4 Game MLB Chase System

iggs111 · #1 05-13-2010, 02:56 AM

Ok so figure I would make this a daily thread since this system has been quite profitable so far this season. Nothing technical about this system, there are no spreadsheets or formulas just a good 'ole system that was taught to me by a man who breaths gambling. It's basically a ride or fade system. Now you can start the chase whenever you'd like but the system suggests you start at Game 4. After a team achives a 4 game Winning or Losing streak, the chase starts. If a team has 4 wins in a row, you ride them until they lose. If a team is on a 4 game losing streak, you fade them until they win. Again, you can start the chase at game 3 if you wanted to that's all up to you. As of today here are the streaks that are going on:

5/13/10:
Los Angeles Dodgers - 4 Game Winning Streak
Cincinnati Reds - 5 Game Winning Streak
Kansas City Royals - 7 Game Losing Streak
Cincinnati Reds - 5 Game Winning Streak
Pittsburgh Pirates - 4 Game Losing Streak
Arizona Diamondbacks - 6 Game Losing Streak

At some point you are going to lose your bet, and it might even be on Game #4, but the point is to catch the teams at a low or high point and ride it and cut a profit. For example, if you faded the D'backs in Game #5 they were -175 giving you the dog at +150. The following game you faded them again at -125. You bet a flat 100 on both game you are now up $250. The point is to cut a profit out of the losing and winning streaks even if it is minimal. And in some cases you will get value because the books are adjusting odds seeming that they know every team will eventually break their winning/losing streak.

Funny enough none of these teams play tomorrow except for the Royals with their ace on the mound in Greinke and they are currently sitting @ -200. This might be a bad example for first posted since you could have started 3 games ago so let's break that down on straight flat bets of $100

Loss #5: Royals +150 (win $100)
Loss #6: Royals -120 (win $100)
Loss #7: Royals -110 (win $100)
Loss #8: Royals -200 (win ?)

That's three games in a row where you only had to lay juice once and they all won if you faded the Royals.....so as hard as it seems that they will lose Game 8 the play would be the Indians @ +170. And again even if it loses you would cut a profit of $200 if you were betting $100 on each game and the chase is over on that team. Please don't bet this unless for some reason you have been fading them since Game #4, but for tracking purposes if you were betting the play would be:

Cleveland Indians +170

tigerman19 · #2 05-13-2010, 08:13 AM

You are saying a 4 game win/loss streak so wouldn't you be starting on game 5. Saw where you posted this system before & agree it should be a 4 not 3 game streak. Just want to make sure. I have heard of this before & it was 3 games but I didn't make a profit.

Victor · #3 05-13-2010, 10:49 AM

Good luck iggs111!

nrc85 · #4 05-13-2010, 02:13 PM

Hey iggs, actually just came on here to see if you posted anything on this yet because i am starting this system today. I actually bet on the Indians on the Runline +1.5 today, since the Royals can't really score a lot of runs. So far so good, I see it's 3-0 Indians... it would be wise to start on a 4 game winning/losing streak because teams have a pile of 3 game losing/winning streaks throughout the year so that would be a lot of losses. I like this system because you never know when a team is going to go on a crazy winning or losing streak. I used to chase a team until they won, but that's not the way to go because you can lose alot of money quickly on a bad losing streak.

iggs111 · #5 05-13-2010, 02:19 PM

Exactly nrc. The point of this is to catch a hot/cold streak and cut a profit out of it. Even if it's minimal. C'mon Indians, hold up!

nrc85 · #6 05-13-2010, 02:20 PM

If you are fading a team and they happen to be the Favorites, I'm wondering if you should play the underdog on the runline since the favorite has been struggling...

iggs111 · #7 05-13-2010, 02:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by tigerman19

You are saying a 4 game win/loss streak so wouldn't you be starting on game 5. Saw where you posted this system before & agree it should be a 4 not 3 game streak. Just want to make sure. I have heard of this before & it was 3 games but I didn't make a profit.

You can ride/fade the team whenever you'd like. But the system says after a team win/loses it's 4th straight game you begin your chase.

nrc85 · #8 05-13-2010, 03:32 PM

Iggs...do you know if the man who taught you this system uses over/under betting with this 4-game chase system? I use oddsshark.com to keep track of this. If say.. the Chicago Cubs played in a game that went under the total 4 games in a row, keep betting the Cubs games to go under until they play in a over game? I know streaks happen the same way with the over/under.

iggs111 · #9 05-14-2010, 04:56 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by nrc85

Iggs...do you know if the man who taught you this system uses over/under betting with this 4-game chase system? I use oddsshark.com to keep track of this. If say.. the Chicago Cubs played in a game that went under the total 4 games in a row, keep betting the Cubs games to go under until they play in a over game? I know streaks happen the same way with the over/under.

To be completely honest, I do not know. I will ask him.

Ok we have new #4 game streaks starting tomorrow

All bets are to win a flat $100.

Series #1
(Pittsburgh Pirates - Current 4 Game Losing Streak)
Play: Chicago Cubs -205
Streak Record: 0-0

Series #2
(Cincinnati Reds - Current 5 Game Winning Streak)
Play: Cincinnati Reds +120
Streak Record: 1-0 +$100

Series #3
(Houston Astros - Current 4 Game Winning Streak)
Play: Houston Astros +135
Streak Record: 0-0
*side note might want to pass on this one as giants on a 3 game losing streak*

Series #4
(Los Angeles Dodgers - Current 4 Game Winning Streak)
Play: LA Dodgers +130
Streak Record 0-0

Series #5
(Arizona Diamondbacks - Current 6 Game Losing Streak)
Play: Atlanta Braves -120
Streak Record: 2-0 +$250

iggs111 · #10 05-15-2010, 12:39 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by iggs111

To be completely honest, I do not know. I will ask him.

Ok we have new #4 game streaks starting tomorrow

All bets are to win a flat $100.

Series #1
(Pittsburgh Pirates - Current 4 Game Losing Streak)
Play: Chicago Cubs -205

Streak Record: 0-0

Series #2
(Cincinnati Reds - Current 5 Game Winning Streak)
Play: Cincinnati Reds +120

Streak Record: 1-0 +$100

Series #3
(Houston Astros - Current 4 Game Winning Streak)
Play: Houston Astros +135

Streak Record: 0-0
*side note might want to pass on this one as giants on a 3 game losing streak*

Series #4
(Los Angeles Dodgers - Current 4 Game Winning Streak)
Play: LA Dodgers +130

Streak Record 0-0

Series #5
(Arizona Diamondbacks - Current 6 Game Losing Streak)
Play: Atlanta Braves -120

Streak Record: 2-0 +$250

will post tomorrow's plays in a bit. Cubs losing really bit me in the ass today. And to be honest I also played reds on runline but won't count it obviously

iggs111 · #11 05-15-2010, 12:49 AM

Series #1
(Los Angeles Dodgers - Current 5 Game Winning Streak)
Play: LA Dodgers -115
Streak Record 1-0 +130

Series #2
(Arizona Diamondbacks - Current 7 Game Losing Streak & Atlanta On 4 Game Win Streak)
Play: Atlanta Braves -205
Streak Record: 3-0 +$350

Series #3
(Milwaukee Brewers - Current 4 Game Losing Streak)
Play: Philadelphia Phillies -105
Streak Record: 0-0

Teams to Watch on 3 Game Win/Losing Streaks:
Baltimore
Oakland
New York Mets

CecilBrown · #12 05-15-2010, 04:48 AM

Kudos for taking the time to post this data and more importantly, for presenting it in simple and easy to decipher format!

2 Thumbs Up,
CB

P.S. If I fade the Royals the rest of the season and flat bet do you think I will cut a profit?

nrc85 · #13 05-15-2010, 06:32 PM

I plan on following this system the rest of the way, should work out in the long run.

nrc85 · #14 05-15-2010, 10:31 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by iggs111

Series #1
(Los Angeles Dodgers - Current 5 Game Winning Streak)
Play: LA Dodgers -115
Streak Record 1-0 +130

Series #2
(Arizona Diamondbacks - Current 7 Game Losing Streak & Atlanta On 4 Game Win Streak)
Play: Atlanta Braves -205
Streak Record: 3-0 +$350

Series #3
(Milwaukee Brewers - Current 4 Game Losing Streak)
Play: Philadelphia Phillies -105
Streak Record: 0-0

Teams to Watch on 3 Game Win/Losing Streaks:
Baltimore
Oakland
New York Mets

Atlanta losing tonight ruined any chance for a profit, I figured they were due for a winning streak. Eventually they will hit one. Patience is of virtue with this system.

iggs111 · #15 05-17-2010, 02:54 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by nrc85

Atlanta losing tonight ruined any chance for a profit, I figured they were due for a winning streak. Eventually they will hit one. Patience is of virtue with this system.

Exactly. The system is producing winners, no doubt about that. Maybe we should shy away if the team is -200 or above becauase the Cubs and Atlanta losing hurt us but we are cutting profit out of the other games. Brewers lost again last night so you had a winner with the Phils. Here are today's games. Six of them, yikes.

Series #1
(Toronto Blue Jays - Current 4 Game Win Streak)
Play: Toronto Blue Jays -105
Streak Record: 0-0

Series #2
(Oakland A's - Current 5 Game Losing Streak)
Play: Seattle Mariners +150
Streak Record: 1-0 +100 **I'm a little afraid of this one**

Series #3
(Florida Marlins - Current 4 Game Win Streak)
Play: Florida Marlins -140
Streak Record: 0-0

Series #4
(New York Mets - Current 5 Game Losing Streak)
Play: Atlanta Braves -150
Streak Record: 1-0 +100

Series #5
(Milwaukee Brewers - Current 6 Game Losing Streak)
Play: Cincinnati Reds +100
Streak Record: 2-0 +200
** Scared of this one as well **

Series #6
Los Angeles Dodgers - Current 7 Game Winning Streak)
Play: LA Dodgers -150
Streak Record: 3-0 +320

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