Advice for upcoming Season.

[nrc85]

I am new to this forum gentleman and would like to share some tips for the upcoming 2010 baseball season. I am currently handicapping from last years statistics and have found something I thought you baseball bettors might want to read.
I took the top ten pitchers with the best ERA and went through their last 20 games of the year and found that 63% of those games went under the total for that game. The record worked out to be 123 under - 72 over. I figured if I wait to about June and take the top ten ERA pitchers and play the under in their last 20 games I possibly could make some cash. I know it's a new year and the record may not be 63%, but what are the chances it would be under .500?

[Dr. Jack]

Nrc85 - I'll move other thread to this section & merge with this one. I think you'll get better response

[TheLink]

I would run it back more than just last season to get better idea if it is any good. Also did you take the 10 best eras from the end of the season or when you plan on starting in June. Could be a totally different group of pitchers you are following.

[nrc85]

Alright, good enough.

[nrc85]

Valid point ''TheLink'' has made, although by June you would have more of a clear picture who is the top ERA pitchers. They should remain consistent. You may have to ''drop'' a pitcher if he falls out of the top ten and add the new one. I checked the top 20 as well and the records all seemed to remain consistently over .500 for the under. I am going to check back to 2008 and see what the record is. It's basically just a system I am trying to imply for myself, a way to stay organized.