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Old 09-13-2017, 10:11 AM
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foot Thursday 9/14/2017 NFL Betting Info

Good Luck and Have A Great Day
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Old 09-13-2017, 10:12 AM
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When: 8:25 PM ET, Thursday, September 14, 2017
Where: Paul Brown Stadium, Cincinnati, Ohio

Preview: Texans at Bengals
Gracenote
Sep 12, 2017

The Houston Texans and Cincinnati Bengals were among a glut of teams who put forth feeble offensive performances in their respective season openers. Coming off lopsided losses -- each at home -- to division opponents, the Bengals and Texans have a short week to solve their offensive woes when they square off in Cincinnati on Thursday night.

Awful quarterback performances low-lighted the Week 1 efforts for each team and there could be a change under center for Houston, which benched starter Tom Savage at halftime in favor of rookie first-round pick Deshaun Watson. "We’re going to do what’s best for the team," said Texans coach Bill O'Brien of the potential quarterback controversy after dealing with the failed Brock Osweiler fiasco last year. "We always try to do what’s best for the team, and try to go from there.” Cincinnati was shut out (20-0 by Baltimore) at home for the first time since 2001 as quarterback Andy Dalton matched a career worst with four interceptions and committed five turnovers. “I have to put this one behind us,” acknowledged Dalton. “I know the type of player that I am and I can be. I can’t let this affect the next one.”

TV: 8:25 p.m. ET, NFL Network. LINE: Bengals -5. O/U: 38

ABOUT THE TEXANS (0-1): Reports out of Houston indicate that Watson, who guided Clemson to the national championship in January, will be under center for Thursday's matchup if he is not hindered by an ankle injury during Tuesday's practice. Watson was 12 of 23 for 102 yards with one touchdown and one interception, but he and Savage absorbed a combined 10 sacks behind a line that is still missing left tackle Duane Brown (contract holdout) and will be without guard Jeff Allen. Perhaps an even bigger issue facing the Texans is a lengthy injury list that features five players in the NFL's concussion protocol, including the team's top three tight ends. Despite the return of start defensive end J.J. Watt, limited to three games last season due to back surgery, Houston allowed 155 yards rushing in the 29-7 loss to Jacksonville.

ABOUT THE BENGALS (0-1): Lost in the abysmal performance by Dalton, who tossed three of his interceptions in the first half, was the sturdy play of Cincinnati's defense, which surrendered a total of 268 yards (157 rushing) to the Ravens. Dalton, who is already halfway to last season's interception total of eight, compiled a wretched 28.4 passer rating after completing 16 of 31 for 170 yards, with star wideout A.J. Green leading the way with five catches for 74 yards. The Bengals need to sort out their running game -- Giovani Bernard, less than 10 months removed from knee surgery, rushed for 40 yards on seven carries but highly touted rookie Joe Mixon managed only nine yards on eight rushes. Rookie wideout John Ross, the ninth overall pick who was clocked in 4.22 in the 40 at the NFL combine, is expected to make his NFL debut.

EXTRA POINTS

1. Houston has won seven of the past eight meetings (playoffs included) and held Cincinnati to 16 points the past two seasons.

2. Green has 22 receptions in three career matchups against the Texans.

3. Texans WR Jaelen Strong will make his season debut after serving a one-game suspension.

PREDICTION: Bengals 16, Texans 13
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Old 09-13-2017, 10:12 AM
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Trends - Houston at Cincinnati

ATS Trends
Houston

Texans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a double-digit loss at home.
Texans are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
Texans are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
Texans are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games in Week 2.
Texans are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Texans are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
Texans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.
Texans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on fieldturf.
Texans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss of more than 14 points.
Texans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
Texans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. AFC.
Texans are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 Thursday games.
Texans are 0-4 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.

Cincinnati

Bengals are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home.
Bengals are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
Bengals are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games in Week 2.
Bengals are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Bengals are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Bengals are 6-2-2 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
Bengals are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Bengals are 18-7-2 ATS in their last 27 games in September.
Bengals are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
Bengals are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.

OU Trends
Houston

Under is 5-0-1 in Texans last 6 games in September.
Under is 4-0 in Texans last 4 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
Over is 4-0 in Texans last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Under is 7-1 in Texans last 8 games following a ATS loss.
Under is 5-1 in Texans last 6 games following a straight up loss.
Over is 4-1 in Texans last 5 Thursday games.
Over is 4-1 in Texans last 5 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 17-5 in Texans last 22 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.

Cincinnati

Under is 3-0-1 in Bengals last 4 Thursday games.
Under is 4-0 in Bengals last 4 games on fieldturf.
Under is 4-0 in Bengals last 4 games in Week 2.
Under is 6-1 in Bengals last 7 games following a straight up loss of more than 14 points.
Under is 5-1 in Bengals last 6 games following a straight up loss.
Under is 5-1 in Bengals last 6 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 9-2 in Bengals last 11 vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 4-1 in Bengals last 5 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Bengals last 5 home games.
Under is 4-1 in Bengals last 5 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Bengals last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Under is 16-5 in Bengals last 21 vs. AFC.
Over is 20-7 in Bengals last 27 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
Under is 20-8 in Bengals last 28 games overall.
Over is 5-2 in Bengals last 7 games following a double-digit loss at home.
Under is 7-3 in Bengals last 10 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Head to Head

Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
Texans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings in Cincinnati.
Texans are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 meetings.
Underdog is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
Road team is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
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Old 09-14-2017, 09:38 AM
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Will lowest scoring NFL Week 1 in years lead to more Unders in Week 2?

The Houston Texans allowed 10 sacks and turned the ball over four times against the Jacksonville Jaguars on Sunday.

The NFL is back with Week 1 in the books and thank goodness it’s behind us. Outside of a few games, Week 1 was a painful watch. Few games were competitive in the fourth quarter and many offenses looked uglier than Jason Whitlock’s fedora collection.

Low scoring is the story of the weekend with the Houston Texans, San Francisco 49ers, Cincinnati Bengals, Seattle Seahawks, New York Giants and the Indianapolis Colts all failing to put double digits on the scoreboard.

Last season, the St. Louis Rams – a squad with a historically horrendous offense – averaged a league-worst 262 yards per game. Eight teams tallied fewer than 250 yards of total offense in Week 1.

It’s no surprise that the Under was the best betting trend of the first weekend of the NFL season. The Under went 2-10 on Sunday and finished 5-10 for the week. The average points scored per game is 40.4 after the first 15 contests. The average points scored per game in Week 1 last season was about 4.5 points higher at 44.8.

The data tells us oddsmakers were hitting it out of the park with their Over/Under lines in Week 1 from 2013 to 2016. The differential between the average total and the average game score was less than a point in each year and the Over/Under record was never more than a game off an 8-8 mark.

We can also see that scoring in Week 1 is on a three-year decline and there’s a gulf of 8.5 points between the high year of the sample in 2012 when the average points scored per game was 49.4 and this season.

Bettors will be asking themselves if the low scoring will continue into Week 2. Oddsmakers adjusted to the Week 1 results by setting the lowest average game totals in Week 2 since 2011.

Despite Vegas’ re-calibration, sharp bettors still think there are opportunities moving forward betting the Under on the league’s worst offenses.

Ted Sevransky says he has concerns about the offensive production from the six teams held under 10 points in the first week.

“All six teams had significant offensive line concerns coming into the season, and all six of them failed their first test pretty badly,” Sevransky says. “I have already bet Unders on several of their matchups this week [Week 2] and may still bet more.”

Let’s review each of these offensively-challenged sides and where they play in Week 2.

Cincinnati Bengals

Quarterback Andy Dalton turned the ball over five times in what, very well, could have been his worst career outing as a pro player. The Bengals put up a goose egg on the scoreboard marking the first time they’ve been shut out since Week 7 in 2014.

After the game Bengals head coach Marvin Lewis said, “I don’t know if I’ve ever been in such a disappointing football game.”

Dating back to last year, the Under is now 8-1 in Cincy’s last nine regular season games. The Bengals have had a middle of the pack offense for the last three years. It’s safe to assume they’ll finish with around the 15th best offense again this season.

The lowest total (38.5) on the board is Thursday night’s game between the Texans and Bengals.

Houston Texans

Houston allowed 10 sacks and turned the ball over four times against Jacksonville on Sunday. Texans coach Bill O’Brien benched his starting quarterback after the first two quarters of the season.

We don’t know yet if the Texans will stick with rookie DeShaun Watson under center or if they’ll go back to Tom Savage on Thursday against Cincinnati.

The offensive line is a major concern and it sure would help if the team could come to terms with their best lineman. Left tackle Duane Brown, a three-time Pro Bowler, is still holding out for a new contract.

Five of the Jags’ 10 sacks on Sunday came when they rushed just four defenders.

Indianapolis Colts

Quarterback Andrew Luck is ruled out against the Arizona Cardinals in Week 2 which means bettors are likely to see another week with Scott Tolzien under center for the Colts. Without Luck, there’s a good argument to be made that Indy is the least talented team in the league.

The total for the Cards-Colts game opened at 44.5.

New York Giants

The G-Men are another case of a club that was missing its best player in Week 1. Receiver Odell Beckham Jr. didn’t play because of an ankle sprain, although the Giants lack of scoring punch isn’t a one-game problem.

New York hasn’t scored more than 20 points in a game since Week 12 of last season and that game was against the Cleveland Browns. The Under is now 8-1 in the Giants’ last nine regular season games.

The line on this game has yet to be released as oddsmakers wait to hear on the availability of Beckham Jr.

Seattle Seahawks

The offensive line continues to be a problem for the Seahawks. Their starting left tackle went on the IR in preseason and there was no real effort made at replacing him besides looking at their own depth chart.

Seattle’s offense used to be run-orientated but last year the club finished 25th in rushing yards per game. There’s still a lot of talent on the offensive side of the ball and Green Bay’s defense may prove to be an above average unit as the season progresses.

Seattle hosts its division rival San Fran on Sunday and the total is set at 43.5.

San Francisco 49ers

Speaking of those Niners – they’re coming off a game which they failed to find the end zone once. The Niners abandoned the run game after the Panthers scored on their first possession in the second half to make it 20-0.

A 70-30 pass/run ratio isn’t going to lead to many wins or scores for the 49ers considering Brian Hoyer is their starting quarterback and Pierre Garcon projects to be their best receiver.
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Old 09-14-2017, 09:38 AM
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NFL
Long Sheet

Week 2

Thursday, September 14

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOUSTON (0 - 1) at CINCINNATI (0 - 1) - 9/14/2017, 8:25 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 1-1 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 2-0 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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Old 09-14-2017, 09:38 AM
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NFL

Week 2

Trend Report

Thursday, September 14

9:25 PM
HOUSTON vs. CINCINNATI
Houston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Houston is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Cincinnati is 3-6-1 SU in its last 10 games ,
Cincinnati is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
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Old 09-14-2017, 09:39 AM
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NFL Week 2 lines that make you go hmmm...
Peter Korner

If you like the Pittsburgh Steelers in Week 2, you might just want to come back on the weekend and see where the line sits.

Longtime Las Vegas oddsmaker Peter Korner sizes up this week’s NFL schedule and picks out some of the lines making him go “hmmm...” in Week 2, including a curious opening number put up by one sportsbook for the Vikings-Steelers game that may end up being a better number than their re-post.

Houston Texans at Cincinnati Bengals (-5, 38.5)

NFL week two kicks off a Thursday night game which pits two teams that clearly under achieved in their respective openers.

Houston visits Cincinnati and questions outweigh answers for each team involved in this contest. The Texans will be entering practice week with the full understanding that QB Deshaun Watson will be starting. Though he didn’t embarrass himself in his debut, it will take more than the limited time he had under center to truly master the position at the professional level.

There’s always a tendency when a back-up player enters the action and performs well to have a letdown of sorts the next time out. That’s because the energy and spontaneity is short lived and the pack catches up to the leader - that will likely be the case with Watson.

In the case of the Bengals, they are counting on QB Andy Dalton‘s return to form after his disastrous opener. A little ying-yang for both quarterbacks.

This line opened a very questionable -3 on the home favorites and was quickly unmasked as a horrible starting point. As of Tuesday, the general consensus was already tipping it to -5. I say, this is still too low and think the line will be at -6 to -6.5 by kickoff.

What appears to be more of a must-win game for the Bengals is translating into heavy wood on Cincinnati early in the week, and most likely all the way through Sunday. If there’s going to be any Houston action, you can bet on it coming very late when underdog backers see the line has stalled.

Chicago Bears at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-7, 43)

Chicago visits Tampa Bay and I agree with the knee-jerk reaction of the early money on Tampa Bay.

This opened at -6.5 and by Tuesday was a universal -7. The advantage for chalk players in this game is that it will take a monumental amount of money to get off the key -7, so there’s no need to rush in on this game early in the week.

A huge advantage for Tampa Bay in having their opener canceled is that the Buccaneers don’t have any tape to give to the Bears to dissect. Tampa Bay torched this team last year in Florida and the circumstances seem right for the results to mirror that game. You always like to be on the side of the team that has the incentive and energy, and with this game being possibly the first major event since the horrific weather in the south, the unity of the team and its fans may peak perfectly for the home town Bucs. Emotion is a big factor for almost anything in life.

At -7, you might think the wise guys take the dog. I say let them. This line won’t get any higher. It’s the typical game that will be teased down to PK for most parlay players. Call this a gut feeling, but this game gets out of hand for Chicago and the white towel is raised early.

Minnesota Vikings at Pittsburgh Steelers (-6.5, 45)

Minnesota is at Pittsburgh in a game that’s been slow to be exposed by Bookmakers early in the week.

In a curious sequence of events, Pinnacle sported a -4 on the home favorites and within a minute, took down the game and reposted at -7. My feeling was that the original -4 was good. Those Bookmakers who like to copy the line and hang whatever is out there, posted -7’s and have already been hit on the dog and are resting at –6.5.

At this point, I definitely see more money being drawn to the underdog after a solid performance by the Vikings in Week 1. I know the public has a short memory, me being in that group as well, but seeing the Steelers struggle with the Browns and Minnesota’s sharp play, I have to think this line will be closer to the original -4 than -7 by kickoff.

So, with that being said, the value on Minnesota is to grab the line early in the week. If you like the Steelers, you might just want to come back on the weekend and see where the line sits and benefit from the over-reactionaries. My feeling is that this game is way closer than the spread indicates.

Pinnacle will realize that their first opinion was their best in this game. They, like the rest of the sportsbooks, will probably need Pittsburgh by the time this game closes.
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Old 09-14-2017, 09:39 AM
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NFL

Week 2

Texans (0-1) @ Bengals (0-1)— Watson gets his first NFL start after playing 2nd half LW; he led Houston’s only TD drive. Texan QB’s were sacked 10 times LW and had 94 penalty yards in a cruddy opener. Under O’Brien, Texans are 12-5-1 vs spread off a loss; they’re 7-11-1 as a road underdog. Bengals lost 20-0 at home to Ravens LW, turning ball over five times on 11 drives; they had ball in red zone three times, came up empty. Houston won seven of last nine series games, winning 10-6/12-10 over Bengals last two years. Texans won last three visits here, by 11-1-4 points. Houston lost last two road openers 24-17/27-0; under is 4-0 in their last six AO’s. Last four years, Bengals are 14-8 vs spread coming off a loss.
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Old 09-14-2017, 09:39 AM
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Dunkel

Week 2

Thursday, September 14

Houston @ Cincinnati

Game 101-102
September 14, 2017 @ 8:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
124.616
Cincinnati
133.823
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cincinnati
by 9
42
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cincinnati
by 6
37 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Cincinnati
(-6); Over
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Old 09-14-2017, 09:40 AM
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NFL

Thursday, September 14

Thursday Night Football Betting Preview and Odds: Texans at Bengals

Houston Texans at Cincinnati Bengals (-6.5, 38)

The Houston Texans and Cincinnati Bengals were among a glut of teams who put forth feeble offensive performances in their respective season openers. Coming off lopsided losses - each at home - to division opponents, the Bengals and Texans have a short week to solve their offensive woes when they square off in Cincinnati on Thursday night.

Awful quarterback performances low-lighted the Week 1 efforts for each team and there could be a change under center for Houston, which benched starter Tom Savage at halftime in favor of rookie first-round pick Deshaun Watson. "We’re going to do what’s best for the team," said Texans coach Bill O'Brien of the potential quarterback controversy after dealing with the failed Brock Osweiler fiasco last year. "We always try to do what’s best for the team, and try to go from there.” Cincinnati was shut out (20-0 by Baltimore) at home for the first time since 2001 as quarterback Andy Dalton matched a career worst with four interceptions and committed five turnovers. “I have to put this one behind us,” acknowledged Dalton. “I know the type of player that I am and I can be. I can’t let this affect the next one.”

TV: 8:25 p.m. ET, NFL Network.

LINE HISTORY: The Bengals opened as three-point home favorites but by Thursday morning that number was all of the way up to -6.5. The total hit the betting boards at 38 and remains on that opening number.

POWER RANKINGS: Texans (+0.5) - Bengals (0) + home field (-3) = Bengals -2.5

INJURY REPORT:

Texans - DE J. Watt (Probable, Finger), QB D. Watson (Probable, Ankle), DE J. Clowney (Probable, Foot), S A. Hal (Probable, Hip), C N. Martin (Probable, Ankle), RB A. Blue (Questionable, Ankle), CB K. Johnson (Question, Knee), LB B. McKinney (Questionable, Knee), G J. Allen (Doubful, Ankle), TE R. Griffin (Out, Concussion), LB B. Cushing (Out, Concussion), WR B. Ellington (Out, Concussion), TE S. Anderson (Out, Concussion), WR W. Fuller (Out, Collarbone), T D. Brown (Out, Holdout), TE C. Fiedorowicz (Out, Concussion), T D. Newton (I-R, Knee), WR D. Gray (I-R, Knee).

Bengals - WR J. Ross (Probable, Knee), TE C. Uzomah (Probable, Leg), S S. Williams (Probable, Elbow), CB D. Kirkpatrick (Probable, Foot), CB J. Shaw (Probable, Ankle), DE M. Johnson (Doubtful, Concussion), G T. Hopkins (Out, Knee), LB V. Burfict (Out, Suspension), QB J. Driskel (Out, Thumb), HB T. Carson (I-R, Ankle), TE M. Schreck (I-R, Knee), HB C. Peerman (I-R, Shoulder), WR J. Kumerow (I-R, Leg).

ABOUT THE TEXANS (0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS, 0-1 O/U): Reports out of Houston indicate that Watson, who guided Clemson to the national championship in January, will be under center for Thursday's matchup if he is not hindered by an ankle injury during Tuesday's practice. Watson was 12 of 23 for 102 yards with one touchdown and one interception, but he and Savage absorbed a combined 10 sacks behind a line that is still missing left tackle Duane Brown (contract holdout) and will be without guard Jeff Allen. Perhaps an even bigger issue facing the Texans is a lengthy injury list that features five players in the NFL's concussion protocol, including the team's top three tight ends. Despite the return of start defensive end J.J. Watt, limited to three games last season due to back surgery, Houston allowed 155 yards rushing in the 29-7 loss to Jacksonville.

ABOUT THE BENGALS (0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS, 0-1 O/U): Lost in the abysmal performance by Dalton, who tossed three of his interceptions in the first half, was the sturdy play of Cincinnati's defense, which surrendered a total of 268 yards (157 rushing) to the Ravens. Dalton, who is already halfway to last season's interception total of eight, compiled a wretched 28.4 passer rating after completing 16 of 31 for 170 yards, with star wideout A.J. Green leading the way with five catches for 74 yards. The Bengals need to sort out their running game -- Giovani Bernard, less than 10 months removed from knee surgery, rushed for 40 yards on seven carries but highly touted rookie Joe Mixon managed only nine yards on eight rushes. Rookie wideout John Ross, the ninth overall pick who was clocked in 4.22 in the 40 at the NFL combine, is expected to make his NFL debut.

TRENDS:

* Texans are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 Thursday games.
* Bengals are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home.
* Under is 7-1 in Texans last 8 games following a ATS loss.
* Under is 9-2 in Bengals last 11 vs. a team with a losing record.
* Texans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings in Cincinnati.

CONSENSUS: The public is siding with the road underdog Texans at a rate of 56 percent and the Under is picking up 55 percent of the totals action.
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Old 09-14-2017, 09:54 AM
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STATFOX FORECASTER
Houston (101) at Cincinnati (102)
Latest Line: Bengals -6.5; Total: 38

STATFOX POWER TRENDS:
- HOUSTON is 31-49 ATS away after playing a game at
home since 1992.

- HOUSTON is 19-8 OVER away in the first month of
the season since 1992.

- Bill O’Brien is 10-19 ATS as an underdog as coach of
HOUSTON.

- CINCINNATI is 12-3 UNDER off an upset loss by
10+ points as a home favorite since 1992.

- CINCINNATI is 9-1 UNDER off an upset loss by 14 points
or more as a home favorite since 1992.

- CINCINNATI is 73-100 ATS in the first half of the season
since 1992.

Forecaster: Bengals 20, Texans 14
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