Week 4 Lines / Discussion

[Angelus]

From pinnacle:

HAM @ BC -3.5 T:50
EDM @ CGY -4 T:53
SSK @ MON -12 T:57

From the greek:

HAM @ BC -3.5 T:50
EDM @ CGY -4 T:53
WPG @ TOR -3.5 T:46.5
SSK @ MON -11.5 T:56.5

[Angelus]

Tough week.

Initial leans are Ham, Edm. No play on other two. Will do some number crunching and post plays later...

[cptkirk321]

Ang a few of these have already moved, here are the original lines when they came out at the greek

Hamilton/BC -3.5/50.5
Wpg/Toronto -3.5/46.5
Edmonton/Calgary -3.5/53.5
Sask/Montreal -12/56.5

[Boris Karloff]

Montreal will keep giving more and more points until they get maxed out or game plans can't do it anymore.

Let's see:

-CB Dwight Anderson vs Dressler...in Week 2 Anderson kept him in check. Don't see Dwight having a bad game anytime soon.

-DB Chip Cox had an excellent game against the Argos last week. Can he do any better? Doubt it but he'll be on patrol. Just his energy on the field will create doubt in Durant.

QB Calvillo said "there's no better thing to do than give your fans at home what they want." They want a 12-point cover!!!

[Boris Karloff]

Only 2 wins out of 12 games between HAM, TOR, BC & SSK.

HAM @ BC-3.5: Can the Lions lose this one??? I will try one again and if not...

WPG @ TOR-3.5: Argos' home opener...better be good cuz they're going back on the road after this one (5 Road games in first 7 Weeks). A win by 4+ points might be too much though.

EDM @ CGY-4: Stamps are at home...come on now, Burris at home? Burris all the way.

SSK @ MTL-11.5: Riders without Horses. Need I say more?

[Gobbler's Knob]

Originally Posted by Boris K.

Only 2 wins out of 12 games between HAM, TOR, BC & SSK.

HAM @ BC-3.5: Can the Lions lose this one??? I will try one again and if not...

WPG @ TOR-3.5: Argos' home opener...better be good cuz they're going back on the road after this one (5 Road games in first 7 Weeks). A win by 4+ points might be too much though.

EDM @ CGY-4: Stamps are at home...come on now, Burris at home? Burris all the way.

SSK @ MTL-11.5: Riders without Horses. Need I say more?

Good luck luke

[olgplayer]

i really dont take too much value into any line movements in the CFL. I dont think enough sharps in the states take into account the CFL or are betting it in enough volume to have trap plays and so on. pretty straight forward lines and the betting public will push the lines a point or so either way. but CFL is way to unpredictable to have trap lines IMO.

only thing that moves lines alot is injuires and with that, what is the status with buck pierce?

[riviera1992]

Originally Posted by olgplayer

i really dont take too much value into any line movements in the CFL. I dont think enough sharps in the states take into account the CFL or are betting it in enough volume to have trap plays and so on. pretty straight forward lines and the betting public will push the lines a point or so either way. but CFL is way to unpredictable to have trap lines IMO.

only thing that moves lines alot is injuires and with that, what is the status with buck pierce?

I heard Bombers will play their 3rd stringer this weekend. Toronto should win their home opener IMO.

[Boris Karloff]

Originally Posted by Gobbler's Knob

Good luck luke

Just thinking out loud here with opening lines, not actual picks. Initial thoughts & Leans. Open for comments.

[Boris Karloff]

Originally Posted by olgplayer

i really dont take too much value into any line movements in the CFL. I dont think enough sharps in the states take into account the CFL or are betting it in enough volume to have trap plays and so on. pretty straight forward lines and the betting public will push the lines a point or so either way. but CFL is way to unpredictable to have trap lines IMO.

only thing that moves lines alot is injuires and with that, what is the status with buck pierce?

My thoughts exactly. I cap games using opening lines only. Sure I will glimpse at the movement ...such as CGY losing -0.5 to EDM but what does that mean? probably EDM's fast 3-0 start. Did these guys take into account that of those 3 teams (9 games) only 1 game was won by them in total? They are fast becoming a "public darling", ride the momentum "luck" while it lasts, and so on and so forth.

[Boris Karloff]

Anybody going with Saskatchewan on the ML? (+500)

[Boris Karloff]

The reason I say that is because there has been 7 outright upsets out of 15 games played so far. Yes, 7!!!

Hardcore Alouette fans are worried about having a Rider blindside Calvillo as Bourke is out and McCuller is in.

Als will be in Hamilton next week and that's not in the bag at all. If Als cover today then TCats ATS next week and possibly outright too.

Richardson is on active roster btw and should play.

Go Als Go--Destruction time!!!

[riviera1992]

I hope you're right Boris because I need to get at least my last bet to win (Als to cover). Argos cost me 2 parlays and 2 teasers AND my contest pick yesterday in the last 2 min of the game.

[Boris Karloff]

Originally Posted by riviera1992

I hope you're right Boris because I need to get at least my last bet to win (Als to cover). Argos cost me 2 parlays and 2 teasers AND my contest pick yesterday in the last 2 min of the game.

My contest pick fell too.

To make matters worse I'm 0-5 this week (2-9 L2 weeks)...that's extremely "rare" for me. Actually never been this off in my life!!!

First 2 weeks I went 6-1.