Saturday Feb. 16th - HELP

[DecodingMorris]

Hey guys. i am going to the track (well a betting place) with my good friend and his father in-law. i have NEVER placed a wager on a horse race in my life and would LOVE any insight , pointers , help i could get so i dont bother them too much Saturday. his father-in law goes every friday,saturday, and sunday and is very good from what i understand. id even possibly like to bet a few races during the week to get a feel for it before I go and maybe some of your pros could tell me what might be good on saturday , unless thats too far in advance.

appreicate ANY insight guys. thanks

[tw burke]

bet the 11 horse in an 8 horse field

[Chris46139]

Which track are you going to? And it is pretty early to tell what is going on for Sat, but I'll try to help closer to the day

[erichfootball]

Let me know what track. So i can help out, might have a nice horse for friday races. which should give you a little extra money for saturday

[DecodingMorris]

i believe they do all the tracks. its not an actual track it is just a "parlor??" like where they have tv's everywhere and the betting stations & live people to take bets. my online does horses i bet a few tuesday but really didnt know what i was doing LMAO. still trying to get all the lingo and stuff. if u get one for friday let me know ill bet it just make sure u tell me TIME , TRACK , and EXCATLY what to bet lol. saturday picks would be great too

thanks guys !

[erichfootball]

I was going to give you the #12 horse in race 9 at fairgrounds ,just found out that he's scratched. I will be playing the BIG A. If i have a nice price horse i will post in here.

[handijoe]

DM act like you know what you are doing by try this fun system
A very Simple Horse Racing System
This system is a "no brainer" and a race can be worked out pretty quickly, although it does
return short prices.
Use the DAILY RACING FORUM/one can proably buy one where you are going..
Only races that have 8 or less runners, under $10,000 prize money and the distance is not
under 6f.
For each race that meets the above criteria, look at the Selection Box and count the number
of tipsters who have tiped the favourite.
Your tip for the day is the race and horse that has the highest number of tipsters./should find one race at each track
Said it was simple, but you will be surprised at the number of winners!

[btricer]

Hi,
I'm actually handicapping Tampa Bay Downs for my site so I'd be glad to give you some pics.
here's the first two races.
Race 1:
6 Furlongs, $8000 Claimer N3L
1.) #6, Max’s Song. He’s dropping class, fetching a decent price at a morning line of 6-1 and has the speed and the breeding to pull this one out.
2.) #12, Gift Box. Taking the long trip around the track, this horse is also taking a large class drop. The two races before the last, Gift Box obliterated the competition by about 5 lengths. With Montalvo riding, this horse should be in the green.
3.) #5, La Muette. Jockey isn’t as strong, Neither is the trainer. The workout times are kind of cryptic, though his past speed ratings show he has the goods. Solid 3 length win last time out.
4.) #1, Sister Suave. There’s enough horse under the jockey to do well in the race. What’s holding this horse back is jockey on top of the horse. We’ll Monserrate can hold out and pick up fourth on this one.

In this race, I really like both of the first two horses. I would probably bet a straight exacta and a box or two to cover those two horse. I’d put just a bit on 6 to win, since his morning line makes it a sound bed. I’d probably limit myself to a single trifecta and superfecta if they are offered.

These ate the tickets I would purchase (the amounts of the tickets are left to the discretion of the reader as I would probably bet greater amounts):
$2 straight exacta 6-12
$2 exacta box 6-12
$5 on 6 to win.
$2 straight trifecta 6-12-5
$1 straight superfecta 6-12-5-1
$4 daily double 6-1
I’d give this race on the whole a rating of 7/10.

Race 2: Maiden Sp Wt 20000
1.) #1, Awesome Play. This horse is the only horse taking a substantial class drop. He also didn’t get completely trounced at the 50k level (4th at 4.25 lengths) . Even with just decent workout times and a 35 speed rating in the last race, it’s my experience that you have to bet this one to win.
2.) #9, Dropping class a bit, has the best workout times, and also didn’t fair too poorly last time out. Also has the best jockey of the race (Centeno). Only worry is that the trainer, Hovermale, does not have much of a record.
3.) #2, Amazing. While this horse hasn’t ran before, he has a competent jockey, comparatively good workout times, and not that bad of a trainer. Judging by the weakness of the other horses in this race that have run before, I believe some long shot newbies are just what the doctor order.
4.) #3, Perla Storm. The long shot of the race, but basically just marginally worse than amazing.

This, as a maiden sp. wt., is tough to pick, because there just isn’t as much information. This race also a good opportunity to bet horses with greater odds because there is not much evidence to say that they are that much worse than some horses (or that other horses are that much better).

Here’s my bets:
$2 Amazing to show;
$5 Awesome play to win:
$2 straight exacta 1-2
$2 straight exacta 1-9;
$2 trifecta 1-9-2;
$2 trifecta 1-2-9;
$1 super 1-9-2-3;

I’d give this a race a rating of 3.5/10.
-b tricer

[DecodingMorris]

Originally Posted by btricer

Hi,
I'm actually handicapping Tampa Bay Downs for my site so I'd be glad to give you some pics.
here's the first two races.
Race 1:
6 Furlongs, $8000 Claimer N3L
1.) #6, Max’s Song. He’s dropping class, fetching a decent price at a morning line of 6-1 and has the speed and the breeding to pull this one out.
2.) #12, Gift Box. Taking the long trip around the track, this horse is also taking a large class drop. The two races before the last, Gift Box obliterated the competition by about 5 lengths. With Montalvo riding, this horse should be in the green.
3.) #5, La Muette. Jockey isn’t as strong, Neither is the trainer. The workout times are kind of cryptic, though his past speed ratings show he has the goods. Solid 3 length win last time out.
4.) #1, Sister Suave. There’s enough horse under the jockey to do well in the race. What’s holding this horse back is jockey on top of the horse. We’ll Monserrate can hold out and pick up fourth on this one.

In this race, I really like both of the first two horses. I would probably bet a straight exacta and a box or two to cover those two horse. I’d put just a bit on 6 to win, since his morning line makes it a sound bed. I’d probably limit myself to a single trifecta and superfecta if they are offered.

These ate the tickets I would purchase (the amounts of the tickets are left to the discretion of the reader as I would probably bet greater amounts):
$2 straight exacta 6-12
$2 exacta box 6-12
$5 on 6 to win.
$2 straight trifecta 6-12-5
$1 straight superfecta 6-12-5-1
$4 daily double 6-1
I’d give this race on the whole a rating of 7/10.

Race 2: Maiden Sp Wt 20000
1.) #1, Awesome Play. This horse is the only horse taking a substantial class drop. He also didn’t get completely trounced at the 50k level (4th at 4.25 lengths) . Even with just decent workout times and a 35 speed rating in the last race, it’s my experience that you have to bet this one to win.
2.) #9, Dropping class a bit, has the best workout times, and also didn’t fair too poorly last time out. Also has the best jockey of the race (Centeno). Only worry is that the trainer, Hovermale, does not have much of a record.
3.) #2, Amazing. While this horse hasn’t ran before, he has a competent jockey, comparatively good workout times, and not that bad of a trainer. Judging by the weakness of the other horses in this race that have run before, I believe some long shot newbies are just what the doctor order.
4.) #3, Perla Storm. The long shot of the race, but basically just marginally worse than amazing.

This, as a maiden sp. wt., is tough to pick, because there just isn’t as much information. This race also a good opportunity to bet horses with greater odds because there is not much evidence to say that they are that much worse than some horses (or that other horses are that much better).

Here’s my bets:
$2 Amazing to show;
$5 Awesome play to win:
$2 straight exacta 1-2
$2 straight exacta 1-9;
$2 trifecta 1-9-2;
$2 trifecta 1-2-9;
$1 super 1-9-2-3;

I’d give this a race a rating of 3.5/10.
-b tricer

are those for saturday? i was out all day today actually if not id LOVE anything u can give me for saturday !!! thanks for the tips guys !!

[btricer]

That's for saturday. I've got some others picked out but not in this detail. I was only going to pick the other 10 races if there was a large request at my blog. I'd give the url here, but I don't know if the admins would get mad.

[Dr. Jack]

btricer - Read the rules and announcement in every forum at Cappers Mall

http://www.cappersmall.com/forums/an....php?f=30&a=42

Nothing personal

[btricer]

No prob, Doc. That's why I tested the waters first! I won't be a problem. Just here to give what arguable expertise I have!
-Btricer

[Chris46139]

Originally Posted by DecodingMorris

are those for saturday? i was out all day today actually if not id LOVE anything u can give me for saturday !!! thanks for the tips guys !!

Check the guys threads that play the contest weekly tomorrow with their picks: Wabash, Davydave, Wildkat, Rickyrick, Sakras, Handijoe, Jim(I know I forgetting people, sorry) all solid horse cappers. And check the service thread usually some horse info posted in there too. I'm sorry but I probably won't be around to give some selections of my own to you as well. Have a long day of work tomorrow. But I wish you the best of luck DM

[DecodingMorris]

you guys rock, thanks!

[btricer]

no problem. If I ever need to bet a hockey game I'll give you a holler. Also look at 5 in the 5th at tampa bay downs.