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Old 01-31-2019, 11:15 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is offline
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Horse Racing 1-31-19

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Old 01-31-2019, 11:15 AM
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Handicapped by Rick Needham at Aqueduct
RACE #7 - AQUEDUCT RACE TRACK - 3:58 PM EASTERN POST
6 FURLONGS DIRT FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD ALLOWANCE $64,000.00 PURSE

#3 READY TO ESCAPE
#4 LEM ME TEL YA
#2 SUAS
#1 LOHENGRIN TWO

#3 READY TO ESCAPE, the overall speed and pace profile leader in this allowance field sprinting at, or about today's distance of 6 furlongs on the dirt, and has hit the board in each of his last five outings, with three of those efforts, including a win in his 2nd race back, also qualifying as "POWER RUNS." Jockey Junior Alvarado has been in his irons on two previous occasions hitting the board in both, winning one, and is back today here in Ozone Park for his 3rd ride, gunning for a 2nd "Circle Trip." #4 LEM ME TEL YA has produced a quartet of "POWER RUNS" in his last five starts, hitting the board in a pair, including a "POWER RUN WIN" in his 5th race back. Jockey Rajiv Maragh and Trainer Bruce Levine send him "postward" this afternoon ... they've hit the board with 56% of their entries saddled as a team to date.
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Old 01-31-2019, 11:15 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is offline
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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Charles Town
Charles Town - Race 1

Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Daily Double / Pick 3 (Races 1-2-3) Pick 4 (Races 1-2-3-4)


Allowance • 4 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 4 and up • CR: 88 • Purse: $24,500 • Post: 7:00P
FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, WAIVER CLAIMING OR STATE BRED RACES OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE DECEMBER 31, 2018 ALLOWED 3 LBS. A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 30, 2018 ALLOWED 6 LBS. (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $12,500 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN WEIGHT ALLOWANCES)(W V A RACES NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY).
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. BLUE PLAID is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * BLUE PLAID: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the dista nce/surface. PHONEMYPOSSEAGAIN: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. RUN BANNER: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Jockey win percentage over the last 30 days i s at least 18. GRAND FIBER: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
7
BLUE PLAID
3/1

9/2
6
PHONEMYPOSSEAGAIN
6/5

6/1
5
RUN BANNER
7/2

7/1
3
GRAND FIBER
8/1

8/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
7
BLUE PLAID
7

3/1
Front-runner
89

83

87.4

83.2

78.7
6
PHONEMYPOSSEAGAIN
6

6/5
Front-runner
82

86

87.2

76.8

71.3
3
GRAND FIBER
3

8/1
Front-runner
88

74

82.6

75.6

68.1
5
RUN BANNER
5

7/2
Alternator/Front-runner
88

82

84.4

77.0

69.5
1
TRUFFLES AND GOLD
1

12/1
Alternator/Front-runner
80

81

72.0

68.6

56.6
2
LAST PLUNGE
2

10/1
Stalker
91

71

74.4

74.2

66.7
4
U ROCK IT
4

15/1
Alternator/Non-contender
87

73

77.8

69.2

58.7
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Old 01-31-2019, 11:16 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is offline
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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Delta Downs
Delta Downs - Race 6

DD (Races 6-7) ($1 min.) / Exacta / Trifecta (.50 min.) / Pick 3 (Races 6-7-8) Pick 5 (Races 6-10) (.50 min.) / Superfecta (.10 min.)


Claiming $5,000 • 6 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 4 and up • CR: 78 • Purse: $15,000 • Post: 7:52P
FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. WEIGHT, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Lone Front-runner. IPIDATE is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * GUS'S TIZZY: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. PACIFIC SONG: Horse has a TrackM aster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. IPIDATE: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Today is a sprint and the horse is carrying at least 120 lbs.
3
GUS'S TIZZY
3/2

7/2
12
PACIFIC SONG
8/1

9/2
8
IPIDATE
8/1

7/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
8
IPIDATE
8

8/1
Front-runner
62

69

56.8

58.0

48.5
3
GUS'S TIZZY
3

3/2
Stalker
80

75

54.6

73.0

69.5
1
IT'S A SWEET ONE
1

7/2
Stalker
71

58

49.8

55.2

45.7
12
PACIFIC SONG
12

8/1
Alternator/Stalker
82

73

65.6

59.7

56.7
4
ZENS SECRET
4

5/1
Alternator/Stalker
68

66

57.7

53.3

39.8
11
ROARING STAR FIRE
11

9/2
Alternator/Stalker
66

58

44.4

55.6

45.6
10
COREY'SGOLDENTOUCH
10

15/1
Alternator/Non-contender
51

48

69.8

36.6

16.1
7
SUPERSONICSONG
7

6/1
Alternator/Non-contender
67

49

53.8

45.6

31.6
2
OLD PEP N STEP
2

20/1
Alternator/Non-contender
60

52

42.0

46.8

31.8
6
RESPECT DUE
6

30/1
Alternator/Non-contender
56

44

28.2

37.2

18.7
5
MY PAL KAY
5

15/1
Alternator/Non-contender
69

61

14.1

44.4

29.9
9
COURTNEY'S BEAU
9

30/1
Alternator/Non-contender
57

53

0.0

0.0

0.0
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  #5  
Old 01-31-2019, 11:17 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is offline
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Fair Grounds
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 3 - SO - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $20000 Class Rating: 93

FOR ACCREDITED LA BRED FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $5,000 OR LESS IN 2017-2019 OR CLAIMING PRICE $12,500. WEIGHT, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES SINCE DECEMBER 1 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE THEN ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,500.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 6 GREELEY'S WISH 3/1

# 3 SEA VOW 7/5

# 7 RECKLESS RANSOM 5/1

GREELEY'S WISH is my choice. Looks very good for the conditions of this outing today, showing solid figs in dirt sprint races lately. Schweda has him trained well to break promptly out of the gate. Put up a strong speed rating in the latest race. Can run another good one in this race. SEA VOW - This gelding has to be considered just off the earnings per start in dirt sprint events alone. With a solid 93 Equibase speed fig last time out, will clearly be a factor in this race. RECKLESS RANSOM - Formidable rider and trainer combo winning 29 percent of their races working together. With a sound 85 average speed figure at the distance, seems well suited for today's outing.
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Old 01-31-2019, 11:17 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is offline
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Golden Gate Fields - Race #3 - Post: 1:52pm - Claiming - 8.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $18,000 Class Rating: 94

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#6 OF NOTE (ML=5/2)
#7 PURE PERFECTION (ML=6/1)
#5 OUR RENEE (ML=4/1)


OF NOTE - Antongeorgi's agent must relish anytime Herbertson gives them a mount; winning percent together is terrific. Stick with this horse. No other viable pace gives this horse a strong chance at the winner's circle. This animal tops my list of choice plays. 3 solid efforts leading into this event can prove Moochie here is right. This mare's last figure is lofty enough to score here, I'll play her right back in today's event. PURE PERFECTION - Hernandez comes to saddle up after getting to know the mare in the last event. This mare is in first-rate physical condition right now. Finished second in the last race and comes back promptly. OUR RENEE - Have to make this mare a solid contender; she comes off a sharp effort on Jan 10th. When Cedillo and Wong team up on equines the win percent has been fantastic at 31. Finished fourth at Golden Gate Fields last out. Was close at the end and at odds of 4/1 in today's race, she looks like a possible contender.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 LADY BEWARE (IRE) (ML=7/2), #4 SPARKLE SHINE (ML=9/2), #1 NEON GYPSY (ML=8/1),

LADY BEWARE (IRE) - 7/2 is just not enough of a value to take on most any animal that has run poorly in back to back races. SPARKLE SHINE - The fourth place result in the last event was not the best. When examining today's Equibase class figure, she will have to earn a much better speed figure than in the last race to vie in this dirt route. NEON GYPSY - Hard to put your dough on the win end of any racer that finishes second and third as frequently as this one does. The rating last race out doesn't fit very well in this race when I look at the class figure of today's affair. Mark this racer as a questionable contender.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Bet on #6 OF NOTE to win if you can get at least 5/2 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
6 with [5,7]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [5,6,7] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
[5,6,7] with [5,6,7] with [1,3,5,6,7] with [1,3,5,6,7] Total Cost: $36

SUPER HIGH FIVE WAGERS:
[5,6,7] with [5,6,7] with [3,5,6,7] with [1,3,4,5,6,7] with [1,3,4,5,6,7] Total Cost: $72
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Old 01-31-2019, 11:17 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is offline
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Penn National - Race #5 - Post: 7:54pm - Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,800 Class Rating: 93

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#5 NEGRITO (ML=5/2)
#4 POINT OF VISION (ML=10/1)


NEGRITO - This horse didn't run well on a track listed as good in his last start at Penn National. You may want to overlook that performance. Another way to determine class is earnings per race. This entrant has the top in the group. I think he'll be close at the finish. POINT OF VISION - Could be a possible overlay in this event at odds of 10/1. Finished sixth in last race at Penn National but was close at the finish. This gelding gets a weight break of -7 lbs from last race. This could make a difference in this race.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 CRAFTY CONCORDE (ML=2/1), #1 PHILIPPIAN (ML=5/2), #7 AFLEET MARTINI (ML=6/1),

CRAFTY CONCORDE - I don't normally play a probable favorite that hasn't been to the track in the last 3 weeks. PHILIPPIAN - 5/2 is not worth it for any entrant in a sprint of 5 1/2 furlongs that hasn't finished in the money in a short distance contest recently. Registered a somewhat easily forgotten speed figure in the last race in a $6,250 Claiming race on December 14th. Not probable to see an improved performance off of that fig. AFLEET MARTINI - This gelding raced well above average on Dec 22nd ending up first, but hasn't even visited the track since then. Not really a good sign. When checking today's class figure, he will have to record a much better speed rating than last race out to compete in this dirt sprint.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Play #5 NEGRITO to win if you can get odds of 7/5 or more

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [4,5]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None
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Old 01-31-2019, 11:18 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is offline
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Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Santa Anita Park

01/31/19, SA, Race 4, 2.07 PT
6F [Dirt] 1.07.00 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $59,000.
Claiming Price $62,500. FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 TWICE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR STATE BRED OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $62,500
$1 Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $2 Rolling Double - $0.50 Rolling Pick Three (Races 4-5-6) - $0.50 Late Pick 5 (Races 4-8) - $1 Superfecta (.10 Min.) / $2 HRR - (RED 3,4: 4/5. BLK 5,6: 1/1. GRN 1,2: 6/1.)
Top Horse(100.0000) - Races 535, Win Percent 28.79, $1 ROI 0.86, For Race Category Non-Maiden Dirt
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse with stats MUST be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets. ROI is based on $1. Stats are exclusive to SA.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags Profit ROI WPC W# Occ Condition
100.0000 5 Microrithms 4-1 Smith M E Baffert Bob JL 131.00 1.36 25.14 46 183 Last_Race Was Different Jockey With Worse WPC
099.4662 1 Zulfikhar 4-1 Talamo J Baffert Bob FWC 131.00 1.36 25.14 46 183 Last_Race Was Different Jockey With Worse WPC
098.1928 3 Distinctive B 5/2 Van Dyke D Miller Peter SE 16.10 1.26 41.94 13 31 Race Track Is Not Fast; Wet Fast; Firm; Hard
098.0679 6 Captain Scotty 3-1 Prat F Miller Peter 16.10 1.26 41.94 13 31 Race Track Is Not Fast; Wet Fast; Firm; Hard
096.8866 4 The Hardest Way(b-) 4-1 Rosario J Ellis Ronald W. 131.00 1.36 25.14 46 183 Last_Race Was Different Jockey With Worse WPC
096.3672 2 Graycaster 6-1 Franco G Hollendorfer Jerry 129.00 1.28 23.81 55 231 Last_Race Was Different Jockey
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Old 01-31-2019, 11:18 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is offline
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Turfway Park
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 1 - Maiden Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $8000 Class Rating: 68

FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 122 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $15,000, FOR EACH $2,500 TO $10,000 1 LB.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 3 THEA BEE 8/5

# 6 CENTRAL BANKING 4/1

# 4 VICKIE'S RANSOME 6/1

My pick for this event is THEA BEE. Looks competitive versus this group and should be one of the leaders. Could provide positive profits based on very strong recent speed figs with an average of 51. Has a very solid shot for this race if you like back class. CENTRAL BANKING - This equine enters today's contest with second time Lasix. The average Equibase class rating of 29 makes this horse tough to beat. VICKIE'S RANSOME - Formidable average Equibase Speed Figures in dirt sprint races make this equine a contender. Lately Villasana has been hot which may give the edge to this filly.
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