Can I make it 2 in a row or will i continue my slump

mickey · #1 05-11-2009, 03:34 PM

The Mets are on a seven game winning streak. They are 17-13 on the season.
Everything & everyone is clicking.And as for the pitching tonight one man stands in the way for the Braves, that one man goes by the name of Johan Santana. He is an absolute bulldog on the mound. His stuff is electric. He combines power and speed superbly and has the best change up I have ever seen. Along with Roy Halladay these two are on a completely different level then the rest of the pitchers this league has to offer. His stats so far this year are as follows. Through six starts he’s 4-1 with a 0.91 ERA. The only reason he isn’t 6-0 is because the Mets decide they don’t want to show up at the plate when he pitches.

The Braves are 1-10 in their last 11 Monday games. The Mets are 17-5 in their last 22 games when Santana takes the mound. In the head to head category, the Braves are 2-6 in their last eight visits to New York (Shea Stadium games).

The under is 8-3 in the Braves last 11 divisional games including yesterday's win in Philly as they send Derek Lowe to the hill to battle Johan tonight. The under is 5-2-1 in their last eight vs. a team with a winning record and is 7-3 in their last 10 games as a road underdog. For the Mets, the under is 7-0 in Johan's last seven starts and is 4-1 in his last five starts as a favorite of -151 to -200. Five in a row at home have stayed under.

the over is on a 6-2 run for New York, including the last four in a row. However, the under has cashed in all six of Johan Santana’s starts for New York this season, with the lefthander holding a minuscule 0.91 ERA.

The over has been the play in five of Derek Lowe’s last six starts for the Braves, including his last three outings.

(Baseball System) PLAY UNDER the total with offensive team scoring 5.0 or more runs a game, against a NL starting pitcher with ERA between 3.70 to 4.20, with a starting pitcher whose strikes out five or more batters per start. The Mets and Johan Santana fit this 82 percent system. (41-9)

While all trends point to the "under", I am going to steer clear of the total runs line as Derek Lowe is very capable of out pitching Johan tonight. Am I going to guarantee it? No, of course not because I am not a clown. What I do know is both pitchers will show up with great control. Citi Field is pitcher friendly so when you have two aces on the mound, the game has 3-2 written all over it.Even though it could be a low score dual during the later stages/innings of the game it is hard telling what the bull pens will do,& 7 is a low total,with that being said I will play on a side/money line..

Tonights play: NEW YORK METS