Home Favs -110 to -130

[nrc85]

I heard on a show here in Canada about a month ago (Covers Experts) that home favs of -110 to -130 were hitting at a 80% rate this year, which had me wondering, what if you bet these favs all year long, would it result in a good winning percentage? I know overall every year home teams win at a 58% - 60% winning percentage. So I though maybe if you narrowed it down to the above lines if it would translate the same winning percentage?

[bigsportsguy2006]

could definitely be something that is worth tracking, thats for sure. my issue with systems like this is always if you use the opening or closing lines, and what sportsbook you use.

[nrc85]

Originally Posted by bigsportsguy2006

could definitely be something that is worth tracking, thats for sure. my issue with systems like this is always if you use the opening or closing lines, and what sportsbook you use.

Yeah I was thinking the same thing. Probably would have to wait and base it on the closing line. Wouldn't hurt to include the -105 home dogs as well. I will keep an eye on this. Wouldn't hurt.

Tonight the plays would be the Dodgers and Athletics.

[nrc85]

Went 1-1 yesterday.

Today's plays would be Florida and Arizona.

[nrc85]

2-0 yesterday which brings us to 3-1 overall after 2 days.

There would be no plays today, San Francisco could be considered, we wouldn't want to start betting any higher than -130 though, that's our ceiling.

[revnecro1273]

Originally Posted by nrc85

2-0 yesterday which brings us to 3-1 overall after 2 days.

There would be no plays today, San Francisco could be considered, we wouldn't want to start betting any higher than -130 though, that's our ceiling.

wouldn't anyway...san francisco is on the road

[nrc85]

Originally Posted by revnecro1273

wouldn't anyway...san francisco is on the road

Yeah my mistake, home teams only.