Go Back   Sports Handicapping at cappersmall > >

Horse Racing Sports Handicapping at the Racetrack!

Likes Likes:  0
Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 12-30-2018, 09:58 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is online now
Registered User
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 183,816
Rewards: 213,184
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 720
Likes (Received): 15771
Horse Racing 12-30-18

Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 12-30-2018, 09:58 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is online now
Registered User
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 183,816
Rewards: 213,184
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 720
Likes (Received): 15771
F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Camarero
Camarero - Race 2

Pick 6 / Exacta / Daily Double 2-3


Claiming $8,000 • 1 1/8 Miles • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 73 • Purse: $6,500 • Post: 3:10P
FOR NATIVE THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 116 LBS.; OLDER, 120 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE DECEMBER 12 ALLOWED 1 LBS. A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 30 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 30 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $8,000.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Lone Front-runner. JOSE M. is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * CACHETITO ROJO: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. JOSE M.: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. VIBRANTE: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. AERONAUTICO: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
4
CACHETITO ROJO
1/1

9/2
2
JOSE M.
2/1

5/1
5
VIBRANTE
4/1

7/1
3
AERONAUTICO
5/2

8/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
2
JOSE M.
2

2/1
Front-runner
70

66

62.6

45.4

39.4
3
AERONAUTICO
3

5/2
Stalker
67

63

59.7

54.1

47.6
4
CACHETITO ROJO
4

1/1
Trailer
76

67

54.4

66.2

64.2
5
VIBRANTE
5

4/1
Alternator/Trailer
71

65

63.8

60.8

54.3
1
MAGO DE ORIENTE
1

10/1
Alternator/Non-contender
47

50

55.4

54.4

46.4
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 12-30-2018, 09:58 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is online now
Registered User
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 183,816
Rewards: 213,184
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 720
Likes (Received): 15771
F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Golden Gate Fields
Golden Gate Fields - Race 4

$1 Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $2 Rolling Double $1 Superfecta (.10 min) / $0.50 Pick 3 (Races 4-5-6) $0.20 Golden Pick 6 (Races 4-9) / $1 Rolling Super High Five


Starter Allowance $50,000 • 1 1/16 Miles • Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 92 • Purse: $19,000 • Post: 2:18P
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $50,000 OR LESS AND WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 123 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE OCTOBER 15 ALLOWED 2 LBS. (ONE WIN FOR $20,000 OR LESS WILL NOT BE CONSIDERED WHEN DETERMINING ELIGIBILITY).
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Lone Front-runner. STREETLIGHTROMANCE is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * COPPER FEVER: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. NOVEMBER TALE (IRE): Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. OH SCATTY OH: Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20. OUR SLICK CHICK: Horse had a bullet workout within the last seven days. STREETLIGHTROMANCE: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
6
COPPER FEVER
3/1

5/1
1
NOVEMBER TALE (IRE)
5/2

6/1
3
OH SCATTY OH
9/2

7/1
2
OUR SLICK CHICK
6/1

8/1
7
STREETLIGHTROMANCE
12/1

10/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
7
STREETLIGHTROMANCE
7

12/1
Front-runner
90

88

97.7

69.2

59.2
6
COPPER FEVER
6

3/1
Stalker
93

89

102.9

87.6

83.1
3
OH SCATTY OH
3

9/2
Stalker
93

92

77.8

87.2

78.2
2
OUR SLICK CHICK
2

6/1
Alternator/Stalker
86

83

90.8

84.7

77.7
1
NOVEMBER TALE (IRE)
1

5/2
Alternator/Stalker
95

90

81.4

88.4

83.4
4
WISH YOU WERE MINE
4

7/2
Trailer
88

87

83.6

83.1

71.6
8
ANOTHER REDHEAD
8

20/1
Trailer
82

73

72.0

78.7

64.7
5
SOPHIA DEL SOL
5

20/1
Trailer
72

72

68.2

74.5

60.0
9
SENORITA COMETA
9

20/1
Alternator/Non-contender
78

68

85.8

81.2

68.2
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 12-30-2018, 09:58 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is online now
Registered User
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 183,816
Rewards: 213,184
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 720
Likes (Received): 15771
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Gulfstream Park - Race #4 - Post: 1:30pm - Maiden Special - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $60,000 Class Rating: 84

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#3 ADMIRAL LYNCH (ML=5/2)


ADMIRAL LYNCH - It looks like Jaramillo had to 'know' this colt on December 9th when riding him for the initial time. Back on board again today. The recent bullet 47.1 work should put this colt on track for today's outing. You have to be keen on that last race speed figure, 83, which is the highest last race speed rating of this bunch.

Vulnerable Contenders: #6 GOLDEN IDOL (ML=3/1), #4 ROBINTAKINCHARGE (ML=7/2), #7 GREATER CAIRO (ML=9/2),

GOLDEN IDOL - This questionable contender ran a common speed figure last time out. He shouldn't improve and will likely lose today running that fig. ROBINTAKINCHARGE - The speed figure last out doesn't fit very well in this race when I look at the class figure of today's race. Mark this thoroughbred as a likely underpriced equine. GREATER CAIRO - Don't believe this mount will do much running in today's event. That last speed rating was disappointing when compared with today's class figure.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Go with #3 ADMIRAL LYNCH on top if we're getting at least 1/1 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
Skip

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None

SUPER HI 5 WAGERS:
Skip
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 12-30-2018, 09:59 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is online now
Registered User
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 183,816
Rewards: 213,184
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 720
Likes (Received): 15771
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Laurel - Race #2 - Post: 1:00pm - SO - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $28,000 Class Rating: 86

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#4 GLENGAR (ML=2/1)
#3 BIGASAUROUS (ML=6/1)


GLENGAR - This jock and handler have a high winning percent together. Pimentel comes to saddle up after getting to know the gelding in the last event. Ran a fast time for the last quarter on December 16th at Laurel. Anything close in this event should get the job done. BIGASAUROUS - Have to give this gelding a good shot. Ran a strong race last time out within the last month or so. Three consecutive improved Equibase speed figs (62-78-80) make this one a solid contender.

Vulnerable Contenders: #6 ONE MORE TOM (ML=5/2), #5 CRUSH IT (ML=9/2), #7 PASSPORT (ML=8/1),

ONE MORE TOM - I forecast disappointment for this horse in this contest. CRUSH IT - Earned a quite unimpressive rating in the last race in a $25,000 Maiden Claiming race on Nov 24th. Improbable to see an improved performance off of that number. PASSPORT - This horse showed little last time finishing sixth. Can't expect any change in today's event. You always believe this animal has a shot to cross the finish line in first, but he fails frequently.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Have to go with #4 GLENGAR on the win end if we get at least 9/5 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [3,4]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

SUPER HIGH 5 WAGERS:
None
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 12-30-2018, 09:59 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is online now
Registered User
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 183,816
Rewards: 213,184
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 720
Likes (Received): 15771
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Portland Meadows
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 4 - Claiming - 8.3f on the Dirt. Purse: $5600 Class Rating: 84

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 30, 2018 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $3,200.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 2 PREVAIL 3/1

# 3 BUCKBEAK 6/1

# 1 BURTON ERNIE 2/1

I like PREVAIL here. Has very good Speed Figures and has to be considered for a wager in this race. Sound average speed figures in dirt route races make this equine a contender. Trainers don't bring mounts back this soon just for fun. BUCKBEAK - Has competitive Equibase Speed Figs and has to be considered for a wager in this competition. Should be given consideration in this competition if only for the formidable Equibase speed fig recorded in the last race. BURTON ERNIE - Lopez will probably be able to get this gelding to break out quickly in this event. Posted a quite good Equibase Speed Figure last time out.
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 12-30-2018, 09:59 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is online now
Registered User
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 183,816
Rewards: 213,184
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 720
Likes (Received): 15771
Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Santa Anita Park

12/30/18, SA, Race 8, 3.33 PT
1M [Turf] 1.31.03 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $59,000.
Claiming Price $62,500. FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLDAND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 TWICE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR STATE BRED OR CLAIMING PRICE $62,500 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES
$1 Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $2 Rolling Double - $0.50 Rolling Pick Three (Races 8-9-10) / $1 Superfecta (.10 Min.) - $1 Rolling Super High 5 / $2 Horseracing Roulette (RED 2,3,4: - 4/5. BLK 7,10,9,8: 7/5. GRN 1,5,6: 10/1.)
Top Horse - Races 58, Win Percent 22.41, $1 ROI 0.65, For Race Category Non-Maiden Turf
Best in race - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
Rating Pgm# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer FLAGS
100.0000 10 Lemoona 6-1 Atzeni A Baltas Richard J
098.0435 4 English Dancer 4-1 Prat F Baltas Richard
097.8988 2 Cordiality 5/2 Baze T Glatt Mark SE
096.9301 1 Cheekaboo 10-1 Rosario J Eurton Peter W
096.5733 3 Pulpit Rider 6-1 Van Dyke D Puype Mike C
096.3475 8 Ippodamia's Girl 8-1 Bejarano R Morey William E. FL
095.9616 7 Tammy's Window 8-1 Figueroa H Morey William E.
095.6219 9 One Fast Broad 10-1 Fuentes R Ruis Mick
094.5409 6 Lightning Dove 15-1 Franco G Palma Hector O.
093.1435 5 Jazaalah 15-1 Desormeaux K J Cassidy James M.
If Race Is Off Turf
Top Horse - Races 71, Win Percent 29.58, $1 ROI 0.91, For Race Category Non-Maiden Dirt
Rating Pgm# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer FLAGS
100.0000 10 Lemoona 6-1 Atzeni A Baltas Richard J
097.5466 2 Cordiality 5/2 Baze T Glatt Mark SFE
097.3547 4 English Dancer 4-1 Prat F Baltas Richard
097.0279 3 Pulpit Rider 6-1 Van Dyke D Puype Mike C
095.6956 9 One Fast Broad 10-1 Fuentes R Ruis Mick W
095.5575 7 Tammy's Window 8-1 Figueroa H Morey William E.
095.5320 1 Cheekaboo 10-1 Rosario J Eurton Peter
095.3736 8 Ippodamia's Girl 8-1 Bejarano R Morey William E. L
094.3683 6 Lightning Dove 15-1 Franco G Palma Hector O.
093.2560 5 Jazaalah 15-1 Desormeaux K J Cassidy James M.
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 12-30-2018, 09:59 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is online now
Registered User
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 183,816
Rewards: 213,184
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 720
Likes (Received): 15771
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Sunland Park
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 7 - Optional Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $32100 Class Rating: 84

FOR REGISTERED NEW MEXICO BRED THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR TRIAL OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $17,500. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $17,500.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 4 MR. DIGGER 7/2

# 3 MISTER KOWEN 9/2

# 8 KRIS WHO 5/2

MR. DIGGER appears to be the bet in here. Has to be carefully examined here on the basis of the figs in the speed section alone. The average Equibase class rating of 77 makes this horse tough to beat. Has posted sound Equibase Speed Figures in dirt route races in the past. MISTER KOWEN - Must be used in the exotic offerings. Is worth considering and may be a bet - strong speed figures (74 average) at today's distance and surface lately. KRIS WHO - Chirinos and Fincher are a strong pair for gains. Has very good front-end speed and will almost certainly fare admirably against this group.
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old 12-30-2018, 09:59 AM
goirish25 goirish25 is online now
Registered User
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 183,816
Rewards: 213,184
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 720
Likes (Received): 15771
Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Tampa Bay Downs

12/30/18, TAM, Race 2, 12.54 ET
5 1/2F [Dirt] 1.02.04 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $13,200.
Claiming Price $16,000. FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD
Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta ($.50 minimum) / Superfecta ($.10 minimum) - Pick 3 ($.50 minimum) (Races 2-3-4) / Super High 5
Top Horse - Races 35, Win Percent 14.29, $1 ROI 0.35, For Race Category MSW_MCLM Dirt
Best in race - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
Rating Pgm# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer FLAGS
100.0000 8 Warrior's Delight 6-1 Morales P Rodriguez Darien JTL
098.7415 2 Savage Music 2-1 Camacho S Bennett Gerald S. E
098.3473 3 School Song(b+) 6-1 Centeno D Decker Kenneth W
097.3769 4 Not Necessarily 3-1 Allen. Jr. R D Bennett Gerald S.
097.3673 7 My Little Rockstar 7/2 Garcia J A Westlye Kenneth SFC
094.3377 1 J P's Wright 10-1 Mata F Wallace David
093.0628 5 Fireman Fred 30-1 Ulloa A P Paramo Martin
091.7105 6 Chess Master 15-1 Coa K J Galvan Baltazar
Reply With Quote
Reply

Tags
12-30-18, horse, racing

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 07:39 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2019, vBulletin Solutions Inc.
Resources saved on this page: MySQL 15.00% Host: cappersmallweb5