Extremely rare 5 unit wager for me.. Long explanation...

gynecologist · #1 10-14-2009, 01:29 AM

Usually do not wager this amount of one play but I feel this is a wager that has a huge possibility of cashing..

5* DODGERS -120 to win Series...

Reasoning:

Dodgers fared very good against LHP all season, 2nd best OBP in the majors. Phillies 1-2 pitchers are lefties.

Home field advantage

Dodgers have power on the road, away from Dodger stadium.

Phillies best hitters are lefties and will be going against LHP Wolf and Kershaw in at least 4 of these games.. GL

Dodgers have the superior bullpen, they lock it down with Weaver in long relief, Kuo or Troncoso middle relief and lockdown Sherill and Broxton in the 8th and 9th.. Phillies BP is not even closely reliable.

Dodgers hitting is underrated and there isn't a weakness in the lineup

SS - R. Furcal (extremely dangerous veteran, is hot as anyone right now)

CF - M. Kemp (Future superstar hitting over .300, steals bases and has a ton of power)

RF - A. Ethier (30 HRS 100+ RBIs and is very hot right now)

LF - M. Ramirez (Manny is starting to heat up, has more postseason HRs than anyone and is always dangerous)

1B - J. Loney (13 HRs on the season, all on road.. Dangerous hitter who hardly ever strikeouts or hits into DPs)

3B - C. Blake (.280+ hitter, who has an OBP of .363 and has power)

2B - R. Belliard or Hudson (Both .280 hitters)

C - R. Martin (Definitely the weakest hitter, but he can get on base .352 OBP and has hit before so he is capable)

Dodgers infield defense is superb

Furcal Blake Beliard/Hudson and Loney(GREAT 1B)

SUPERB!!

Do the Phillies really have the better starting rotation? I'll agree Cliff Lee is a lockdown Ace but how about the other guys?

Hamels? 4.3 ERA .272 BA?
Pedro? How old is he? Hasn't played much
Blanton?

After Lee this rotation is far from intimdating..

Dodgers lost to the Phillies last season, I believe they learned from that game. They have a lot of young players who were experiencing their first playoff game.. They will be better prepared for this one.

Also last but not least, I simply think its Destiny that the dodgers make it to the World Series.. Its been too long and they have had so many comeback victories this season so many crazy comebacks too, things just coming together.. I think its a sign for something special..

I love the dodgers chances.. 5 units please.