Friday's Play--It Rhymes With Thunder !!

Keith · #1 06-12-2009, 06:49 AM

first the re-cap. I won with the under in the Tigers/W. Sox yesterday (yes, an UNDER play), making me 1-1 for the week. Believe it or not, I like another one for Friday. Friday's play is under 9.5 in the Phillies/Red Sox. Here's why:

First of all, both these teams are due for a big emotional let-down tonight. The Red Sox are coming off a sweep of the hated Yankees, while the Phils took 2 of 3 from the hated Mets.

The Red Sox start Jon Lester. For the year he is 5-5 with a 5.09 ERA, a 1.41 WHIP and a .273 batting average against. On the road, his ERA is 6.14. So why the hell would I like under ?? Well, the guy has been lights out recently. His ERA over his last 3 starts is only 3.00. In his last 2 starts, he went 15 innings, allowing only 5 hits and 5 walks, with 23 strikeouts !! In fact, he is 4th in the AL in strikeouts with 85. For his career against the Phils (at Citizen's Bank), he is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA and a .240 batting average against. The Phils are batting a weak .241 over the past 7 days. They won't touch Lester the molester tonight.

Meanwhile, the Phillies start Joe Blanton. He is 4-3 on the year with a 5.46 ERA, a 1.46 WHIP and a .283 batting average against. At home his ERA is 6.75 and his batting average against is .311. So you are probably doing this....

. But wait. Blanton has also been lights out recently. For the month of June his ERA is 2.77 and his batting average against is .234. For his last 3 starts, he allowed 16 hits and 4 walks in 20 innings, with 21 strikeouts, for a WHIP of 1.000 and an ERA of 1.80. For his career against the Sox he is 3-2 with a 3.76 ERA. Over the past 3 seasons, his ERA against the Sox is 3.89. The Sox are batting a dreadful .238 over the past 7 days as well.

Hold on...there's more. The Phils are 0-3 to the under in Interleague games this year and are 9-15 to the under at home this season. The Sox are 1-7 to the under in June, and on the year, they are 9-18 to the under when playing a team with a winning record. This one stays under my friends.

Friday's play is under 9.5 in the Phillies/Red Sox.

RudyNYC27 · #2 06-12-2009, 06:57 AM

Keifer,

Don't have to ponder the under because it resonates like thunder, don't have to wonder on your under, will win and then will slumber.

GL,
RUNDER (RUDY's cousion)

Oh, RUDY LOVES this play!

Keith · #3 06-12-2009, 07:05 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RudyNYC27

Keifer,

Don't have to ponder the under because it resonates like thunder, don't have to wonder on your under, will win and then will slumber.

GL,
RUNDER (RUDY's cousion)

Oh, RUDY LOVES this play!

LOL--thanks Roo.

Public will see two big-name teams and 2 pitchers with ERAs over 5.00, and they'll be playing the over. Better odds for us

fat-freddie · #4 06-12-2009, 07:25 AM

Thanks for yesterday man, that was a big

for me !! Like the call tonight also bud, enjoy your write-ups, have saved my ass many times bro. I can see alot of these games tonight going under but lets cash this baby first

Good luck on another "Under" !!!!

Fats.............................................. .........................

Keith · #5 06-12-2009, 07:29 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by fat-freddie

Thanks for yesterday man, that was a big

for me !! Like the call tonight also bud, enjoy your write-ups, have saved my ass many times bro. I can see alot of these games tonight going under but lets cash this baby first

Good luck on another "Under" !!!!

Fats.............................................. .........................

thanks Fats. As always, appreciate the kind words.

Keith · #6 06-12-2009, 07:31 AM

tonight boys

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zvoeeq-BH4w

g_rock65 · #7 06-12-2009, 08:05 AM

Many thanks for yesterdays BIG winner!! Will be on this one as well. GL to the both of us!!!

vikesfan · #8 06-12-2009, 08:10 AM

Bol Today Keith

Keith · #9 06-12-2009, 08:13 AM

thanks vikes and g_rock.

Windy City Irish · #10 06-12-2009, 08:17 AM

where is the nationals friday play. i feel robbed

gl

Keith · #11 06-12-2009, 08:24 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Windy City Irish

where is the nationals friday play. i feel robbed

gl

LOL. Ancient history my friend, ancient history.

sigep792002 · #12 06-12-2009, 08:29 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Windy City Irish

where is the nationals friday play. i feel robbed

gl

Me too.

Kaysee · #13 06-12-2009, 09:25 AM

Great write up Keith, looks like it may go up to 10, may wait it out a little then throw some down on it. See maybe a 5-3, 4-3 type game going either way. Thanks for yesterdays play, thank god they played it, broke even for the day because of it.

stankic · #14 06-12-2009, 09:27 AM

Good luck !

Keith · #15 06-12-2009, 09:29 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kaysee

Great write up Keith, looks like it may go up to 10, may wait it out a little then throw some down on it. See maybe a 5-3, 4-3 type game going either way. Thanks for yesterdays play, thank god they played it, broke even for the day because of it.

I see the over 9.5 at -115 now. It could climb higher, but I don't think it'll go to 10 (just more juice for the over).

Even with that Granderson home run in the 9th last night (I almost fell off the treadmill as I was watching it), that game still played out exactly the way I had thought it would. Hopefully we can repeat tonight.

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