Friday's Play--Another Tasty Side Selection !

Keith · #1 05-29-2009, 06:41 AM

first the re-cap. Won with the Orioles last night, making me 11-6 for my last 17. Lately I seem to be doing better with the side plays, so here goes.

For Friday I like the Pirates -125 to the Astros. Here's why:

The Pirates start Ross Ohlendorf. He has been OK for the year. He is 5-4 with a 4.20 ERA, a 1.13 WHIP and a .244 batting average against. At home this year he is 3-1 with a 3.00 ERA and a .212 batting average against. For the month of May he was 3-2 with a 4.99 ERA and a .237 batting average against. He got tagged by the 'Stros earlier this year, and in fact his career numbers stink against Houston, but I think his good home numbers will outweigh that.

Meanwhile, the Astros start Brian Moehler. How bad does your team have to be when you have to start guys like Felipe Paulino and Brian Moehler ??? Moehler is another guy who has achieved new levels of suckiness this year. Here we go. He is 1-3 on the year with an 8.31 ERA, a 1.88 WHIP and a .365 batting average against. For the month of May his ERA is "only" 4.91 and his batting average against is .300. On the road this year his ERA is 7.30 and his batting average against is .351. Against the Pirates this year (at PNC) his ERA is 19.29 and his batting average against is....get ready..... a whopping .538. In the past 3 years at PNC his ERA is 6.23 and his batting average against is .329. And speaking of batting averages against, check out these numbers (all with at least 6 career at bats against Moehler): LaRoche .391; Wilson .375; Sanchez .600; McLouth .538; Doumit .300; Vazquez .500; Moss .300; and Morgan .300. Hell, I bet even 60 year old Willie (Pops) Stargell would get a hit off of Moehler.

The Pirates are 11-9 at home this year, and they are 5-5 for their last 10. The Astros are 9-12 away and are reeling, having lost 7 in a row. Is it any wonder when they have to start losers like Paulino and Moehler ???

Before you ask--I did look at the over here but passed on it for 2 reasons. First, I happen to think that Ohlendorf will pitch OK tonight, and second there are monster trends favoring the under. The side is the play here. And that side is the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Friday's play is the Pirates -125 to the Astros.

RudyNYC27 · #2 05-29-2009, 07:20 AM

RUDY likes the play.

GL Keif,

Woo-die

Keith · #3 05-29-2009, 07:23 AM

thanks Roo !

fat-freddie · #4 05-29-2009, 07:27 AM

Man that was a damn nice call yesterday on Balt., myself I would have gone the other way but after reading your write-up the light came on, "Thanks"

Really like this one tonight bud and as always thanks for the info !!! Good luck and keep her rolling !!!!!!!

Fats...........................................

g_rock65 · #5 05-29-2009, 07:38 AM

Sweet call last night. Will be on the Pirates tonight!!! GL

Keith · #6 05-29-2009, 07:44 AM

thanks Fats and g_rock. Appreciate the support.

Scottish Rebel · #7 05-29-2009, 08:07 AM

BOL today Keith. Will be following the Pirates play today!!!

vikesfan · #8 05-29-2009, 08:19 AM

Bol Today Keith Go Pitt

Keith · #9 05-29-2009, 08:23 AM

thanks reb and vikes

Will · #10 05-29-2009, 08:40 AM

Houston has just been in the slumps lately, i try not to wager on them cause i tend to over/under estimate the home team, I did eye this overnight thou, GL Keith

Keith · #11 05-29-2009, 08:43 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Will

Houston has just been in the slumps lately, i try not to wager on them cause i tend to over/under estimate the home team, I did eye this overnight thou, GL Keith

I hear you Will. I find it astounding that they have to trot out such garbage as Paulino and Moehler. And we're not talking about for a doubleheader. We're talking about a Wed and then a Friday game !