Go Back   Sports Handicapping at cappersmall > >

MLB Baseball MLB Handicapping - Post your MLB picks, talk MLB betting - all baseball.

Likes Likes:  0
Thread Tools Display Modes
Old 10-11-2017, 09:30 AM
griswold griswold is offline
Registered User
Join Date: Aug 2015
Posts: 632
Rewards: 23,229
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 0
Likes (Received): 161
MLB Playoffs---World Series Futures Bet

Playoffs YTD 1-2 -0.51 units
all plays 1* and dogs so far


This bet is a pure value play and is being made before Game 4 of the Cubs-Nationals series. The Cubs number will probably drop 60 points if they win the current series (likely) so I want to grab it now. In my opinion, only two of the remaining six teams right now are thriving in the two areas critical in the post-season: three strong starters and a closer (the Dodgers are the other). And, I'll take the Cubs' batting order over everybody right now. If the Cubs can win the NL, this play allows for a solid hedge bet as well. A final point: the current line is based on the overall impression of the Cubs season which is why the line is off. It is irrelevant how anybody played in June. All that matters is how they are playing and pitching now. The bet is better than 50-50 to lose but it is a lot better than 20 percent to win which provides excellent value.
Reply With Quote

bet, cubs, play, series, win

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump

All times are GMT -5. The time now is 09:19 PM.

Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2018, vBulletin Solutions Inc.
Resources saved on this page: MySQL 15.79% Host: cappersmallweb1