Friday's Play--It's An "I Like It ALOT" Play !!

[Keith]

first the re-cap. After winning 6 in a row, I lost for the first time in a week yesterday with the under in the Mariners/Tigers. I'll take 6-1 any time. Now I bet you guys are thinking that I will be playing against Nick Blackburn again tonight. Something scared me off of that one. Would hate to go to the well once too many times. Likewise, I do like the over in the Indians/Mariners tonight, but not as much as I like this play.

Friday's "I Like It ALOT" play is over 9 in the Giants/Rockies. Here's why:

Now before we get started, the line is presently at 9.5 under -125. It WILL move to 9. And THAT's when we pounce.

The Giants start lefty Jonathan "Dirty" Sanchez. On the year he is 5-10 with a 4.49 ERA, a 1.41 WHIP but only a .226 batting average against. I know what you are saying though. You're saying: "but Keith, he is pitching very well recently, why play the over ??" Allow me to explain. First of all, while his recent numbers are good, he still stinks on the road. This year away from SF he is 1-8 with a 5.20 ERA and a .234 batting average against. Against the Rocks this year (at Coors Field) he is 0-1 with a 9.00 ERA. Against the Rocks for his career he is 1-3 with a 7.30 ERA and a 1.730 WHIP. From 2006-2008 his ERA at Coors was 7.06. For his career at Coors his WHIP is 1.832.

And now here's where we get to the good part. His WHIP is always so high because he walks a TON of guys. This year he is 5th in the NL in walks with 64. That of course would be a bigger deal if the Rockies took a lot of walks. Well...what do you know ?? Guess who leads the NL in walks this year ?? That would be the Rockies.

Meanwhile, the Rockies start Aaron Cook. He is 10-5 on the year with a 4.31 ERA, a 1.46 WHIP and a .293 batting average against. His ERA in his last 3 starts is 8.36. For the month of August he is 0-2 with a 12.27 ERA and a .429 batting average against. At home this year he is 4-1 with a 4.35 ERA but a .298 batting average against. Since the All-Star break his ERA is 5.40, his WHIP is 1.722 and his batting average against is .338. For his career against the Giants he is 7-8 with a 4.91 ERA and a 1.620 WHIP. Check this out. Over his last NINE starts, he has allowed AT LEAST 7 hits per game. The Giants, who are batting a solid .275 over the past 7 days, will cook Cook's ass tonight.

Again--wait on this one fellas. The early movement tells me this will go from 9.5 to 9. Either way it goes waaaay over the total.

Friday's "I Like It ALOT" play is over 9 in the Giants/Rockies.

[plane-o-1]

Here's to 6 HR in this game! GLTY Keith!!!

[Keith]

Originally Posted by plane-o-1

Here's to 6 HR in this game! GLTY Keith!!!

thanks plane-O. That was incredible yesterday.

[vikesfan]

Keith since joe wiz has the under it looks like you have a sure winner.

[Keith]

Originally Posted by vikesfan

Keith since joe wiz has the under it looks like you have a sure winner.

Nice

[fat-freddie]

Strange game yesterday indeed, you sure don't see many of those See you were leaning to the over in the Clev. game, a guy in the survivor game has hit 12 in a row, has the over in that one today also. So were not going against Blackburn today, that is a surprise man. New day, new streak starts tonight ! Good writeup on this one guy, enjoyed it Good luck on this "Big" one Keith, cash it !!!!!!!!



Fats.............................................. ...........................

[dollarbills]

gl today testicle.......the giants bats are due to come alive, and the rocks should be good for 4-6 runs IMO.......i'm still working on the last few games that are going today, and sf/col game is on deck.....i like a rockies/over parlay here also

[Keith]

Originally Posted by fat-freddie

Strange game yesterday indeed, you sure don't see many of those See you were leaning to the over in the Clev. game, a guy in the survivor game has hit 12 in a row, has the over in that one today also. So were not going against Blackburn today, that is a surprise man. New day, new streak starts tonight ! Good writeup on this one guy, enjoyed it Good luck on this "Big" one Keith, cash it !!!!!!!!



Fats.............................................. ...........................

thanks Fats. I may play the Royals, although Hochevar is nothing to write home about. Blackburn has to know he is about to lose his spot in the rotation with another stinker. Just a gut feeling he does OK tonight.

[Keith]

Originally Posted by dollarbills

gl today testicle.......the giants bats are due to come alive, and the rocks should be good for 4-6 runs IMO.......i'm still working on the last few games that are going today, and sf/col game is on deck.....i like a rockies/over parlay here also

Dig deep db. Cook has been garbage for a little while now.

[new york knight]

GOOD LUCK KEITH

[Keith]

Originally Posted by new york knight

GOOD LUCK KEITH

thanks Knight !

[popeofpercentages]

Your analysis is sound. The Investment advice is good. The Pope

[dollarbills]

Originally Posted by Keith

Dig deep db. Cook has been garbage for a little while now.

ok pal, so i just finished looking at thiis one..,....my col pick was a guy-play, nothing more......looking into it, i really don't like either team, and don't think the rocks should be laying this much vig on the road....also, the line has dropped on them a 1/2 run @5dimes, and it's at 9 now.......over is def. the way to go in this one........we get 12 runs here..........I'M ON IT

[50cent]

gl keith im on it thanks....

[Keith]

Originally Posted by dollarbills

over is def. the way to go in this one........we get 12 runs here..........I'M ON IT

thanks db