42-14 ATS in their last 56 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Owls are 37-15-1 ATS in their last 53 games in October.
Owls are 38-17 ATS in their last 55 games following a ATS win.
Owls are 36-17 ATS in their last 53 games overall.
Owls are 39-19 ATS in their last 58 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.

OU Trends
Cincinnati

Under is 6-1 in Bearcats last 7 games on grass.
Under is 5-1 in Bearcats last 6 road games.
Over is 5-1 in Bearcats last 6 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 4-1-1 in Bearcats last 6 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Bearcats last 5 games following a ATS win.
Under is 3-1-1 in Bearcats last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Over is 5-2-1 in Bearcats last 8 games following a straight up win.
Under is 34-16-1 in Bearcats last 51 games in October.

Temple

Under is 4-1 in Owls last 5 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 13-4 in Owls last 17 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Under is 11-4 in Owls last 15 games following a straight up win.
Under is 11-4 in Owls last 15 games on grass.
Over is 5-2 in Owls last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 5-2 in Owls last 7 conference games.

Head to Head

Road team is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings.
Bearcats are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
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  #43  
Old 10-20-2018, 10:07 AM
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Market Moves for Oklahoma-TCU
By Danny Donahue

The line movement in this game has been fairly standard, as Oklahoma has moved from -7.5 to -8 behind 70% of bets and 78% of dollars.

And as is often the case in Big 12 matchups, bettors have flocked to the over. It has received 84% of bets and 72% of dollars wagered, and has moved from 61 to 62.

Trends to Know
By John Ewing

As an underdog under Patterson, TCU is 24-12-1 (67%) against the spread since 2005. The Frogs are 14-4 (78%) ATS when getting seven or more points, per our data at Bet Labs.

By Evan Abrams

Oklahoma lost to Texas two weeks ago in the “Red River Rivalry” for the first time since 2015. Over the last 20 years, Oklahoma has won seven consecutive games straight up the week after losing to Texas. Its last loss came in 1998 against Missouri, when the Sooners were in the midst of a five-game losing streak. Oklahoma is 7-2 ATS since 1998 after a loss to Texas.

Since the beginning of the 2016 season, TCU is 20-13 straight up under Patterson, but against the spread, the Horned Frogs are only 12-21 ATS.

Patterson has lost bettors 9.7 units since the start of 2016. In the Power 5, only Bobby Petrino from Louisville has lost bettors more, at 11-21-1 ATS (-10.4 units).

Defensive Motivation for Oklahoma?
By Steve Petrella

After losing to Texas — sorry, getting torched by Texas — Oklahoma fired defensive coordinator Mike Stoops. He crafted some decent defenses as Arizona’s head coach in the mid-2000’s and in his first few years as Oklahoma’s DC, but the wheels came off the last two years. Which is a shame, because the Sooners’ offense has been good enough to win a national title with even a competent defense.




I don’t think the coaching change will have an immediate effect schematically or with execution, but I think we see an Oklahoma defense with a renewed sense of urgency. The Sooners know their College Football Playoff hopes aren’t dead, and the defense knows it’s letting the offense down.

Even if it’s for just a week, the Sooners defense will be better.
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Old 10-20-2018, 10:07 AM
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Can TCU Take Care of the Ball?
By Stuckey

Turnovers have absolutely killed a TCU team that is 3-3 despite outgaining every opponent this season — including Ohio State and Texas.

If we remove FCS season-opener vs. Southern, TCU has 15 turnovers (9 INT, 6 lost fumbles) and just three takeaways in five games this season. Excluding FCS games, TCU’s -2.0 average turnover margin is tied with lowly UConn for the worst in the nation.

While Oklahoma’s subpar defense doesn’t generate many turnovers, its offense has turned it over only six times in six games.

Per S&P+, TCU ranks 130th in Expected Turnover Margin, so the turnovers haven’t been fluky, while Oklahoma ranks 56th.

With a few extra possessions, expect quarterback Kyler Murray and the elite Sooners’ offense to once again have their way with a TCU defense that struggles to defend against big passing plays (much like it did last year in two losses by a combined 42 points to Oklahoma).

What Happened to TCU’s Offense?
By Steve Petrella

After a tight loss to Ohio State in which TCU had 511 yards (6.72 per play), the Horned Frogs offense has completely fallen off. They’ve scored 16, 17 and 14 points in their last three, but outgained their opponent in yards per play and raw yardage in all three.

The biggest problem has been finishing drives. TCU ranks 126th of 130 teams in points per possession inside the opponent’s 40, and that ranking is anchored by the last three games, in which the Frogs have been awful.


Finishing drives is a skill, so don’t expect automatic regression, but TCU has ranked top 50 in finishing drives in two of the last three years. It will improve.
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Old 10-20-2018, 10:07 AM
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Bet to Watch for TCU-Oklahoma
By Collin Wilson

Should Oklahoma be laying a touchdown to anyone in the country with the defensive statistics it has recorded so far? The powerhouse offenses of Army, Baylor, and Texas each put up at least 21 points against the Sooners.

New defensive coordinator Ruffin McNeil has had plenty of success in other coaching spots, but the promotion of Bob Diaco to linebackers coach caught plenty of headlines. These coaches will try to simplify a defensive scheme that ranks 99th in success rate so far this season.

Although Oklahoma is coming off a bye week, TCU will be on more than a week’s rest after a loss to Texas Tech last Thursday. The Horned Frogs have a stark contrast to Oklahoma in red-zone defense, with TCU coming in the top five in the nation points per attempt (3.61). The Sooners rank in the bottom five in the nation in red zone defense (6.38), which could be what TCU needs to get over its issues finishing drives.

Two key areas will dictate this game: TCU’s third-down defense and its yards per play allowed. The Horned Frogs rank top 15 in both those categories. These are Oklahoma’s strongest offensive categories, ranking No. 1 in yards per play and No. 7 in third-down conversions.

Considering that the Sooners defense is a complete unknown, and ranks 108th in overall Havoc, TCU should have plenty of time to make quality throws. The TCU offense has sputtered over the past couple of games, so there could be a quarterback change for the Horned Frogs.

As we started with, until the Sooners defense proves it can improve on a poor opponent’s yards per play and red zone defense, Oklahoma should not lay more than a touchdown against any competent team, which TCU certainly is.
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10/20/2018, day, good, great, luck

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