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Old 10-11-2017, 09:30 AM
griswold griswold is offline
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MLB Playoffs---World Series Futures Bet

Playoffs YTD 1-2 -0.51 units
all plays 1* and dogs so far

1* CUBS TO WIN WORLD SERIES +545

This bet is a pure value play and is being made before Game 4 of the Cubs-Nationals series. The Cubs number will probably drop 60 points if they win the current series (likely) so I want to grab it now. In my opinion, only two of the remaining six teams right now are thriving in the two areas critical in the post-season: three strong starters and a closer (the Dodgers are the other). And, I'll take the Cubs' batting order over everybody right now. If the Cubs can win the NL, this play allows for a solid hedge bet as well. A final point: the current line is based on the overall impression of the Cubs season which is why the line is off. It is irrelevant how anybody played in June. All that matters is how they are playing and pitching now. The bet is better than 50-50 to lose but it is a lot better than 20 percent to win which provides excellent value.
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