Forecasting the Alouettes

[Boris Karloff]

Week 15:
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Fri Oct 07 Winnipeg @ Hamilton
Sat Oct 08 Calgary @ BC
Mon Oct 10 Toronto @ Montreal (a sure shot W & Calvillo beats All-Time Passing Yards Record)
Mon Oct 10 Saskatchewan @ Edmonton

Week 16:
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Fri Oct 14 Calgary @ Toronto
Sat Oct 15 Winnipeg @ Edmonton
Sun Oct 16 Hamilton @ Montreal (MTL will tame the Ti-Cats W this one at home SU & ATS)
Sun Oct 16 BC @ Saskatchewan

Week 17:
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Fri Oct 21 Edmonton @ Toronto
Fri Oct 21 Saskatchewan @ Calgary
Sat Oct 22 Montreal @ Winnipeg (maybe W, maybe L...it all depends how WPG fares in other three weeks)
Sat Oct 22 BC @ Hamilton

Week 18:
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Fri Oct 28 Toronto @ Winnipeg
Sat Oct 29 Hamilton @ Saskatchewan
Sat Oct 29 Edmonton @ BC
Sun Oct 30 Calgary @ Montreal (i like MTL SU & ATS @ home this time)

Week 19:
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Thu Nov 03 Hamilton @ Toronto
Fri Nov 04 Saskatchewan @ Edmonton
Sat Nov 05 Winnipeg @ Calgary
Sat Nov 05 Montreal @ BC (a CFL GCG preview? Maybe but game should be boring as MTL will lose both SU & ATS for resting key players)

[Boris Karloff]

2011:
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After 16 weeks, MTL has been favoured in 14 games & 1 Pk game.
Totalling all spread lines = -88.5 favoured pts
Avg favoured spread per game: -5.9 pts

2010:
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After 16 weeks, MTL was favoured in 14 games & 1 as a dog.
Totalling all spread lines = -102 favoured pts
Avg favoured spread per game: -6.8 pts


Amazing...only 1 pt difference from last year with a long list of injuries this year.

For one reason or another they shouldn't have difficulty covering but they do.


Now, this week @ WPG...if MTL wins they secure Home Field for the Div Title Game. So Calvillo may play only half the game vs CGY next week and take week 19 off vs BC. That's alot of time off for Calvillo after adding the playoff bye.

Just noticed that the Als are -2 pts Favs in WPG @ TheGreek which is very reasonable. I'm tempted right now but MTL hasn't covered its L3 weeks and are 2-5 ATS post half season.

[looker123]

In football, injuries may be overrated when there are large rosters and adequate replacements. Champions tend to be overrated ATS by the public and oddsmakers. In the CFL, underdogs are ahead ATS over favorites

Again, Montreal tradition of clinching first early in east division.

[Boris Karloff]

Originally Posted by looker123

In football, injuries may be overrated when there are large rosters and adequate replacements. Champions tend to be overrated ATS by the public and oddsmakers. In the CFL, underdogs are ahead ATS over favorites

Again, Montreal tradition of clinching first early in east division.

I suppose you're right on all counts.

As for MTL winning this weekend...I surely hope so. Homefield in the playoffs makes a huge difference.

[Boris Karloff]

In order, MTL are better off facing EDM, then CGY, then last BC Lions in the Grey Cup.

I'm hoping EDM as they've had success against that team lately (even this year) with Messam & Stamps rocking.

EDM has an easier 3-game sched remaining than CGY and BC.

BC must not win 1rst place in the West. It's enough the Grey Cup is in Vancouver and will be praying EDM or Cgy takes them out at first crack in the playoffs.

[Double Trouble]

thanks