Go Back   Sports Handicapping Forum > More Sports Betting > Horse Racing

Horse Racing Sports Handicapping at the Racetrack!

Reply
 
LinkBack Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 05-06-2011, 01:56 PM
Riverboat Gambler
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Location: Mississippi Delta
Posts: 4,770
Rewards: 444
Derby Day KY Handicapper Sheet

enjoy...if y'all can read this mess


Saturday, May 7, 2011
THE 137th RUNNING OF THE KENTUCKY DERBY
FIRST RACE
SOUTHERN OCEAN
PERFECT JOISKI
UNCLE PINK
SECOND RACE
BIND
WORLDLY
LUBANGO
THIRD RACE
HOT PURSUIT
C J RUSSELL
TYRUS
FOURTH RACE
SNOW TOP MOUNTAIN
PERSUADING
SILENT CANDY
FIFTH RACE
THE MAN UPTOWN
SARATOGA RED
DEPECHE CHAT
SIXTH RACE
CHAMBERLAIN BRIDGE
REGALLY READY
BRIDGETOWN
SEVENTH RACE
AMEN HALLELUJAH
HILDA’S PASSION
SHOTGUN GULCH
EIGHTH RACE
UPPERLINE
NEVER RETREAT
FANTASIA
NINTH RACE
SMILING TIGER
CAPT. CANDYMAN CAN
APRIORITY
TENTH RACE
CARACORTADO
SMART BID
RAHYSTRADA
ELEVENTH RACE
SOLDAT
DIALED IN
ARCHARCHARCH
TWELFTH RACE
DE PRICE
STREAKIN’ MOHICAN
FIRM RESOLVE
THIRTEENTH RACE
SCUFF
BONAROO
GENTLE TAP
# Mud Horse
Odds
MedEqp
Chg
Cls
Chg
Days
Away COMMENTS
2011
Win % Jockey
2011
Win % Trainer Pace Spd Class
FIRST RACE 1 Mile T h r e e year olds Starter Allowance P URSE $26,000
1 JACK’S SOUL 3/1 L 78 Suddenly came to life in first 2-turn dirt try 21% Napravnik Anna R 118 13% Stewart Dallas 9 5 7 3 108
1A PERFECT JOISKI L 17 Return to the dirt may be the tonic for him 11% Cruz M R118 18% McPeek Kenneth G 7 1 7 9 111
2 WICKED DREAMS 7/2 L 99 Puzzling layoff after scoring easy win in last 14% Leparoux Julien R 118 22% Maker Michael J 7 4 7 6 109
3 mHAMPTON BAYS SUN 4/1 L 21 Beat only one in first try vs. winners - beware 17% Garcia A120 18% McPeek Kenneth G 7 8 8 2 112
4 UNCLE PINK 4/1 L 49 Capable here if he handles the new surface 14% Graham J118 7% Barnett Bobby C 7 8 7 8 111
5 SOUTHERN OCEAN 7/2 L 28 Hot Springs shipper is making progress - chance 6% Albarado R J 120 9% Lauer Michael 8 9 8 3 112
6 MISSISSIPPI MONEY 6/1 L 35 Made first start for new barn a winning one 14% Johnson J M120 44% Cox Brad H 8 4 7 6 110
The Derby Day cards kicks off with a Starter Allowance affair for 3-year-olds. SOUTHERN OCEAN is the only two-time
winner in the field and looks to be headed in the right direction for Mike Lauer. Look for him to track the leaders and try to
run by them in the stretch run. PERFECT JOISKI has raced on 3 different surfaces in as many starts, but got his lone win
on the dirt. Manny Cruz, who was aboard for that win, regains the mount today for trainer Kenny McPeek.
Daily Double (part wheel)
1,4,5 - 2,4,8
Exacta Box
1 - 4 - 5
TODAY’S PICKS
SOUTHERN OCEAN
PERFECT JOISKI
UNCLE PINK
SPEED
SOUTHERN OCEAN
HAMPTON BAYS SUN
PERFECT JOISKI
CLASS
HAMPTON BAYS SUN
SOUTHERN OCEAN
PERFECT JOISKI
LONGSHOT
UNCLE PINK
SECOND RACE 1 1/16 Miles T h r e e y e ar olds & up Allowance n/w 1x P URSE $51,000
1 MR. BRISTOL 12/1 L on 20 Connections hope blinkers put more spark in him 12% Hernandez B J Jr 121 15% Howard Neil J 7 5 8 7 112
2 BIND 8/5 L 42 Led late when trying winners but couldn’t hang on 21% Napravnik Anna R 114 25% Stall Albert M Jr 9 1 1 0 0 118
3 EDDIE SET GO 12/1 L on 14 Must show more in order to grab top spot here 10% Castanon J L 118 33% Cunningham Rona n 8 3 8 8 115
4 mWORLDLY 2/1 L 217 The one to beat if works have him ready 20% Bejarano R121 15% McGee Paul 9 5 9 8 118
5 SUPREME RULER 15/1 L 21 Tailed off in last two - must show more 11% Court J K 114 11% Fires William H 7 9 9 2 116
6 EL GRAYLING 5/1 L 28 Today’s class drop certainly can’t hurt 14% Lebron Victor 114 22% Maker Michael J 8 4 8 9 114
7 SMOKIN FAST 50/1 L 34 Showed little in either start vs. winners 11% Pompell T L114 20% Curtsinger Scott 7 9 7 0 107
8 LUBANGO 8/1 L 42 Eligible to improve today with a clean trip 17% Garcia A121 13% Romans Dale 9 0 9 2 115
After an eye-opening debut win, BIND was hammered down to 1-10 for his second start, but was a bit too eager in his first
route try and got run down in the final furlong. He’s been given a short break by trainer Al Stall and may be a little more
relaxed for his second route try. This Pulpit colt still might be any kind and is the choice in this Allowance affair.
WORLDLY is a 4-year-old that has hit the board in 3 Graded Stakes. He has a solid chance.
Exacta Box
2 - 4 - 8
Trifecta (part wheel)
2 - 4,8 - all
TODAY’S PICKS
BIND
WORLDLY
LUBANGO
SPEED
BIND
WORLDLY
SUPREME RULER
CLASS
BIND
WORLDLY
SUPREME RULER
LONGSHOT
LUBANGO
THIRD RACE 6 Furlongs T h r e e y e a r olds & up Maiden Special Weight P U R SE $49,000
1 SOUTHERN EMPEROR 20/1 L 50 Beat only one in opener - unlikely here 14% Lebron Victor 124 0% Murty Wayne 7 5 6 0 103
1A SIR SLIGO L 9 Quickly faded in career debut - can’t use 14% Lebron Victor 124 0% Murty Wayne 8 8 6 1 105
2 GOLDEN TRIUMPH 4/1 L 34 Bernardini colt hopes to last a bit longer today 17% Garcia A118 32% McLaughlin Kiaran P 9 1 8 5 111
3 MAJOR DUOMO 5/1 L 28 Has some early speed but stamina is the question 16% Smith M E118 19% Lukas D Wayne 1 0 2 8 0 111
4 C J RUSSELL 5/1 L SoCal shipper has worked sharply for debut 16% Garcia Martin 118 28% Baffert Bob --- --- ---
5 LION’S DUB 8/1 17 Must improve off debut effort to challenge here 12% Hernandez B J Jr 124 13% Parisel Francois 9 0 7 3 108
6 HOT PURSUIT 5/1 L 90 Just missed at a beefy price in New Orleans 6% Albarado R J 124 20% Werner Ronny 9 3 8 3 111
7 QUICK RECOVERY 15/1 L 98 Two dull efforts earned him some time off 18% Castellano J J 118 13% Romans Dale 9 0 8 4 109
8 SANTO GATO 3/1 L 16 Tries to carry his speed a bit farther today 20% Bejarano R118 13% Scherer Merrill R 9 5 9 0 112
9 TYRUS 8/1 L 28 Headed in the right direction now - look close 12% Borel C H118 13% Wilkes Ian R 9 3 8 2 112
1 0 KARMA SHIELD 6/1 L 9 Petionville colt may still be a race or two away 14% Leparoux Julien R 118 18% McPeek Kenneth G 9 2 7 6 109
Given his connections and a sharp string of works, there’s no doubt C J RUSSELL will gets lots of backing at the windows
in this maiden race. He’s got plenty of speed in his pedigree, but might be overbet here. Try to beat him with a 4-year-old
that woke up in his last start. This Successful Appeal colt has worked well since shipping here and figures to be running
from off the pace under Robby Albarado. TYRUS needed his last one and can improve here.
Exacta Box
4 - 6 - 9
Trifecta (part wheel)
6 - 4,9 - all
TODAY’S PICKS
HOT PURSUIT
C J RUSSELL
TYRUS
SPEED
SANTO GATO
GOLDEN TRIUMPH
QUICK RECOVERY
CLASS
SANTO GATO
TYRUS
GOLDEN TRIUMPH
LONGSHOT
TYRUS
# Mud Horse
Odds
MedEqp
Chg
Cls
Chg
Days
Away COMMENTS
2011
Win % Jockey
2011
Win % Trainer Pace Spd Class
FOURTH RACE 1 1/16 Miles (Turf) F i l l i e s a n d Mares 3 yr. olds & up O p tional Claiming $80,000 P U R SE $56,000
1 RIVIERA CHIC 6/1 L 15 4-year-old scored in last turf try - look close 14% Leparoux Julien R 121 22% Maker Michael J 8 6 9 3 116
2 WAR TIGRESS 10/1 L 21 War Chant mare will be a factor from the start 6% Albarado R J 121 17% Thornbury Jeff 9 6 9 3 117
3 SHAMELESS 20/1 L 21 Quickly retreated in 2011 debut - beware 21% Napravnik Anna R 121 15% McGee Paul 7 8 8 7 114
4 PERSUADING 4/1 L 35 Broken Vow filly will battle for early control 10% Castanon J L 121 13% Romans Dale 9 7 9 8 120
5 JONMIL’S EDGE 15/1 L 56 Given some time off after subpar effort in last 16% Smith M E121 22% Maker Michael J 9 5 8 8 114
6 JOXY ROXY 30/1 L 21 Lacked needed late punch in seasonal debut 10% Theriot H J II 121 27% Cook Jason B 8 1 9 0 115
7 PERFECT SHIRL 5/1 L 21 Got a much-needed tightener - capable of better 18% Castellano J J 121 20% Attfield Roger 8 5 9 4 117
8 SNOW TOP MOUNTAIN 5/2 L 27 Returned from layoff with a win - may repeat 17% Gomez G K123 16% Proctor Thomas F 8 6 9 4 118
9 MISS LUANN 6/1 L 35 Polytrack specialist didn’t show much on the turf 13% Mena M121 13% Romans Dale 9 4 9 7 117
1 0 SILENT CANDY 6/1 L 168 Fits with these if ready to go after layoff 13% Maragh Rajiv121 16% Hansen Andrew M 9 3 9 6 117
The top two are very close in this 1 1/16-mile turf Optional Claimer. SNOW TOP MOUNTAIN returned from a six-month
layoff with a sharp score at Keeneland, rallying from off the pace to win going away while being eased up late. This filly
has won over this course before and will be running late under Garrett Gomez. Despite the top impost, she gets the nod to
repeat. PERSUADING sports two seconds and a third from her last 3 turf starts, all in Gr. 3 Stakes - threat.
Exacta Box
4 - 8 - 10
Trifecta (part wheel)
8 - 4,10 - all
TODAY’S PICKS
SNOW TOP MOUNTAIN
PERSUADING
SILENT CANDY
SPEED
PERSUADING
MISS LUANN
SILENT CANDY
CLASS
PERSUADING
SNOW TOP MOUNTAIN
WAR TIGRESS
LONGSHOT
SILENT CANDY
FIFTH RACE 7 Furlongs T h r e e y e a r olds Optional Claiming $75,000 P U R SE $51,000
1 CARSONCITYGAMBLER 8/1 L 70 Outclassed in last but can show more here 12% Borel C H118 13% Wilkes Ian R 7 8 8 9 113
2 mSARATOGA RED 3/1 L 21 Back at the right level today - expect better 6% Albarado R J 118 19% Lukas D Wayne 9 4 9 4 116
3 FUSA CODE 7/2 L 41 Added some stamina in route races - watch 16% Nakatani C S 118 20% Asmussen Steven M 8 0 8 7 115
4 DEPECHE CHAT 4/1 L 35 Hopes to muster the needed late punch here 20% Bejarano R118 5% Arnold George R I I 8 6 9 2 115
5 mGOODTIMEHADBYALL 8/1 L 68 Did get one of his wins here - can’t rule out 10% Desormeaux K J118 13% Scherer Merrill R 8 5 8 4 114
6 LEE CHAPEL 15/1 L 29 Packed it in early in first try vs. winners 14% Leparoux Julien R 118 13% Wilkes Ian R 8 1 7 8 110
7 HERNANDINI 99/1 11 Absolutely positively no chance whatsoever 3% Vega Jose L118 0% Jones Cassandra 8 9 5 5 104
8 WHY PRETEND 50/1 L 29 Needs to find a softer spot than this - outsider 15% Lanerie C J 118 15% Hyland Angel 8 4 7 9 111
9 THE MAN UPTOWN 9/2 L 29 Makes 3rd start after layoff - top try expected 18% Castellano J J 118 29% Brown Chad C 8 2 8 9 114
1 0 MATTHEWSBURG 12/1 L 29 Ghostzapper colt makes his dirt debut today 14% Lebron Victor 118 22% Maker Michael J 8 6 8 7 113
1 1 CHASING MOONLIGHT 12/1 L on 42 Blinkers will have him closer to the pace 13% Maragh Rajiv118 10% Albertrani Thoma s 8 6 8 4 112
Three or four have a good shot in this 7-furlong Optional Claimer for 3-year-olds, so don’t accept a short price here. THE
MAN UPTOWN finished well to be second last time out at Keeneland, but did get his lone win over this trac. Today’s
7-furlong distance suits him well and he looks to be ready to go if recent works are any indication. SARATOGA RED was
no match for the likes of The Factor and Archarcharch, but is well spotted here and is working well for Wayne Lukas.
Pick 3 (part wheel)
2,9 - 2,5,8 - 4,5,7
Exacta Box
2 - 4 - 9
TODAY’S PICKS
THE MAN UPTOWN
SARATOGA RED
DEPECHE CHAT
SPEED
SARATOGA RED
DEPECHE CHAT
CARSONCITYGAMBLER
CLASS
SARATOGA RED
FUSA CODE
DEPECHE CHAT
LONGSHOT
THE MAN UPTOWN
SIXTH RACE 5 Furlongs (Turf) T h r e e y e a r olds & up Twin Sprires Turf Sprint P U R SE $100,000
1 HENRY’S TIME 30/1 L 7 Overmatched in this spot - little hope 12% Borel C H118 19% Lukas D Wayne 1 0 0 9 3 115
2 REGALLY READY 3/1 L 21 4-year-old gelding is having a banner year 16% Nakatani C S 121 20% Asmussen Steven M 1 0 6 1 0 2 120
3 CUSTOM FOR CARLOS 3/1 L 112 Talented 5-year-old appears more at home on dirt 14% Leparoux Julien R 118 10% Kenneally Eddie 1 0 2 1 1 0 123
4 SOUTHERN REGION 30/1 L 77 Repeat of recent efforts not good enough 15% Lanerie C J 118 20% Werner Ronny 1 0 1 9 4 116
5 CHAMBERLAIN BRIDGE 2/1 L 21 Veteran gelding loves the Downs lawn - threat 10% Theriot H J II 124 21% Calhoun William Br e t 9 6 1 0 0 119
6 SPECTACULAR KID 30/1 L 27 Not quite the talent of the best of these 10% Castanon J L 118 20% Domenosky Tamm y 9 7 9 8 118
7 EARLY RETURN 12/1 L 42 Doesn’t figure to get first turf win today 22% Bridgmohan S X118 23% Margolis Stephen R 9 5 1 0 1 119
8 BRIDGETOWN 5/2 L 50 Speedster is 2 for 2 this year - must respect 19% Velazquez J R 121 27% Pletcher Todd A 9 9 1 0 1 120
9 BERGERAC 50/1 L 16 Has bitten off too much here - can’t use 8% Prado E S 118 8% Baker James 9 2 9 5 117
The top contenders are very close in this year’s Twin Spires Turf Sprint. CHAMBERLAIN BRIDGE disappointed as the
favorite in the Shakertown Stakes at Keeneland, but has always done his best running over this course, as his 4-1-0 record
from 5 starts attests. He was a close second last year, then came back to win the Breeders’ Cup Turf Sprint in the fall. He’s
the one to beat today. REGALLY READY is having a banner year and will be battling from the start.
Pick 6 (part wheel)
5 - 4,7 - 2,7,11 -
2,3,6 - 6,11,15 - 8,17
Exacta Box
2 - 5 - 8
TODAY’S PICKS
CHAMBERLAIN BRIDGE
REGALLY READY
BRIDGETOWN
SPEED
CUSTOM FOR CARLOS
REGALLY READY
EARLY RETURN
CLASS
CUSTOM FOR CARLOS
REGALLY READY
BRIDGETOWN
LONGSHOT
SEVENTH RACE 7 Furlongs F i l l i e s a n d Mares 4 yr. olds & up H u mana Distaff (Gr I) P U RSE $300,000
1 SASSY IMAGE 15/1 L 77 Loves the Downs oval but faces toughest test 6% Albarado R J 118 13% Romans Dale 8 6 9 3 118
2 STAGE MAGIC 12/1 L 56 Not sure 7 furlongs is her best distance 14% Graham J118 11% Pitts Helen 9 0 9 2 117
3 EVENING JEWEL 5/1 L 23 Hasn’t been quite as sharp in 2011 - needs best 13% Espinoza V120 10% Cassidy James 9 4 9 5 120
4 AMEN HALLELUJAH 5/1 L on 23 Figures to show more zip today with blinkers on 19% Velazquez J R 118 0% Nevin Michael 1 0 0 1 0 2 122
5 mSHOTGUN GULCH 6/1 L 23 Madison winner returns to favorite surface today 17% Gomez G K124 7% Trout C R 9 4 1 0 0 120
6 TWELVE TWENTY TWO 8/1 L 41 Has been pounding lesser foes in New Mexico 14% Leparoux Julien R 120 19% Dominguez Henr y 9 8 1 0 1 120
7 mHILDA’S PASSION 6/5 L 49 Speedy 4-year-old must answer ??? on this track 18% Castellano J J 122 27% Pletcher Todd A 1 0 2 1 1 0 125
8 TIDAL POOL 8/1 L 24 Talented filly may be better around two turns 12% Borel C H120 19% Lukas D Wayne 9 5 1 0 1 120
HILDA’S PASSION certainly looks best on paper in the Humana Distaff, but a 7-week layoff and a very slow work over
this track raise some questions. She might absolulely romp today, but I’ll have to play against her with AMEN
HALLELUJAH. She just missed last time out at Keeneland after a troubled trip and has a license to improve today.
Blinkers will have a bit closer early on and she’ll try to turn the tables on her rival here.
Pick 5 (part wheel)
4,7 - 2,7,11 - 2,3,6
- 6,11,15 - 8,17
Exacta Box
4 - 5 - 7
TODAY’S PICKS
AMEN HALLELUJAH
HILDA’S PASSION
SHOTGUN GULCH
SPEED
HILDA’S PASSION
AMEN HALLELUJAH
TWELVE TWENTY TWO
CLASS
HILDA’S PASSION
AMEN HALLELUJAH
EVENING JEWEL
LONGSHOT
SHOTGUN GULCH
# Mud Horse
Odds
MedEqp
Chg
Cls
Chg
Days
Away COMMENTS
2011
Win % Jockey
2011
Win % Trainer Pace Spd Class
EIGHTH RACE 1 Mile (Turf) F i l l i e s a n d Mares 3 yr. olds & up C D Distaff Turf Mile P URSE $200,000
1 TAPITSFLY 7/2 L 35 Tapit filly will show speed from the inside 14% Leparoux Julien R 117 13% Romans Dale 9 8 9 7 116
2 UPPERLINE 9/2 L 42 Cajun invader is sharp right now - can’t dismiss 21% Napravnik Anna R 117 25% Stidham Michael 8 9 1 0 0 119
3 ZAPPARITION 20/1 L 48 Returns in a tough spot - can’t recommend 18% Castellano J J 117 13% Romans Dale 8 0 9 5 117
4 ICE MIST 30/1 L 70 Must work much harder if she wants the lead here 17% Garcia A117 17% Flint Bernard S 9 5 8 9 116
5 VIVO PER LEI 30/1 L 27 Two-time winner is in too tough today 12% Borel C H117 13% Wilkes Ian R 8 3 9 1 113
6 ARUNA 4/1 L 168 Franco shipper is unbeaten in the U.S. - watch 29% Dominguez R A121 19% Motion H Graham 8 4 9 6 118
7 FANTASIA 10/1 L 21 Sets her sights on the leaders in the stretch 23% Rosario Joel 117 12% Sheppard Jonathan E 7 8 9 7 119
8 AVIATE 5/1 L 63 Even effort in U.S. debut - can improve 10% Desormeaux K J117 10% Mott William I 4 0 9 4 119
9 WILD MIA 10/1 L 28 Must improve off recent efforts to challenge 17% Gomez G K117 16% Proctor Thomas F 9 0 9 5 119
1 0 KISS MINE 20/1 L on 21 Blanked in 3 starts this year - outsider 13% Maragh Rajiv117 11% Vance David R 8 9 9 5 117
1 1 NEVER RETREAT 9/2 L 21 Stalker looms large at the head of the lane 22% Bridgmohan S X121 25% Block Chris 8 6 9 9 120
The top contenders are very hard to separate in this year’s Distaff Turf Mile. UPPERLINE has really come on for trainer
Michael Stidham, rallying to win her last two turf starts in handy fashion. She’s worked well since shipping to Kentucky
and may be sitting on another big effort today. The 1-mile distance should fit her perfectly and she gets the call in a tough
race. NEVER RETREAT looked good winning the Jenny Wiley at Keeneland and is the one to beat.
Pick 4 (part wheel)
2,7,11 - 2,3,6
- 6,11,15 - 8,17
Trifecta (part wheel)
2 - 7,11 - all
TODAY’S PICKS
UPPERLINE
NEVER RETREAT
FANTASIA
SPEED
UPPERLINE
NEVER RETREAT
TAPITSFLY
CLASS
NEVER RETREAT
UPPERLINE
FANTASIA
LONGSHOT
FANTASIA
NINTH RACE 7 Furlongs F o u r y e a r olds & up The Churchill Downs S. P U R SE $300,000
1 AIKENITE 5/1 L 21 Yes It’s True colt is going good now - watch 19% Velazquez J R 122 27% Pletcher Todd A 9 7 1 0 3 121
2 SMILING TIGER 7/2 L 23 Sets his sights on the leaders turning for home 23% Rosario Joel 122 21% Bonde Jeff 9 2 1 0 7 122
3 APRIORITY 4/1 L 28 Well-traveled colt is on top of his game 29% Dominguez R A118 15% Fawkes David 1 0 0 1 0 7 122
4 CAPTAIN CHEROKEE 6/1 L 34 Tracks the leaders and hopes to get up late 6% Albarado R J 118 20% Asmussen Steven M 9 4 1 0 3 122
5 MYTHICAL POWER 10/1 L 77 May be just a notch below the best here 16% Garcia Martin 118 28% Baffert Bob 8 8 1 0 3 119
6 CAPT. CANDYMAN CAN 9/2 L 34 Handles wet or dry track and unbeaten at distance 12% Borel C H118 13% Wilkes Ian R 9 8 1 0 4 121
7 IBBOYEE 12/1 L 34 Improving sort catches a very tough bunch today 17% Gomez G K118 27% Pletcher Todd A 9 0 1 0 4 120
8 CHOCOLATE CANDY 30/1 L 34 Hasn’t won in over two years - won’t win here 16% Nakatani C S 118 20% Hollendorfer Jerr y 8 8 9 6 117
9 mDELONG ROAD 50/1 L 24 Today’s class hike will prove too taxing 19% Saez Gabriel 118 19% Lukas D Wayne 9 6 9 6 118
1 0 NOBLE’S PROMISE 10/1 L 132 Cuvee colt ran big in last start here - capable 17% Garcia A118 18% McPeek Kenneth G 9 7 1 0 4 120
1 1 mLE GRAND CRU 50/1 L on 21 Wins have been scarce the last two years 10% Theriot H J II 118 20% Werner Ronny 9 8 9 7 118
1 2 HERE COMES BEN 10/1 L 182 Will need to be in top form making 2011 debut 14% Leparoux Julien R 118 11% Lopresti Charles 9 8 1 0 5 121
A dynamite field of sprinters will battle in this year’s Churchill Downs. SMILING TIGER has reeled off back-to-back wins
and looks to be on top of his game now. He was a good third here last year in the Breeders’ Cup Sprint and has shown he
can win carrying weight. He’ll rally from off the pace and gets the nod in a very tough race. CAPT. CANDYMAN CAN has
had success here and is unbeaten at 7 furlongs. He’ll be running at the finish under Borel. APRIORITY is a threat.
Pick 3 (part wheel)
2,3,6 - 6,11,15 - 8,17
Exacta Box
2 - 3 - 6
TODAY’S PICKS
SMILING TIGER
CAPT. CANDYMAN CAN
APRIORITY
SPEED
SMILING TIGER
APRIORITY
HERE COMES BEN
CLASS
SMILING TIGER
APRIORITY
CAPTAIN CHEROKEE
LONGSHOT
NOBLE’S PROMISE
TENTH RACE 1 1/8 Miles (Turf) T h r e e y e a r olds & up Woodford Reserve (Gr I) P U R S E $500,000
1 LITTLE MIKE 6/1 L 34 Talented miler is a question mark at 9 furlongs 17% Bravo J 120 13% Romans Dale 1 0 7 1 0 5 120
2 mMEMORIAL MANIAC 50/1 L 28 Has bitten off too much here - can’t use 14% Graham J120 2% Demeritte Larry 9 0 1 0 4 118
3 TEAKS NORTH 20/1 L on 23 Well-traveled gelding will need a career best 14% Valdivia J Jr 124 20% Sallusto Justin 8 6 1 0 0 120
4 MORYBA 12/1 L 42 Brazilian-bred just missed in New Orleans - watch 10% Desormeaux K J120 10% Mott William I 7 7 9 6 118
5 mPRINCE WILL I AM 5/1 L 42 Has ability but may be better at longer distances 19% Velazquez J R 122 9% Nihei Michelle 8 8 1 0 3 121
6 SMART BID 8/1 L 42 Consistent performer comes off a hard-fought win 8% Prado E S 122 19% Motion H Graham 9 4 9 9 120
7 GET STORMY 8/1 L 22 5-year-old has a winning attitude - must respect 29% Dominguez R A124 9% Bush Thomas M 1 0 4 9 9 119
8 DOUBLES PARTNER 6/1 L 49 Late runner is 2 for 2 here - can’t overlook 14% Leparoux Julien R 120 27% Pletcher Todd A 7 9 9 8 119
9 AL KHALI 10/1 L 28 Nine furlongs has not been his best distance 17% Garcia A120 10% Mott William I 8 9 1 0 3 118
1 0 STATELY VICTOR 30/1 L 77 Not quite the talent of the best of these 14% Lebron Victor 120 22% Maker Michael J 8 6 9 4 118
1 1 RAHYSTRADA 20/1 L 49 Stalker will be in position turning for home 20% Bejarano R120 3% Hughes Byron G 9 0 1 0 1 119
1 2 COURT VISION 4/1 L 22 2010 runner-up hopes to grab top spot today 6% Albarado R J 120 0% Nevin Michael 9 0 1 0 5 119
1 3 BATTLE OF HASTINGS 12/1 L 28 Wins have been scarce the last two years 23% Rosario Joel 120 0% Fox Gregory 9 3 1 0 1 118
1 4 EXPANSION 12/1 L 42 6-year-old will try to mow ’em down late 18% Castellano J J 120 20% Asmussen Steven M 7 6 9 7 119
1 5 CARACORTADO 6/1 L 28 Disappointed as the favorite in last two - chance 13% Talamo Joseph120 11% Machowsky Micha e l 8 7 1 0 3 120
1 6 CITRUS KID 15/1 L 28 Figures to apply early pressure if he draws in 16% Smith M E118 19% Terranova John P I I 9 3 9 8 119
1 7 RIVIERA COCKTAIL 20/1 L 34 Game effort in Appleton but faces better here 17% Gomez G K118 32% McLaughlin Kiaran P 8 7 9 9 118
An overflow field has been drawn for the Woodford and several merit attention here. CARACORTADO didn’t try to the turf
until near the end of his 3-year-old season, but really seem to like it. He didn’t have the best of trips in the Arcadia last time
out and has a right to improve today if he can draw into the race. Slight edge. SMART BID was a game winner in the
Mervin Muniz after a short rest and looks to repeat today under similar conditions. RAHYSTRADA rates a look.
Pick 4 (part wheel)
6,11,15 - 8,17 -
4,9 - 1,4,9
Trifecta (part wheel)
15 - 6,11 - all
TODAY’S PICKS
CARACORTADO
SMART BID
RAHYSTRADA
SPEED
LITTLE MIKE
COURT VISION
MEMORIAL MANIAC
CLASS
PRINCE WILL I AM
LITTLE MIKE
TEAKS NORTH
LONGSHOT
RAHYSTRADA
BE$T BETS
Second Race - (#2) BIND
Sixth Race - (#5) CHAMBERLAIN BRIDGE
BE$T EXACTA RACES
Eighth Race - [ 2 - 7 - 11 ]
Ninth Race - [ 2 - 3 - 6 ]
Eleventh Race - [ 1 - 8 - 17 ]
BE$T LONGSHOTS
Fifth Race - (#9) THE MAN UPTOWN
Twelfth Race - (#4) DE PRICE
# Mud Horse
Odds
MedEqp
Chg
Cls
Chg
Days
Away COMMENTS
2011
Win % Jockey
2011
Win % Trainer Pace Spd Class
ELEVENTH RACE 1 1/4 Miles T h r e e y e ar olds The Kentucky Derby (Gr I) P U R S E $2,000,000
1 ARCHARCHARCH 10/1 L 21 Improving Arch colt draws dreaded inside post 11% Court J K 126 11% Fires William H 9 4 9 9 119
2 BRILLIANT SPEED 30/1 L 21 Blue Grass winner was nowhere in 3 dirt tries 23% Rosario Joel 126 10% Albertrani Thoma s 8 5 9 5 117
3 TWICE THE APPEAL 20/1 L 41 Calvin will have to work his magic on this one 12% Borel C H126 21% Bonde Jeff 8 4 9 2 117
4 STAY THIRSTY 20/1 L off 34 Pletcher/Repole 2nd-stringer looks to be in tough 29% Dominguez R A126 27% Pletcher Todd A 9 5 9 7 119
5 mDECISIVE MOMENT 30/1 L 42 Spiral runner-up adds to the early pace today 10% Clark K D126 15% Arias Juan D 9 1 9 5 117
6 COMMA TO THE TOP 30/1 L 28 Getting another furlong is the big ??? for him 16% Valenzuela P A126 14% Miller Peter 9 8 9 7 118
7 mPANTS ON FIRE 20/1 L 42 La. Derby winner showed he could rate in last 21% Napravnik Anna R 126 18% Breen Kelly J 9 5 9 5 117
8 DIALED IN 4/1 L 34 Zito trainee is just a half-length from unbeaten 14% Leparoux Julien R 126 13% Zito Nicholas P 8 2 1 0 3 121
9 DERBY KITTEN 30/1 L 14 11th-hour entrant showed little in lone dirt try 18% Castellano J J 126 22% Maker Michael J 8 3 9 3 116
1 0 TWINSPIRED 30/1 L 21 Has right running style but a ??? on this surface 16% Smith M E126 22% Maker Michael J 9 1 9 4 117
1 1 MASTER OF HOUNDS 30/1 L 42 Maiden winner makes his dirt debut - outsider 17% Gomez G K126 0% O’Brien Aidan P 4 5 9 6 117
1 2 SANTIVA 30/1 L 21 Made lone Churchill start a winning one - watch 22% Bridgmohan S X126 10% Kenneally Eddie 8 4 9 4 117
1 3 MUCHO MACHO MAN 12/1 L 42 Does this colt have the "heart" of his trainer? 13% Maragh Rajiv126 4% Ritvo Kathy P 9 3 1 0 0 119
1 4 SHACKLEFORD 12/1 L 34 Tries to carry his speed another furlong today 10% Castanon J L 126 13% Romans Dale 9 7 9 8 119
1 5 MIDNIGHT INTERLUDE 10/1 L 28 SoCal invader is lone runner off 2 straight wins 13% Espinoza V126 28% Baffert Bob 8 8 9 6 117
1 6 ANIMAL KINGDOM 30/1 L 42 Bred for turf but looked good in Churchill work 6% Albarado R J 126 19% Motion H Graham 9 7 9 7 118
1 7 mSOLDAT 12/1 L 34 Becomes a serious contender if you can forget last 17% Garcia A126 32% McLaughlin Kiaran P 9 6 1 0 6 121
1 8 UNCLE MO 9/2 L 28 Hopes to regain his "Mo-jo" in time to get roses 19% Velazquez J R 126 27% Pletcher Todd A 9 8 1 0 6 121
1 9 NEHRO 6/1 L 21 Comes running late but still just has one win 16% Nakatani C S 126 20% Asmussen Steven M 8 4 9 8 118
2 0 WATCH ME GO 50/1 L 28 Due for a better effort if current pattern holds 20% Bejarano R126 9% O’Connell Kathlee n 8 6 9 3 116
The topsy-turvy Kentucky Derby picture got more jumbled on Wednesday when one of the likely favorites,
ARCHARCHARCH, drew the dreaded one post. SOLDAT has looked as good as any in 2011, save for his last effort in the
Florida Derby, when he didn’t care for being on the rail and getting dirt kicked at him. He’ll break from the outside here and
settle into a good early spot, ready to run turning for home. DIALED IN will be rolling late, but must get past 19 rivals.
Exacta Box
1 - 8 - 17
Trifecta (key)
17 - 1,7,8,13,16
TODAY’S PICKS
SOLDAT
DIALED IN
ARCHARCHARCH
SPEED
SOLDAT
UNCLE MO
DIALED IN
CLASS
DIALED IN
SOLDAT
UNCLE MO
LONGSHOT
PANTS ON FIRE
TWELFTH RACE 7 Furlongs T h r e e y e a r olds & up Allowance n/w 2x P URSE $53,500
1 mAFTER SHOCK 4/1 L 44 Sharp in Oaklawn win but is 0 for 5 at Churchill 16% Smith M E122 19% Lukas D Wayne 9 8 9 4 115
2 JUSTIFIER 30/1 L 8 W. Virginia invader will have to show more here 14% Lebron Victor 120 18% Farrior Anthony 8 5 8 8 114
3 THE PROGRAM 5/1 L 406 Figures to need a race after 13+ months off 10% Theriot H J II 120 20% Werner Ronny 8 5 9 1 117
4 DE PRICE 6/1 L 51 Followed up Hallandale win with sharp works 10% Castanon J L 122 13% Romans Dale 9 2 9 5 118
5 STRONG COMMITMENT 30/1 L 23 0 for 4 record isn’t very compelling 15% Lanerie C J 120 36% Woodard Joe 8 2 8 6 115
6 FIRM RESOLVE 12/1 L 23 Reeled off two straight for new barn - watch 22% Bridgmohan S X122 15% Lovell Michelle 9 5 9 4 115
7 LOU BRISSIE 10/1 L 21 Limehouse colt likes this track - can’t dismiss 6% Albarado R J 114 15% Howard Neil J 9 2 8 4 113
8 mGOOD LORD 8/1 L 28 Looking to snap 10-race losing streak today 13% Maragh Rajiv120 8% Kaelin Forrest 8 8 9 3 118
9 mSTREAKIN’ MOHICAN 2/1 L 41 Speedy sort has shown he can get the distance 12% Borel C H120 16% O’Neill Doug 9 5 9 9 119
1 0 TONTO TOO 12/1 L 43 Not quite the talent of the best of these 14% Graham J114 17% Thornbury Jeff 9 2 9 0 116
1 1 ARCHIE TRUCKER 20/1 L 27 7-time winner tackles tougher foes today 20% Bejarano R120 0% Alfir David J 1 0 0 8 9 116
1 2 PATHOKI 50/1 L 21 Has bitten off too much here - can’t use 8% Straight Matthew 120 0% Cain Brian 9 4 8 1 111
STREAKIN’ MOHICAN looks best on paper in this 7-furlong Allowance affair, but he is going to face some early pressure
here and that could soften him up in the late going. Given that, try to beat him today with DE PRICE. This Aldebaran colt
has been a consistent performer, hitting the board in 8 of 9 tries with 2 wins, one of them coming over this track. He’s been
working well for his return to the races and is the choice to run by the embattled leader in the late going.
Late Double (part wheel)
4,6,9 - 1,4,9
Trifecta (part wheel)
4 - 6,9 - all
TODAY’S PICKS
DE PRICE
STREAKIN’ MOHICAN
FIRM RESOLVE
SPEED
STREAKIN’ MOHICAN
DE PRICE
AFTER SHOCK
CLASS
STREAKIN’ MOHICAN
DE PRICE
GOOD LORD
LONGSHOT
DE PRICE
THIRTEENTH RACE 1 1/16 Miles T h r e e y e a r olds & up Maiden Special Weight P U R SE $49,000
1 GENTLE TAP 3/1 L 42 Good try in Hot Springs debut - should improve 16% Smith M E118 20% Asmussen Steven M 6 8 8 3 112
2 mSHOTGUN SHINE 7/2 L 29 Failed to fire as the choice on Polytrack 14% Leparoux Julien R 125 10% Kenneally Eddie 8 2 9 0 112
3 SHRILL 4/1 L 24 Today’s added ground should be to his liking 17% Gomez G K118 25% Stall Albert M Jr 7 5 8 1 111
4 SCUFF 6/1 L 20 Arch colt is making progress - can’t rule out 22% Bridgmohan S X118 15% Lovell Michelle 8 6 8 7 114
5 TOTEMTALE 8/1 L 28 Simply had too much to do in career debut 17% Garcia A118 18% McPeek Kenneth G 8 0 8 1 109
6 BROCK 10/1 L 48 Showed little in first two - can’t recommend 6% Albarado R J 118 20% Asmussen Steven M 8 5 7 0 110
7 MAPLE LEAF KITTEN 20/1 L 59 Idle for two months with two modest works 15% Lanerie C J 118 36% Woodard Joe 7 5 8 0 111
8 BLOWBACK 20/1 L 29 Done nothing to suggest a wakeup is imminent 14% Lebron Victor 125 13% Parisel Francois 8 0 8 1 109
9 BONAROO 10/1 L 21 Will 9th try be the charm for Dynaformer colt? 11% Court J K 118 19% Lukas D Wayne 8 6 8 5 111
1 0 JALEB 20/1 L 10 Figures to remain a maiden a while longer 11% Cruz M R125 4% Kinmon Keith 8 4 7 7 109
1 1 G. W.’S D’ORO 15/1 L 22 Was well back in first 2 starts - tough to take 12% Borel C H118 16% Leggio Andrew J r 8 4 7 4 108
A wide open maiden race will close out the card and it would be tough to back anyone here that’s a short price. SCUFF
was claimed 3 starts back and has turned in 2 good efforts for his new connections. He should be ready for a top effort
today and will be running from just off the pace under Shaun Bridgmohan. BONAROO struggled earlier this year, but has
shown some life in his last couple of outings. He has a right to improve today with a clean trip as well.
Exacta Box
1 - 4 - 9
Trifecta (part wheel)
4 - 1,9 - all
TODAY’S PICKS
SCUFF
BONAROO
GENTLE TAP
SPEED
SHOTGUN SHINE
SCUFF
BONAROO
CLASS
SCUFF
GENTLE TAP
SHOTGUN SHINE
LONGSHOT
BONAROO
While every effort has been made to ensure accurate program numbers, please check the Official Track Program before wagering
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 05-06-2011, 03:13 PM
Registered User
 
Join Date: Apr 2005
Location: Scottsdale, AZ
Posts: 10,328
Rewards: 211
Thanks, lets hope we can all make some money tomorrow.
Reply With Quote
Reply

Bookmarks

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Trackbacks are On
Pingbacks are On
Refbacks are On



All times are GMT -5. The time now is 04:30 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.7
Copyright ©2000 - 2012, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.