Mariners, 20-unit play on saturday?

[nrc85]

The Mariners are going to lose 7 in a row at home tonight. If we look at last years stats, there were only 2 teams that lost more than 7 in a row at home... Doug Fister pitches for Seattle tomorrow... can anyone really see Seattle getting swept 3 series in a row at home? I think anyone with a sizeable bankroll could cash in on these next 2 games... if they happened to lose tomorrow... bet what you lost and what you should have won in the first game in the Sunday game. I know this is very aggressive, but sometimes you have got to do these things to cash in the big ticket. I am a very conservative player, I don't usually bet like this, maybe once every 6 months. The books could take a beating if everyone realized this.

[iggs111]

guy i know swears by some 4 game system in baseball. He says if a team is on a 4 game losing streak fade them until they win. And if someone goes on a 4 game winning streak ride them until they lose. He is a lot older than me and says it can be very profitable....

[xxxFTWxxx]

actually agree with 1st poster.

seattle should def win saturday or sunday.

will be on the same 2-day chase as well

[iggs111]

I'm not saying they won't win in the next 2 days, BUT.....If you started fading them at loss #4 you would be cutting a profit even if they do win tomorrow.....

[CecilBrown]

The Halos had dropped 7 in-a-row prior to the 8-0 drubbing, maybe they finally encountered a team that is worse then them(?)

Then again, Saunders has been pretty dismal. Perhaps the planets have aligned...

[xxxFTWxxx]

hear what your saying iggs.

i was actually against the M's in a few of those games so i know what ur saying

ready to jump on em now though

[Tide8577]

Originally Posted by iggs111

I'm not saying they won't win in the next 2 days, BUT.....If you started fading them at loss #4 you would be cutting a profit even if they do win tomorrow.....

[CecilBrown]

SEATTLE = 9 runs in last 7 games (last 2 bolo'ed)

LOS ANGELES = 27 runs in last 7 games

That's a 3 to 1 scoring advantage.

Don't want to discourage anyone, just pointing out that "statistically" the value is on the plus money side...

[nrc85]

I know anything can happen, but if they lose Saturday and Sunday that's 9 losses in a row at home, something that did not happen at all last year to any team. Maybe start Saturday's game out with a 5-unit bet, 20-unit might be pushing it maybe if they happen to lose Saturday, you don't want to be hard-pressed on Sunday. Do what you want... I am considering this.

[nrc85]

Originally Posted by CecilBrown

SEATTLE = 9 runs in last 7 games (last 2 bolo'ed)

LOS ANGELES = 27 runs in last 7 games

That's a 3 to 1 scoring advantage.

Don't want to discourage anyone, just pointing out that "statistically" the value is on the plus money side...

Well that's usually what happens when a team is on a losing streak, that trend has to come to an end eventually, they only have to score 3 or 4 runs, they just need a well pitched game.

[secondbase]

Iggs has heard what I have always heard too
beat with streaks to continue- not to end

[nrc85]

Originally Posted by iggs111

I'm not saying they won't win in the next 2 days, BUT.....If you started fading them at loss #4 you would be cutting a profit even if they do win tomorrow.....

Yeah, that would work, but sometimes you have to look at the situation as well. If they were on the road I wouldn't be thinking about doing this...because a lot of teams lose 8 or 9 in a row all the time on the road. Since the Mariners are at home where they have lost 7 in a row there... I think it's time to start betting on the Mariners to win. The average home longest losing streak from every team last year was 4.8. So, right now we are well above average.

[justdonating]

Ms playing like dog shit the last week. I see nothing that tells me it will change. That being said I might be chasing them this weekend.

[Bozzie]

things are bad in mariner land... found this in the seattle times...


I've crunched some numbers, and it turns out the M's are headed toward some lofty company when it comes to knocking the ball out of the ballpark. I'm sure you sensed that something special was going on in the power department this season, but I'll bet you didn't know how special.

If they keep up their current pace, the M's will enter September with a chance to take aim at the greatest home-run hitters of all-time. It's only a matter of time before the national media catches wind of this potentially historic homer chase, of course, and then Safeco Field could well be the focus of the baseball world as the season winds down.

It's only May 7, but the Mariners have already blasted 10 dingers through 28 games. That puts them on pace for 57.8 for a 162-game season, which I'll round up to 58. And that would put the Mariners on a par with such power Legends as Jimmie Foxx, Hank Greenberg and Mark McGwire, not to mention current Phillies' star Ryan Howard.

And if they can get hit 58 homers, there's absolutely no reason they can't really catch fire and reach 60, or -- dare I even say it? -- 70. And that's when Mark McGwire and Barry Bonds will start to get a little nervous.

[nrc85]

Originally Posted by iggs111

guy i know swears by some 4 game system in baseball. He says if a team is on a 4 game losing streak fade them until they win. And if someone goes on a 4 game winning streak ride them until they lose. He is a lot older than me and says it can be very profitable....

I was wondering if it would be better to start when a team is on a 5 game winning/losing streak... teams seem to have a lot of 3 and 4 game winning/losing streaks throughout the year. I researched to see what the average was and 3 and 4 seemed to be the average, and 2 if you want to call it a streak. Usually if a team goes over a 4 game winning/losing streak it will be their longest which on average will end up to be around 7-8 games.