Go Back   Sports Handicapping at cappersmall > >

Horse Racing Sports Handicapping at the Racetrack!

Likes Likes:  0
Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 01-04-2019, 03:30 PM
goirish25 goirish25 is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 183,983
Rewards: 213,393
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 720
Likes (Received): 15785
Horse Racing 1-4-19

Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 01-04-2019, 03:30 PM
goirish25 goirish25 is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 183,983
Rewards: 213,393
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 720
Likes (Received): 15785
Handicapped by Rick Needham at Aqueduct
RACE #5 - AQUEDUCT RACE TRACK - 2:54 PM EASTERN POST
9.0 FURLONGS DIRT FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD $25,000.00 CLAIMING $46,000.00 PURSE

#3 TURCO BRAVO
#5 INDIAN GUIDE
#6 LET ME GO FIRST
#4 ADMIRAL BLUE

#3 TURCO BRAVO, a Chilean-bred entry, is the overall speed leader in this claiming field racing at today's distance of 9.0 furlongs on the dirt, and has hit the board in "POWER RUN FASHION" in each of his last five starts, including back-to-back "POWER RUN WINS" in his last two outings. #5 INDIAN GUIDE, the pace profile leader, has hit the board in three of his last four starts, including a "POWER RUN PLACE" finish in his 3rd race back.
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 01-04-2019, 03:31 PM
goirish25 goirish25 is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 183,983
Rewards: 213,393
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 720
Likes (Received): 15785
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Charles Town - Race #3 - Post: 7:57pm - Claiming - 4.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,000 Class Rating: 59

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#5 DECIDING FACTOR (ML=9/2)
#8 ALLEN'S SONG (ML=5/1)


DECIDING FACTOR - Brown brings her right back. I recommend you stay with this hot filly. Just missed hitting the board on December 14th at Charles Town. With respectable odds in today's race, she has my interest. This filly's last figure recorded on Dec 14th is in the top spot in last race speed ratings. ALLEN'S SONG - This mare is back in a race very quick. This is a great angle - Sprinters that come back in less than 10 days after a race. A good sign of a sharp and ready racehorse. Mare's last race was against tougher open company. She's in with easier 'state breds' today. Sterling brings her right back. I propose you stay with this strong mare.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 CATLIKETENDENCIES (ML=2/1), #2 SHE'S A LIL PISTIL (ML=7/2), #7 FINLEY'S FORTUNE (ML=6/1),

CATLIKETENDENCIES - Has been defeated as the chalk back to back. A repeat is probably in store. Hard to back the public's choice when she continues to lose as the favorite. SHE'S A LIL PISTIL - I find it hard to support any pony in a short distance event if she hasn't finished in the money in a sprint in the last 60 days. In the last event this mount finished fifth. Doesn't show much potential for her chances today. When looking at today's class rating, she will have to garner a better speed figure than in the last race to be competitive in this dirt sprint. FINLEY'S FORTUNE - You figure that this animal is going to finish first just because she's always close. Just doesn't win regularly.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Play #5 DECIDING FACTOR to win if you can get odds of 8/5 or more

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [5,8]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 01-04-2019, 03:31 PM
goirish25 goirish25 is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 183,983
Rewards: 213,393
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 720
Likes (Received): 15785
F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Delta Downs
Delta Downs - Race 4

Daily Double (Races 4-5) ($1 min.) / Exacta / Trifecta (.50 min.) Pick 3 (Races 4-5-6) (.50 min.) / Superfecta (.10 min.)


Claiming $10,000 • 6 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 4 and up • CR: 82 • Purse: $17,000 • Post: 6:52P
FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. WEIGHT, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Lone Trailer. HOLD ME KAT is the Lone Trailer of the race, but has been deemed a non-contender due to a low Platinum Figure or other overall low ratings. * KEY ANGLES * INSUBORDINATION: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. GUS'S TIZZY: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. BERKO: Horse ranks in the top three in Trac kMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
5
INSUBORDINATION
7/2

3/1
9
GUS'S TIZZY
5/2

5/1
8
BERKO
5/1

8/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
5
INSUBORDINATION
5

7/2
Front-runner
85

80

81.5

82.6

79.6
8
BERKO
8

5/1
Alternator/Front-runner
79

76

77.8

61.0

50.0
9
GUS'S TIZZY
9

5/2
Stalker
73

80

62.5

72.8

67.3
3
DELICIOUS
3

10/1
Stalker
74

72

54.5

58.7

50.7
10
LET'S GO BOSS
10

10/1
Alternator/Stalker
73

62

47.4

58.2

44.2
7
HOLD ME KAT
7

15/1
Trailer
61

52

45.2

49.8

32.3
6
BLENDED LUTE
6

8/1
Alternator/Non-contender
74

70

87.4

57.6

46.6
2
CAT'S SHINING STAR
2

8/1
Alternator/Non-contender
58

61

46.8

50.0

33.5
1
FLYING SOUTH
1

12/1
Alternator/Non-contender
74

58

45.2

40.8

30.3
4
ROARING STAR FIRE
4

10/1
Alternator/Non-contender
66

62

40.4

58.0

45.5
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 01-04-2019, 03:32 PM
goirish25 goirish25 is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 183,983
Rewards: 213,393
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 720
Likes (Received): 15785
Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Gulfstream Park

01/04/19, GP, Race 5, 2.37 ET
6 1/2F [Dirt] 1.14.02 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $21,000.
Claiming Price $12,500. FOR MAIDENS, FOUR YEARS OLDAND UPWARD
$1 Daily Double / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta / $1 Super Hi 5 - $.50 Bet 3 (Races 5-6-7) / $.20 Rainbow Pick 6 (Races 5-10)
Top Horse - Races 51, Win Percent 33.33, $1 ROI 0.82, For Race Category MSW_MCLM Dirt
Best in race - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
Rating Pgm# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer FLAGS
100.0000 8 Talking Zip 6-1 Saez L De La Cerda Armando JT
099.6184 2 Primary Surplus 5/2 Jimenez A Abreu Jorge R.
097.6739 6 Quenlenny 6-1 Albarado R Romans Dale L. L
097.6154 9 Nation U S A 8-1 Castillo L A Gazader Daniel SW
095.8321 5 Tropical Tapistry 20-1 Reyes L Levy Tamara L. C
095.7723 4 Dr Dudley 3-1 Nunez E O Catanese Ralph J. FE
095.3456 7 Marnesia One Step 30-1 Sanchez L A Rossi Albino A.
094.4657 3 Seven Ways(b+) 4-1 Vasquez M A Azpurua. Jr. Eduardo
093.3386 1 Elogio 30-1 Monterrey. Jr. P Monterrey. Sr. Pedro
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 01-04-2019, 03:33 PM
goirish25 goirish25 is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 183,983
Rewards: 213,393
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 720
Likes (Received): 15785
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Laurel - Race #5 - Post: 2:30pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $18,000 Class Rating: 60

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#9 EXPECT DRAMA (ML=5/1)


EXPECT DRAMA - Was in a $25,000 Maiden Claiming race at Laurel last time out. That race had a class number of 71 and he is moving down in this field. A certain strong challenger. No needing to look any further. This pony has my cash. Way too much pace. Maiden is moving to the dirt, and may not have liked the turf last out. Has a good chance to get to the winner's circle for the 1st time. Last time around the track, finished eighth on the soft turf at Laurel. Should do much better right here.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 TRION WINGS (ML=8/5), #2 MCLEAN HOUSE (ML=3/1), #8 APACHEAN (ML=8/1),

TRION WINGS - Just don't think he is worth it at the likely odds. MCLEAN HOUSE - Hasn't been close to winning at all recently. APACHEAN - This horse just hasn't looked ready of late. When checking today's class rating, he will have to notch a better rating than last time around the track to vie in this dirt route.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - EXPECT DRAMA - This gelding beat the class rating of this race two races back with a figure of 64. He should be high in your wagering considerations today.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#9 EXPECT DRAMA to win at post-time odds of 1/1 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
9 with [2,6]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

SUPER HIGH 5 WAGERS:
None
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 01-04-2019, 03:36 PM
goirish25 goirish25 is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 183,983
Rewards: 213,393
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 720
Likes (Received): 15785
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Sunland Park
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 8 - Allowance - 350y on the Dirt. Purse: $28600 Class Rating: 84

QUARTER HORSE 350Y, FOR REGISTERED NEW MEXICO BRED FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. FOUR YEAR OLDS, 126 LBS.; OLDER, 128 LBS.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 4 INSURMOUNTABLE BB 5/2

# 3 PCJ THATS IT 4/1

# 10 DENIM WIZZARD 30/1

INSURMOUNTABLE BB could be the bet in here. Earned a solid speed figure last time out. He has strong class ratings, averaging 84, and has to be given a shot for this event. PCJ THATS IT - Has some interesting angles which make this entrant a play. She has decent class ratings, averaging 88, and has to be considered in here.
Reply With Quote
Reply

Tags
1-4-19, horse, msh, racing

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 12:59 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2019, vBulletin Solutions Inc.
Resources saved on this page: MySQL 15.00% Host: cappersmallweb3