Go Back   Sports Handicapping at cappersmall > >

Polls Polls on all sports. Vote on who will cover? Earn points for voting!

View Poll Results: Vote Bitches
Auburn Tigers +9 7 24.14%
Alabama Crimson Tide -9 23 79.31%
Over 54 5 17.24%
Under 54 6 20.69%
Multiple Choice Poll. Voters: 29. You may not vote on this poll

Likes Likes:  0
Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 11-29-2014, 12:01 AM
New York Knight New York Knight is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Sep 2008
Location: NEW YORK
Posts: 87,708
Rewards: 18,381
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 12884
Likes (Received): 21976
foot IRON BOWL - # 16 Auburn at #1 Alabama

Auburn at Alabama

When: 7:45 PM ET, Saturday, November 29, 2014
Where: Bryant-Denny Stadium, Tuscaloosa, Alabama



The Iron Bowl features one of the premier rivalries in college football, but in terms of pure drama, it will be nearly impossible to top last year's finish. No. 1 Alabama hopes to exact a measure of revenge for last season's devastating loss when it hosts No. 16 Auburn in the regular-season finale for both SEC powerhouses. The Crimson Tide's hopes of a third straight national championship ended against the Tigers last season when Chris Davis returned a missed field goal 109 yards on the final play of the game, giving Auburn a stunning 34-28 win en route to a trip to the BCS title game.

This season, the Crimson Tide have rebounded in impressive fashion to take over No. 1 in the Coaches Poll and also the top spot in the College Football Playoff rankings. A seventh straight win on Saturday would send Alabama to the SEC title game against either Missouri or Georgia while a loss would likely end their national championship dreams. Auburn, meanwhile, watched its title hopes slip away with back-to-back losses to Texas A&M and Georgia followed by a lethargic win over Samford last weekend.

TV: 7:45 p.m. ET, ESPN. LINE: Alabama -8.5

ABOUT AUBURN (8-3, 4-3 SEC): The Tigers failed to reach 400 yards against Samford as Nick Marshall continued to put up underwhelming passing statistics. The senior quarterback passed for 171 yards and has not thrown for more than 254 yards in any game this season, while he only has one game of more than two TDs passes this year and has thrown five interceptions in his last six contests. On the other side of the ball, the Tigers' defense recorded two sacks and hurried Samford's quarterback a season-high 21 times, prompting Auburn coach Gus Malzahn to say, "The big factor was we put pressure on the quarterback. That was the key to our defensive performance."

ABOUT ALABAMA (10-1, 6-1): The Crimson Tide are second in the nation in points allowed (14.5) and fell right on that number in last week's 48-14 triumph against Western Carolina as they outgained the Catamounts 612-213. Alabama knows it can rely on its defense, as well as senior quarterback Blake Sims (20 TDs, four INTs) and junior wideout Amari Cooper, who is tied with D.J. Hall (2004-07) with a school-record 194 receptions. "I think the Iron Bowl is one of the greatest rivalries in college football," coach Nick Saban told reporters. "This game means a lot to a lot of people in this state, regardless of which side you're on, and also around the country. As a competitor, it's a great opportunity because this game has had a lot of significance over the past few years and it's certainly no different last year or this year."

EXTRA POINTS

1. Alabama leads the all-time series 42-35-1 and had won four of the last five prior to the wild finish in 2013.

2. Auburn RB Cameron Artis-Payne ran for 129 yards and a touchdown against Samford and has scored a TD in five straight games, totaling six over that stretch.

3. The Crimson Tide have won 15 straight home games - tied with Baylor for the longest active streak in the nation.
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 11-29-2014, 12:10 AM
New York Knight New York Knight is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Sep 2008
Location: NEW YORK
Posts: 87,708
Rewards: 18,381
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 12884
Likes (Received): 21976
Iron Bowl Preview
By Brian Edwards
VegasInsider

One year after the phrase 'Kick Six' became a part of common football vernacular thanks to Chris Davis's 109-yard return of a missed Alabama field goal, one that provided the wildest finish to an Iron Bowl in the history of college's most bitter rivalry, Alabama and Auburn are set to collide again Saturday night at Bryant-Denny Stadium in Tuscaloosa.

Before they do, however, we must review the details of what has undoubtedly caused Crimson Tide fans many sleepless nights over the last 364 days. First, we have to note how Alabama failed to put last year's game away on multiple occasions in the fourth quarter.

After A.J. McCarron put the Tide in front 28-21 with 10:28 remaining by perfectly hitting a streaking Amari Cooper down the right sideline for a school-record 99-yard touchdown pass, the Tigers could have been put out of their misery by a 28-yard field goal from Cade Foster with less than six minutes remaining. However, a false start penalty took the 10-point lead off the board, and then Foster hooked the subsequent 33-yarder wide left.

Deep in AU territory minutes later and facing a fourth-and-inches opportunity from the 13, Nick Saban decided against turning to Foster, who had already missed three times. Auburn stuffed a running play, giving it one last chance to pull even.

Gus Malzahn's team took advantage this time, scoring on a 39-yard TD pass from Nick Marshall to Sammie Coates on a play that tricked everyone at Jordan-Hare Stadium. Marshall rolled to his left as if he was running a wide sweep with zero intentions of throwing the ball. Coates at first played coy as if he was blocking for Marshall, only to release late behind the 'Bama defense and catch Marshall's throw in stride to knot the game at 28-28 following the ensuing PAT.

But 'Bama advanced to the AU 40 and out of bounds as time expired. Saban challenged the play to see if T.J. Yeldon had gone out with one tick left. The referees agreed after a video review, granting the Tide one more second to attempt a 57-yard field goal. This time around, Saban would go with Adam Griffith, whose attempt fell short by a yard.

Davis fielded the kick and ran up the middle, only to see an opening to the left. He picked up a couple of nice blocks, barely avoided stepping out of bounds on the sideline and was in the clear by the time he crossed midfield. A convoy of teammates joined him for the last 20 or so yards of his stride into the end zone.

All hell broke loose at that point. In the CBS broadcast booth, Verne Lundquist and Gary Danielson sat silent for nearly two minutes. Saban threw his headset in disbelief. McCarron sprinted toward the Alabama locker room, only to be met by his bride-to-be and national heartthrob Katherine Webb with a hug and words of consolation.

Meanwhile, Auburn fans understandably went berserk. It stormed the field without hesitation despite the thorny bushes in their way, ones planted after Georgia fans destroyed the field decades before after an improbable victory on The Plains.

Forget the Stanford-Cal finish with laterals galore with the band on the field. To hell with Kordell Stewart's bomb at The Big House or 'The Immaculate Deflection' at Jordan-Hare against UGA just two weeks before. This was, without question, the wildest, craziest and most improbable finish to a game in college football history.

And the consequences were mind-boggling. Alabama would not get a chance to win a third consecutive national title. Auburn, one year removed from a 3-9 season and a 49-0 loss to 'Bama, was the winner of the SEC West, with its ticket punched for Atlanta to face Missouri in the SEC Championship Game for the right to play in the final BCS title game.

Just like last season, Alabama comes into the Iron Bowl controlling its own destiny to win a fourth national title during Saban's sensational tenure. Unlike last year, Auburn hasn't caught breaks galore and simply finds itself in the spoiler role.

Alabama (10-1 straight up, 3-8 against the spread) has won six in a row since suffering its lone loss by a 23-17 count at Ole Miss on Oct. 4. When Saban's team knocked off top-ranked Mississippi St. 25-20 two weeks ago, it took control of the No. 1 slot in the College Football Playoff rankings.

Auburn (8-3 SU, 4-7 ATS) fell out of contention in the SEC West with back-to-back losses to Texas A&M and Georgia. The Tigers dropped a 41-38 decision to the Aggies as 23-point home favorites. One week later without top WR Duke Williams, they got smashed 34-7 at Georgia as three-point road underdogs.

As of early Thursday, most betting shops had the Crimson Tide favored by nine with a total of 53.5 points. Gamblers can take at the Tigers to win outright for a +290 payout (risk $100 to win $290).

Alabama is unbeaten in six home games this year, going 2-3-1 ATS. However, we should note that the Tide hasn't been a single-digit home 'chalk' this season. In fact, they haven't been favored by single digits in Tuscaloosa since losing in overtime by a 9-6 score to LSU as 4.5-point home favorites in 2011.

Auburn has played a murderous road schedule this year. It began with a 20-14 win at Kansas St. on a Thursday night in September. On Oct. 11, the Tigers took a 38-23 beating at Mississippi St. They survived a 60-minute war in Oxford by beating Ole Miss, 35-31. In its last road assignment, though, UGA avenged last year's loss with authority.

As a road underdog under Malzahn, AU owns a 3-1 spread record with a pair of outright victories.

After missing consecutive games, Williams will return to the starting lineup in Tuscaloosa. He has made a team-best 38 catches for 609 yards and five TDs. Marshall has a 15/6 touchdown-to-interception ratio and 11 rushing scores. Marshall has 1,859 passing yards and 731 rushing yards.

Cameron Artis-Payne has rushed for a team-high 1,410 yards and 11 TDs, averaging 5.5 yards per carry. Coates has 25 receptions for 511 yards and a pair of TD grabs.

When McCarron departed for the pros, most pundits felt like FSU transfer Jake Coker would win the starting QB job. But that hasn't happened and senior Blake Sims has exceeded any and all expectations. Sims has completed 62.0 percent of his throws for 2,662 yards with a 19/4 TD-INT ratio. He has also run for 252 yards and five scores, and a pair of scrambles on third-and-long plays were the difference in the game-sealing drive against Mississippi St.

Sims has the country's best WR in Amari Cooper, who will play Saturday despite leaving last week's win over Western Carolina with a minor knee injury. Cooper has 90 catches for 1,349 yards and 11 TDs. Yeldon has run for a team-best 758 yards and six TDs, while Derrick Henry has 682 rushing yards and seven scores.

Alabama is second in the nation in scoring defense, allowing just 14.5 points per game. This unit is also second in the country against the run. Meanwhile, Auburn's defense has been an unmitigated disaster in its last five SEC games, giving up at least 31 points each time out.

The 'under' is on a 5-1 run in 'Bama's last six games. The 'under' is 6-4 overall for the Tide, 3-2 in its home games with a total. They have seen an average combined score of 49.5 PPG.

The 'over' is 6-5 overall for Auburn, but the 'under' has cashed in three of its four road assignments. The Tigers have seen their games average a combined score of 58.5 PPG.

Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. Eastern on ESPN.

Last edited by New York Knight; 11-29-2014 at 12:11 AM.
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 11-29-2014, 12:13 AM
New York Knight New York Knight is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Sep 2008
Location: NEW YORK
Posts: 87,708
Rewards: 18,381
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 12884
Likes (Received): 21976
No. 1 Alabama looks to continue its dominance with a seventh straight win when it hosts No. 14 Auburn in the annual Iron Bowl on Saturday evening.

The Tigers have fallen prey to being part of the toughest divisions in football and after starting the season 5-0 SU (3-2 ATS) have gone 3-3 SU over their past six contests while covering just once. They lost by an average of 15.0 PPG against Mississippi State, Texas A&M and Georgia. They were able to get back on track last week against a lowly Samford program, as they won 31-7 as 37.5-point favorites. They totaled 386 yards in the game while forcing two turnovers and converting 7-of-14 conversions on third down.

The Crimson Tide are once again one of the top teams in the nation and have a nearly flawless SU record this season with their one blemish being a loss to Ole Miss by a score of 23-17 as 4-point favorites on the road. Since then, Alabama has won six consecutive games SU, but has continued to do poorly for bettors at 3-7-1 ATS on the season. Last week the school got an easy draw against Western Carolina and failed to cover the huge 51.5-point spread in a 48-14 win. The Crimson Tide put up 612 yards on the FCS opponent and held the Catamounts to minus-8 yards rushing, but did lose the turnover battle 2-0.

These two teams have split their past four matchups (SU and ATS), as Auburn was able to pull out a 34-28 win as a 10-point underdogs at home in 2013. The Tigers battled back from a 21-14 halftime deficit and ended the game with one of the best finishes in history, as they returned a missed field goal 109 yards with no time left on the clock to earn the win. Some trends to keep an eye on in this one include that Auburn is 14-5 ATS (74%) after one or more consecutive SU wins in the past two seasons, while Alabama is an amazing 16-3 ATS (84%) when coming off two no-covers where the team won as a favorite since 1992.

Some injuries to key offensive players for both teams need to be watched in this one, as WR D’haquille Williams (leg) is questionable for the Tigers while WR Amari Cooper (knee) and HB T.J. Yeldon (ankle) are probable, with WR DeAndrew White (undisclosed) listed as questionable for the host Crimson Tide.

Auburn has been a solid offensive team throughout the year and currently ranks ninth in the nation in rushing (266.2 YPG) while getting 210.2 YPG from their passing game and has scored 35.1 PPG (29th in FBS). QB Nick Marshall (1,859 pass yards, 15 TD, 6 INT) has gone over 200 yards passing in five of his games this season while completing 59.6% of his passes for 8.2 YPA. The real threat comes from his legs, which have helped him gain 731 yards (5.5 YPC) and score 11 TD while having double-digit rushing attempts in 9-of-11 games.

HB Cameron Artis-Payne (1,405 rush yards, 11 TD) joins Marshall in the talented backfield and has hit triple-digits in rushing yards eight times on the year. He has scored at least one touchdown in each of the past five games, including last week against Samford when he rushed for 129 yards on 24 attempts (5.4 YPC) and added a score. WR D’haquille Williams (609 rec yards, 5 TD) is the leading receiver for this team but is questionable to play. If he is unable to go, expect WRs Sammie Coates (511 rec yards, 2 TD) and Quan Bray (334 rec yards, 3 TD) to pick up the slack.

On the defensive side of things, the Tigers have allowed opponents to score 23.5 PPG on them while DBs Jonathan Ford (75 tackles, 2 INT), Jonathan Jones (29 tackles, 5 INT) and LB Cassanova McKinzy (80 tackles, 10 TFL, 1 INT) have all performed well.

Alabama has always had one of the more balanced offensive attacks in the nation and is proving that once again with 279.9 passing YPG (26th in nation) and 204.9 rushing YPG (34th in FBS) while scoring 35.0 PPG (30th in nation). QB Blake Sims (2,676 pass yards, 20 TD, 4 INT) has been efficient while hitting on 62.1% of his passes for 8.9 YPA and has been between 200 and 225 yards in each of his past three games. He has also done a great job of keeping the ball out of the opposition’s hands as he has just one pick over his past six contests.

HB T.J. Yeldon (758 rush yards, 6 TD) has been great this year while averaging 5.0 YPC, and is probable heading into this SEC matchup. If he is unable to go, the Crimson Tide can take solace in the fact that both HB Derrick Henry (682 rush yards, 7 TD) and Sims (279 rush yards, 5 TD) have run the football well all season. The team is happy to hear that star WR Amari Copper (1,349 rec yards, 11 TD) is probable to play, as he has at least eight catches in 9-of-11 games while going over 130 yards on six different occasions.

Unfortunately WR DeAndrew White (319 rec yards, 2 TD) may not go, and there is not clear-cut No. 2 receiver on the team. While the offense is impressive, the defense is even better, as the unit has allowed a mere 14.5 PPG (2nd in FBS) while holding each of the past six opponents to 23 points or less.

LB Reggie Ragland (81 tackles, 8.5 TFL, 1 INT) and DL Xzavier Dickson (33 tackles, 7 sacks) have given their opponents plenty of trouble and will need to do so once again in order to grab a win in this game.
Reply With Quote
Reply

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 04:03 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2018, vBulletin Solutions Inc.
Resources saved on this page: MySQL 13.04% Host: cappersmallweb2