Go Back   Sports Handicapping at cappersmall > >

Horse Racing Sports Handicapping at the Racetrack!

Likes Likes:  1
Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 11-08-2018, 09:14 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is online now
Registered User
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 177,180
Rewards: 203,443
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 705
Likes (Received): 14168
Horse Racing 11-8-18

Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 11-08-2018, 09:14 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is online now
Registered User
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 177,180
Rewards: 203,443
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 705
Likes (Received): 14168
Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Aqueduct

11/08/18, AQU, Race 4, 1.47 ET
1M [Turf] 1.34.02 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $70,000.
(UP TO $12,180 NYSBFOA) FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLDAND UPWARD
Exacta, Quinella, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (4-6) - Pick 6 Races (4-9), Double
Best in race - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
Top Horse Win Percent 00.00, $1 ROI 0.00, For Race Category MSW_MCLM Turf
Rating Pgm# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer FLAGS
100.0000 2B Business Cycle 6-1 Rider TBA Brown Chad C. SFE
099.6556 2 Propagate 6-1 Castellano J Brown Chad C.
098.4384 7 Bail Out 3-1 Lezcano J McGaughey III Claude R
098.3894 8 Kandinsky 5/2 Saez L Serpe Philip M. L
096.9740 5 Carom 6-1 Ortiz. Jr. I Ribaudo Robert J
096.6580 9 Strategic Outlook 9/2 Rosario J Gyarmati Leah
096.3403 3 Timepiece 12-1 Gutierrez R Bond H. James W
096.0022 6 Le Condor (GER) 12-1 Cohen D Hennig Mark A.
094.9417 1A Tiz Morning 10-1 Reyes L R Mc Allen John P.
094.6960 3X Zealous 12-1 Gutierrez R Bond H. James
093.0789 4 Bad Guy 20-1 Davis D Maymo Alejandro C
092.0837 1 Duncastle 10-1 Cancel E Mc Allen John P.
If Race Is Off Turf
Top Horse Win Percent 11.11, $1 ROI 0.16, For Race Category MSW_MCLM Dirt
Rating Pgm# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer FLAGS
100.0000 2B Business Cycle 6-1 Rider TBA Brown Chad C. EW
099.1168 2 Propagate 6-1 Castellano J Brown Chad C.
097.9053 8 Kandinsky 5/2 Saez L Serpe Philip M. SFL
097.5109 7 Bail Out 3-1 Lezcano J McGaughey III Claude R
096.5575 5 Carom 6-1 Ortiz. Jr. I Ribaudo Robert J
096.1810 9 Strategic Outlook 9/2 Rosario J Gyarmati Leah
095.3413 6 Le Condor (GER) 12-1 Cohen D Hennig Mark A.
095.0637 3 Timepiece 12-1 Gutierrez R Bond H. James
094.2754 3X Zealous 12-1 Gutierrez R Bond H. James
093.8139 1A Tiz Morning 10-1 Reyes L R Mc Allen John P.
092.1489 1 Duncastle 10-1 Cancel E Mc Allen John P.
091.5689 4 Bad Guy 20-1 Davis D Maymo Alejandro C
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 11-08-2018, 09:15 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is online now
Registered User
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 177,180
Rewards: 203,443
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 705
Likes (Received): 14168
Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Churchill Downs

11/08/18, CD, Race 8, 4.36 ET
6F [Dirt] 1.07.03 ALLOWANCE. Purse $78,500.
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES
Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Pick 3 (Races 8-9-10)
Best in race - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
Top Horse Win Percent 21.79, $1 ROI 0.64, For Race Category Non-Maiden Dirt
Rating Pgm# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer FLAGS
100.0000 7 Proximus 6-1 Geroux F Cox Brad H. TFEL
099.4999 4 Givemeaminit 5/2 Lanerie C J Stewart Dallas W
099.3651 5 Rubus 3-1 Mena M Bauer Philip A. S
097.7388 3 Examiner 7/2 Hernandez. Jr. B J Colebrook Ben C
097.6799 2 Tap Master 6-1 Santana. Jr. R Asmussen Steven M.
097.3319 6 Mojo Man 12-1 Gaffalione T DiVito James P. J
097.0869 1 Eagle Dance 9/2 Landeros C Hough Stanley M.
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 11-08-2018, 09:15 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is online now
Registered User
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 177,180
Rewards: 203,443
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 705
Likes (Received): 14168
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Charles Town
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 5 - Claiming - 9.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $10000 Class Rating: 70

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE OCTOBER 8 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000, IF FOR $4,500, ALLOWED 2 LBS.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 8 CASHTON PEAK 5/2

# 3 NORTH DUBAI 4/1

# 2 OUR CHARITABLE 3/1

CASHTON PEAK is the strongest bet in this race. Has performed admirably lately in route races, posting a nifty 70 avg Equibase Speed Figure. Is a contender - given the 64 Equibase Speed Figure from his most recent race. A solid 85 avg class rating may give this gelding a distinct class edge against this group. NORTH DUBAI - With a +89 return on investment, this jock and handler duo has produced quite good profits lately for investors. OUR CHARITABLE - Could beat this field given the 62 Equibase Speed Figure posted in his last outing. He has recorded decent numbers under today's conditions and will almost certainly fare well against this group.
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 11-08-2018, 09:15 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is online now
Registered User
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 177,180
Rewards: 203,443
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 705
Likes (Received): 14168
F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Delta Downs
Delta Downs - Race 6

DD (Races 6-7) ($1 min.) / Exacta / Trifecta (.50 min.) / Pick 3 (Races 6-7-8) Pick 5 (Races 6-10) (.50 min.) / Superfecta (.10 min.)


Maiden Claiming $10,000 • 5 Furlongs • Dirt • Age 2 • CR: 49 • Purse: $14,000 • Post: 7:43P
FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 121 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. LORRIE G is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * LORRIE G: Horse is dropping into a race which has an Class Rating at least five points lower than the Class Rating of its last race. Horse has a T rackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. MISS READY CAT: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. SPEEDPOINT: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner wi th an inside post position. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
5
LORRIE G
2/1

3/1
1
MISS READY CAT
4/1

5/1
2
SPEEDPOINT
6/1

8/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
5
LORRIE G
5

2/1
Front-runner
0

0

83.5

44.8

42.3
1
MISS READY CAT
1

4/1
Front-runner
55

43

53.6

31.6

26.6
9
UNTUTTABLE SPEED
9

5/1
Alternator/Front-runner
0

0

55.7

34.1

27.6
2
SPEEDPOINT
2

6/1
Alternator/Front-runner
48

38

44.7

36.0

27.0
10
SASSY KYLIE
10

30/1
Alternator/Trailer
0

0

0.0

2.8

0.0
3
SARAH ANN'S POINTE
3

20/1
Alternator/Non-contender
0

0

0.0

0.0

0.0
6
BLUE SUEDE RANSOM
6

20/1
Alternator/Non-contender
0

0

0.0

0.0

0.0
7
TRAPPE ME
7

30/1
Alternator/Non-contender
0

0

0.0

0.0

0.0








Unknown Running Style: HEADSTRONG WOMAN (12/1) [Jockey: Castillo Alexander - Trainer: Gelner Scott], MYSTERIOUS KINGDOM (7/2) [Jockey: Thornton Timothy - Trainer: Broberg Karl].
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 11-08-2018, 09:16 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is online now
Registered User
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 177,180
Rewards: 203,443
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 705
Likes (Received): 14168
F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Golden Gate Fields
Golden Gate Fields - Race 3

$1 Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $2 Rolling Double $1 Superfecta (.10 min) / $0.50 Pick 3 (Races 3-4-5) $0.50 Late Pick 5 (3-4-5-6-7)


Starter Allowance $8,000 • 1 Mile • All-Weather • Ages 3 and up • CR: 104 • Purse: $15,000 • Post: 1:50P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $8,000 OR LESS IN 2017-2018. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE SEPTEMBER 1 ALLOWED 2 LBS. (MAIDEN, CLAIMING AND STARTER RACES FOR $6,250 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED).
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Lone Front-runner. BLACK TIE EVENT is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * BLACK TIE EVENT: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. MANILA MISCHIEF: H orse had a bullet workout within the last seven days. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. NOWHERE MAN: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. TIZ TITUS: Horse ha s run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
4
BLACK TIE EVENT
8/1

5/1
2
MANILA MISCHIEF
3/1

6/1
3
NOWHERE MAN
7/5

7/1
1
TIZ TITUS
2/1

7/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
4
BLACK TIE EVENT
4

8/1
Front-runner
96

91

109.8

91.6

85.1
1
TIZ TITUS
1

2/1
Stalker
103

105

86.6

94.2

89.2
3
NOWHERE MAN
3

7/5
Stalker
109

105

63.8

91.4

88.9
2
MANILA MISCHIEF
2

3/1
Alternator/Stalker
106

104

73.4

97.2

90.7
6
MONSAJEM ACCRETE
6

10/1
Trailer
101

93

83.6

93.6

84.6
5
SYMPHONY FORTY ONE
5

20/1
Alternator/Non-contender
93

87

83.6

86.8

75.8
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 11-08-2018, 09:16 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is online now
Registered User
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 177,180
Rewards: 203,443
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 705
Likes (Received): 14168
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Gulfstream Park West - Race #7 - Post: 3:30pm - Claiming - 5.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $19,000 Class Rating: 71

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#5 ENIGMATICA (ML=8/1)
#6 BIRD OF PEACE (ML=12/1)
#3 BONNIE SCOT (ML=6/1)


ENIGMATICA - Was in a $16,000 Claiming race at Gulfstream Park last race out. That event had an Equibase class figure of 79 and she is moving down in today's race. A certain win candidate. Last time she ran at this distance she notched a speed fig good enough to win today's affair. Average class figure is tops in this field. I think that is a big advantage for a turf race. BIRD OF PEACE - You always have to be on the patrol for money generating jockey/conditioner combos; we have one right here. Ran last out against tougher competition at Gulfstream Park West. The move down in class should suit her well. BONNIE SCOT - I like to bet on this handicapping theory, a pony coming back off a good contest within the last month or so.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 GRACIAS ADIOS (ML=3/1), #8 PRAY PRAY PRAY (ML=7/2), #2 FRECKLES KAN (ML=4/1),

GRACIAS ADIOS - The pace scenario just isn't too promising for this early speedster. Many other thoroughbreds would have to scratch to promote her efforts. PRAY PRAY PRAY - All sorts of crazy early speed signed up for this event. No chance for this front-runner. FRECKLES KAN - Hard to put any money on this filly on the front end. Likes to end up on the board though.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Putting our cash on #5 ENIGMATICA to win. Have to have odds of at least 7/2 or better though

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [3,5,6]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [3,5,6] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

SUPER HI 5 WAGERS:
Skip
__________________
Likes wire2wire liked this post
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 11-08-2018, 09:17 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is online now
Registered User
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 177,180
Rewards: 203,443
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 705
Likes (Received): 14168
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Hawthorne
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 4 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $10000 Class Rating: 91

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 8 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $8,000


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 2 HAWK'S IMAGE 5/2

# 5 FOUR LEFT FEET 5/1

# 1 IKER 9/5

HAWK'S IMAGE is my choice. The average Equibase class rating alone makes this horse a key contender. Formidable average Equibase speed figs in dirt sprint races make this pony a solid choice. He has been running very well and the Equibase Speed Figs are among the best in this group. FOUR LEFT FEET - He ought to be given consideration given the very strong speed figs. Has run solidly when racing a dirt sprint race. IKER - Win percentage under similar conditions may be the key for this gelding. Looks respectable to be on the lead at the first call.
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old 11-08-2018, 09:17 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is online now
Registered User
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 177,180
Rewards: 203,443
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 705
Likes (Received): 14168
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Penn National - Race #2 - Post: 6:27pm - Claiming - 5.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,000 Class Rating: 85

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#8 CUBAN COWBOY (ML=4/1)


CUBAN COWBOY - I believe Moreno-Barban is making a good move here. This gelding can only be aided by the shorter distance. This gelding is in nice condition. Ran second on Oct 13th.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 NICO'S PRIZE (ML=2/1), #2 CEE 'N O (ML=3/1), #6 ONE SOCK MAUK (ML=7/2),

NICO'S PRIZE - I don't normally play a morning-line favorite that hasn't been to the track in the last 3 weeks. CEE 'N O - Didn't come through as the public's choice back to back. Probably won't gain a top finish today either. ONE SOCK MAUK - Just don't believe he is priced right at the given odds.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Have to go with #8 CUBAN COWBOY on the win end if we get at least 1/1 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
Skip

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
None

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None
Reply With Quote
Reply

Tags
11-8-18, horse, racing

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 04:25 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2018, vBulletin Solutions Inc.
Resources saved on this page: MySQL 15.00% Host: cappersmallweb2