Monday's Play--Let's Start The Week Off Right !!

Keith · #1 04-26-2010, 06:32 AM

first the re-cap. Lost again yesterday with the Marlins. Had a lousy weekend, and the season-long record is now 9-6. A $100 bettor remains +$350. Found one for Monday.

For Monday, I like the over 8.5 runs in the Blue Jays/Red Sox. Here's why:

The Jays start Dana Eveland. On the year he is 2-0 with a 1.93 ERA, a 1.23 WHIP and a .242 BAA. Good numbers for sure. But note, he has pitched against the bottom-feeders of the league (Orioles, W. Sox and Royals). Againast the Red Sox last year he was 0-1 with an 11.05 ERA, a 2.816 WHIP and a .400 BAA. For his career against the Sox he is 0-2, with a 17.36 ERA, a .449 BAA and a WHIP of 3.296. Check out these career batting averages against him: Beltre .364; Drew .571; Ortiz .333; Youkilis .500; Pedroia .333; Lowell .800; and Varitek .500. I know the Sox are not hitting all that well recently, but they will get well tonight against our friend Dana Carvey ("isn't that special").

Meanwhile the Sox start Josh Beckett. He has not done well this year. He is 1-0, but with a 5.26 ERA, a 1.48 WHIP and a .283 BAA. On the road his BAA is .321. Last year against the Jays his ERA was 10.45, his WHIP was 1.980 and his BAA was .318. At the Rogers Centre last year his ERA was 11.81 and his BAA was .375. From 2007-2009, his ERA against the Jays was 6.92 (it was 6.88 at the Rogers Centre). Check out these career batting averages against him: Wells .303; Overbay .303; Hill .400; Lind .455; and Snider .400. The Jays will continue in their success against Beckett tonight.

Monday's play is over 8.5 in the Blue Jays/Red Sox.

(after the losing weekend, I decided an avatar change was in order. Who better than the King of the Blues ??)