((((((10*** Hump Day Action Angels/giants Wit Hthe Rookieee)))))

THE_ROOKIEEE · #1 06-17-2009, 03:08 AM

Push Our 10*** Yesterday In This Same Series In A Game That Shouldve Went Over..... We Coming Right Back Here As We Get A Day Game Right After Last Nights.....lets Continue Picking Up The Units Lost Over The Last 2 Weeks We Dumped Out.......

5-2-1 YESTERDAY +16.7 UNITS

LOS ANGELES ANGELS Vs SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS

Well Game 3 In The Bay Area This Afternoon Will Bring Another Big Matchup Featuring Cy Young Winner Tim Lincecum(6-1) 2.66 Era And Former Giant Now Angel Matt Palmer (6-0) 4.11 Era

Home Team Tim Lincecum Is 14-6 Lifetime At Home With A 3.29 Era ~~ He Also Is 12-5 In Daytime Starts With A 3.51 Era .... Visiting Team Matt Palmer Has Wins This Year Already On The Road Against Cc Sabathia In New York, Chad Billingsly In Dodger Stadium, And Seattles King Felix ... Those Pitchers Are No Slouches....

Home Vs Away Stats Would Change The Whole Part To This Game As San Francisco (21-10 At Home) Averages 4.6 Rpg, Accumalting 9 Hits While Batting .278 ~~~ The Angels Despite Being 17-17 On The Road Averages 4.7 Rpg , Getting 9.8 Hits Batting .278...... Combined We Would Have 9.3 Runs On 18.8 Hits ..... It Has Showed As The First Game We Had 16 Runs On 31 Hits...2nd Game We Had 9 Runs On 20 Hits ..... So Why Would They Even Set The Line At 7.5 Knowing What Is Happening In This Series....... Just Because Of Lincecum? I Mean He Has Never Even Faced The Angels..... And As Good As The Angels Bats Been Hitting , The Over Should Be Ringing To You.....

But The Truth Is This...... Lincecum Is A Beast...he Is 4th In Nl Era 2.66 And Is Nl 2nd In Strikeouts (103) ....ive Watch Numerous Of Game Film And Just Watch In Awe How He Gets Great Hitters Out.... His Strikeouts Go Up (10.7 So/9) In Day Games Not To Mention Hitters From Both Sides Have Problems Against Him ~~ Lefties Are Batting .229 And Righties .243

Palmer Will Have Something More Than To Prove To These Giants And Despite His 5.63 Road Era, He Still Has As Mentioned Before Threw Against Some Tough Cookiees And Wound Up On The Winner Side..... What I Like Is That Mr. Palmer Is Tough As Nails Just Like Lackey Was Last Night Against Righties.... Palmers .219 Against Right Hand Hitting

To Me Both Pitchers Are In Good Form Heading Into This Game As The Strike Outs Havent Tailed Off Whatsoever For Lincecum And Palmers Getting The Wins Still....but You Have To Give The Edge Automatically To The Reinging Cy Young Winner.... Not To Mention That Palmer Is Coming Off B2b 110+ Games ....but For Some Uneasy Feeling Being Its One Of The First Games On The Card, Ill Be A Little Leary Deciding To Go With Lincecum Alone On This One, Especially With Palmer Having More To Prove...... Just Be Easy My Giant Fans If You Do Side With The Giants....

Our Umpire We Have Today Is Dana Demuth .... He Is 7-3 Last 10 For The Angels And 5-5 For The Giants....... My Personal Take On Him Is That He Has Become A Pretty Fair Ump And Usually Lets The Game Be Played... Late 90's Early 2000 He Was Very Home Biased In Some Situations But He Has Become More Than Fair....imo The Best Time To Play Ump Dana Is When Big Top Shelf Names Are Pitching Especially At Home..... Even More So When You Get Into This -160 Area (19-7 For Hf Last 26) Which Is The Situation We Have Today!!!!

Run Support Is Important In These Type Of Games ......teams Get Up For Certain Pitchers And In This Case Matt Palmer Gets Plenty Of Support In Games Started By Him (7.8 Runs Per A Game) While Lincecum Is Getting (4.7 Runs Per A Game).... The Fishy Thing I See Here Is That This Line Is The Lowest Its Ever Been For A Palmer Start..... The Over Has Hit (6-2 In Day Games)(6-3 Home/away) Between Both Lincecum And Palmer~~ Not To Mention What Has Happened In Both Prior Games....

My Final Thought On This Game Is This: Lincecum Isnt Facing No Rookie.... Angels Starter Palmer Is A 30 Year Old With A Lot To Prove Imo..... I Think That Will Be A Big Part Of This Game..... Lincecum Is The Top Shelf Pitcher In This Game But I Have A Sneaky Feeling This Is A Low Scoring Game Ends 4-3 Or 4-2 Or 4-1 .... I Want To Back Lincecum But The Palmer Factor And The Batting Ave Against Righties Is Too Hard To Ignore....i Will Play The Run Line With The Angels....but Fear Not...the Best Bet For Me Is The Under In This Game.....

KEY STAT : FIRST 4 GAMES 7.5 OR LESS WENT OVER THE TOTAL IN LINCECUMS STARTS....
LAST 4 GAMES 7.5 OR LESS HAVE GONE UNDER THE TOTAL IN LINCECUMS STARTS

10***** ANGELS/GIANTS UNDER 7.5 (-105)
3**** ANGELS +1.5 (-150)

There Is Also Another Big Umpire Advantage Today In The Minnesota Game ..... Ill Take The Hot Hitting Twins With The Home Favored Umpire Lance Barksdale To The Bank At This High Price...pirates May Be Hot But In A Tough Spot Here All Around

7**** TWINS (-180)

All Plays

10***** ANGELS/GIANTS UNDER 7.5 (-105)
7**** TWINS (-180)
4*** WHITE SOX/CUBS OVER WHATEVER IS POSTED

3**** ANGELS +1.5 (-150)
3*** PHILLIES (-130)
3*** RANGERS (-149)
3*** TIGERS (-112)
1** MARINERS (+116)
1** ATHLETICS (+138)
1** NATIONALS (+190)

Badger28 · #2 06-17-2009, 05:05 AM

Was just looking at the Angels Under myself - didn't know that it was posted at 7.5. I was thinking if that goes at 8 or above I will definitely take the Under. But now that it is 7.5 I'm a little concerned but I still think the Under is the right play. Reason I like the Under is that you have the Giants all of a sudden struggling to hit the Angels and the Angels, who have been hitting, have to face this beast as you said, so I think the Under is golden - will be playing it but might wait and see if people move it up some.

sigep792002 · #3 06-17-2009, 08:11 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by THE_ROOKIEEE

Push Our 10*** Yesterday In This Same Series In A Game That Shouldve Went Over..... We Coming Right Back Here As We Get A Day Game Right After Last Nights.....lets Continue Picking Up The Units Lost Over The Last 2 Weeks We Dumped Out.......

5-2-1 YESTERDAY +16.7 UNITS

LOS ANGELES ANGELS Vs SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS

Well Game 3 In The Bay Area This Afternoon Will Bring Another Big Matchup Featuring Cy Young Winner Tim Lincecum(6-1) 2.66 Era And Former Giant Now Angel Matt Palmer (6-0) 4.11 Era

Home Team Tim Lincecum Is 14-6 Lifetime At Home With A 3.29 Era ~~ He Also Is 12-5 In Daytime Starts With A 3.51 Era .... Visiting Team Matt Palmer Has Wins This Year Already On The Road Against Cc Sabathia In New York, Chad Billingsly In Dodger Stadium, And Seattles King Felix ... Those Pitchers Are No Slouches....

Home Vs Away Stats Would Change The Whole Part To This Game As San Francisco (21-10 At Home) Averages 4.6 Rpg, Accumalting 9 Hits While Batting .278 ~~~ The Angels Despite Being 17-17 On The Road Averages 4.7 Rpg , Getting 9.8 Hits Batting .278...... Combined We Would Have 9.3 Runs On 18.8 Hits ..... It Has Showed As The First Game We Had 16 Runs On 31 Hits...2nd Game We Had 9 Runs On 20 Hits ..... So Why Would They Even Set The Line At 7.5 Knowing What Is Happening In This Series....... Just Because Of Lincecum? I Mean He Has Never Even Faced The Angels..... And As Good As The Angels Bats Been Hitting , The Over Should Be Ringing To You.....

But The Truth Is This...... Lincecum Is A Beast...he Is 4th In Nl Era 2.66 And Is Nl 2nd In Strikeouts (103) ....ive Watch Numerous Of Game Film And Just Watch In Awe How He Gets Great Hitters Out.... His Strikeouts Go Up (10.7 So/9) In Day Games Not To Mention Hitters From Both Sides Have Problems Against Him ~~ Lefties Are Batting .229 And Righties .243

Palmer Will Have Something More Than To Prove To These Giants And Despite His 5.63 Road Era, He Still Has As Mentioned Before Threw Against Some Tough Cookiees And Wound Up On The Winner Side..... What I Like Is That Mr. Palmer Is Tough As Nails Just Like Lackey Was Last Night Against Righties.... Palmers .219 Against Right Hand Hitting

To Me Both Pitchers Are In Good Form Heading Into This Game As The Strike Outs Havent Tailed Off Whatsoever For Lincecum And Palmers Getting The Wins Still....but You Have To Give The Edge Automatically To The Reinging Cy Young Winner.... Not To Mention That Palmer Is Coming Off B2b 110+ Games ....but For Some Uneasy Feeling Being Its One Of The First Games On The Card, Ill Be A Little Leary Deciding To Go With Lincecum Alone On This One, Especially With Palmer Having More To Prove...... Just Be Easy My Giant Fans If You Do Side With The Giants....

Our Umpire We Have Today Is Dana Demuth .... He Is 7-3 Last 10 For The Angels And 5-5 For The Giants....... My Personal Take On Him Is That He Has Become A Pretty Fair Ump And Usually Lets The Game Be Played... Late 90's Early 2000 He Was Very Home Biased In Some Situations But He Has Become More Than Fair....imo The Best Time To Play Ump Dana Is When Big Top Shelf Names Are Pitching Especially At Home..... Even More So When You Get Into This -160 Area (19-7 For Hf Last 26) Which Is The Situation We Have Today!!!!

Run Support Is Important In These Type Of Games ......teams Get Up For Certain Pitchers And In This Case Matt Palmer Gets Plenty Of Support In Games Started By Him (7.8 Runs Per A Game) While Lincecum Is Getting (4.7 Runs Per A Game).... The Fishy Thing I See Here Is That This Line Is The Lowest Its Ever Been For A Palmer Start..... The Over Has Hit (6-2 In Day Games)(6-3 Home/away) Between Both Lincecum And Palmer~~ Not To Mention What Has Happened In Both Prior Games....

My Final Thought On This Game Is This: Lincecum Isnt Facing No Rookie.... Angels Starter Palmer Is A 30 Year Old With A Lot To Prove Imo..... I Think That Will Be A Big Part Of This Game..... Lincecum Is The Top Shelf Pitcher In This Game But I Have A Sneaky Feeling This Is A Low Scoring Game Ends 4-3 Or 4-2 Or 4-1 .... I Want To Back Lincecum But The Palmer Factor And The Batting Ave Against Righties Is Too Hard To Ignore....i Will Play The Run Line With The Angels....but Fear Not...the Best Bet For Me Is The Under In This Game.....

KEY STAT : FIRST 4 GAMES 7.5 OR LESS WENT OVER THE TOTAL IN LINCECUMS STARTS....
LAST 4 GAMES 7.5 OR LESS HAVE GONE UNDER THE TOTAL IN LINCECUMS STARTS

10***** ANGELS/GIANTS UNDER 7.5 (-105)
3**** ANGELS +1.5 (-150)

There Is Also Another Big Umpire Advantage Today In The Minnesota Game ..... Ill Take The Hot Hitting Twins With The Home Favored Umpire Lance Barksdale To The Bank At This High Price...pirates May Be Hot But In A Tough Spot Here All Around

7**** TWINS (-180)

All Plays

10***** ANGELS/GIANTS UNDER 7.5 (-105)
7**** TWINS (-180)
4*** WHITE SOX/CUBS OVER WHATEVER IS POSTED

3**** ANGELS +1.5 (-150)
3*** PHILLIES (-130)
3*** RANGERS (-149)
3*** TIGERS (-112)
1** MARINERS (+116)
1** ATHLETICS (+138)
1** NATIONALS (+190)

Twins at the high price might be risky. Take a look at the over 9. That is what I am doing

g_rock65 · #4 06-17-2009, 08:34 AM

Nice looking write up!!

I had 8.5 last night, hence a winner. Many thanks!!!

Will be on the under today!

THE_ROOKIEEE · #5 06-17-2009, 08:36 AM

Quote:

Twins at the high price might be risky. Take a look at the over 9. That is what I am doing

LIKE THE OVER AS WELL.... BUT TWINS MORE OF A STAMP PLAY THAN THE OVER IN MY BOOK

OVER IS STILL VALUE THAN THE BIG NUMBER

THE_ROOKIEEE · #6 06-17-2009, 08:38 AM

Quote:

the Giants all of a sudden struggling to hit the Angels and the Angels, who have been hitting, have to face this beast as you said, so I think the Under is golden - will be playing it but might wait and see if people move it up some.

UNDER IS GOLDEN YES INDEED