Saturday 4/9's Aqueduct Thread

[smooth53_98]

Full card Aqueduct:

R1 3-11-12-9
R2 5-2-3-7
R3 9-10-4-6
R4 6-10-4-9
R5 9-5-8-7
R6 1-8-4-2
R7 3-2-10-7
R8 6-5-4-2
R9 3-4-6-5
R10 5-3-11-7

Some analysis to follow!

-smooth

[Wabash Wonders]

race 1 #3 Sarah's Prospect

race 2 #1 Pay Attention

race 3 #10 Record Buster

race 4 #6 Runaway Russy

race 5 #9 Can'tmiss Prospect

race 6 #1 Lost in the Fog

race 7 #2 Give Faith

race 8 #6 Forest Danger

race 9 #4 Survivalist

race 10 #7 Dave


full aqueduct card...

race 1 3-11-1
race 2 1-2-4
race 3 10-2-6
race 4 6-10-2
race 5 9-5-7
race 6 1-4-6
race 7 2-9-3
race 8 6-5-2
race 9 4-5-1
race 10 7-5-6


good luck to all today at the races...

[smooth53_98]

Wabash... we agree on Races 1, 4, 5, 6, & 8... let's see how the rest of the crew matches up with those! Although Lost in the Fog is listed as 1-5... hard to go against him there!

-smooth

[Wabash Wonders]

Looks like we have 5 common ones this week Smooth...

[Dr. Jack]

Good luck today guys! Keep up the good work

[younginvestor]

Adding to Ripple's pick for the big A.

3rd 6.0F (Dirt) Md Sp Wt ($41000) 3UPyo
5 Unbridled Spring (Bejarano) 1st ever race and has the strongest trainer/jockey angle...doubt you'll get 6/1 odds on him but at 3/1 or better, I would hammer him.

8th 7.0F (Dirt) Carter Handicap 350k ($350000) 3UPyo
6 Forest Danger (Bejarano) speed up front, if he's in contention down the lane, it's over.

9th 9.0F (Dirt) Wood Memorial Stakes ($750000) 3yo
3 Bellamy Road (Castellano) another Zito winner...

[smooth53_98]

Thanks for adding that younginvestor.... now 3 of us agree on Race 8 (Forest Danger)!

-smooth

[big daddyjt]

lets make some cash boys--glta

r1--frank fuse
r2--pay attention
r3--unbridled spring
r4--stalwart bull
r5--winged valor
r6--LOST IN THE FOG-----CHA CHING
R7--cosmos mariner
r8--don six----BIG SPEED DUAL HERE!!!! WHICH ONE HANGS ON?
r9--going wild
r10--semper fi--BIGGIE HERE--ANOTHER CHA CHING

[Sooner4Life]

Good Morning and Good Luck!

R1 - #1 Mr. Ticonderoga 15-1 Horse has worked well and ran well in only start after falling 13 lengths back out of the gate. With A good start I'm willing to take a shot on this one. Second Choice - #3

R2 - #1 Pay Attention 7/2 Second Choice #5

R3 - #9 Western Tactics 12-1 I'm with Smooth here. Second start from Tactical Cat with 1st time Lasix. Horse went off at 9/5 in debut and at least has a start under the belt. Second Choice #5

R4 - #6 Runaway Russy 2-1 Loves the Track, Loves the Distance, Loves Jock, Loves everything about this race.

R5 - #4 Illustrious Kiss 12-1 Fragoso moves off this one to ride the 2 horse, but I like this horse. Throw out the start 2 back when eased, and this horse has shown sparks at this level and above.

R6 - #1 Lost in the Fog 1/5 For obvious reasons.

R7 - #3 and #4 - I'll have to wait to see post time odds before playing this one.

R8 - #6 Forest Danger - Beat the 4 at this distance and I think this horse prefers 7f more than others in field.

R9 - #8 Naughty New Yorker 10-1 Has run well with competition and gets Lasix today. i'll take a shot.

R10 - #5 Sea the Truth

Comments appreciated, especially on the longer shots selected.

[Wabash Wonders]

Its 15 minutes to post, so thought Id do a wrap up of the best picks...

Obviously Lost in the Fog was everyones choice and will probably go off at 1-5 or lower, my guess is 1-9, so probably best to only look at exotics here with Lost on top.


Here are some other choices


Race 8 Forest Danger 4/5

Race 2 Pay Attention 3/4

Race 4 Runaway Russy 3/4

Race 1 Sara's Prospect 2/4

Race 3 Western Tactics 2/4

Race 5 Can'tmiss Prospect 2/4

Race 10 Sea the Truth 2/4


So, it looks like the best bets of the day besides Lost in the Fog are...


Race 8 #6 Forest Danger 8-5

Race 2 #1 Pay Attention 7-2

Race 4 #6 Runaway Russy 2-1


Lets see how we do with these based on our choices.

Anyone have thoughts on exotic plays using Lost in the Fog for race 6?...I like 1-4-6 in that race.

[younginvestor]

Originally Posted by younginvestor

Adding to Ripple's pick for the big A.

3rd 6.0F (Dirt) Md Sp Wt ($41000) 3UPyo
5 Unbridled Spring (Bejarano) 1st ever race and has the strongest trainer/jockey angle...doubt you'll get 6/1 odds on him but at 3/1 or better, I would hammer him.

8th 7.0F (Dirt) Carter Handicap 350k ($350000) 3UPyo
6 Forest Danger (Bejarano) speed up front, if he's in contention down the lane, it's over.

9th 9.0F (Dirt) Wood Memorial Stakes ($750000) 3yo
3 Bellamy Road (Castellano) another Zito winner...

How does that song go, "TWO OUT OF THREE AINT BAD". I don't like the prices but I like cashing a ticket.
Bellamy Road wins for fun, equaling track record.

[smooth53_98]

Originally Posted by younginvestor

How does that song go, "TWO OUT OF THREE AINT BAD". I don't like the prices but I like cashing a ticket.
Bellamy Road wins for fun, equaling track record.

Overall it appears you made money... can't beat that... nice job on your picking today bro!

-smooth

[Wabash Wonders]

race 1 #3 Sarah's Prospect 1st 4.80/ 3.10/ 2.80

race 2 #1 Pay Attention OUT

race 3 #10 Record Buster 1ST 5.50/ 4.10/ 2.40

race 4 #6 Runaway Russy 1ST 4.40/ 3.40/ 2.70

race 5 #9 Can'tmiss Prospect OUT

race 6 #1 Lost in the Fog 1ST 2.30/ 2.10/ no show $

race 7 #2 Give Faith 2ND 3.90/ 2.60

race 8 #6 Forest Danger 1ST 3.70/ 2.80/ 2.20

race 9 #4 Survivalist 2ND 6.10/ 5.00

race 10 #7 Dave 2ND 5.80/ 5.10


full aqueduct card...

race 1 3-11-1
race 2 1-2-4
race 3 10-2-6
race 4 6-10-2
race 5 9-5-7
race 6 1-4-6
race 7 2-9-3
race 8 6-5-2
race 9 4-5-1
race 10 7-5-6


5/10 winners 20.70
2 exactas 28.40, 7.70
2 exacta box 30.00, 152.00
1 pick 3 33.75

[peznt]

It was a good day at the tracks.
Thanks for the insights, analysis, tips and hunches!
Smooth, Young Investor, Wabash, Rip, Ricky, Pino, Rocky Mtn, Big Daddy et all. Apoligies if I missed anyone!

best and good luck in tonights races.
peznt

[smooth53_98]

Aqueduct Results:

6/10 winners - 31.50
Keyed Ex - 43.40, 38.40, 12.60
Ex - 7.20, 30.00, 39.20
Tri - 26.20
Tri Box - 26.60
DD - 11.20
P3 - 18.00