Monday's Play--A Total I Like Alot

[Keith]

lost yesterday with the SF Giants. Took a chance on a big dog and paid the price. Now 9-4 for my last 13, and 15-15 overall for the year. I'm 2-0 on my really big plays. I've got us another one today.

For Monday I really like (ALOT) the over 9.5 runs in the Indians/Rays. Here's why:

The Indians start Fausto Carmona. He is 2-4 on the year with a 5.74 ERA, a 1.56 WHIP and a .257 batting average against. He leads the AL in walks with 30. In his last 3 starts he has allowed 14 hits and 13 walks in 18 innings, with a 5.00 ERA. For the entire month of May his ERA is 5.11. For his career against the Rays he sports an ERA of 5.28. Against the Rays this year he is 1-0 but with a 6.75 ERA. Over the past 3 years against the Rays he is 1-1 with a 4.91 ERA. The Rays are batting .287 on the road this year and they are batting .274 against righties. Over the past 7 days they are batting a rock-solid .292. Longoria is back. Carmona will walk half a dozen guys today.

The Rays start righty David Price. Everyone has been wetting their panties for this guy. "Can't miss prospect." Maybe so, but at Triple A Durham this year he is 1-4 with a 3.93 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP. The weight of being a "can't miss prospect" is going to weigh on him--especially on the road. The Indians are batting .285 against lefties this year and they are batting .283 over the past 7 days. Mr. Price is in for a rude welcome from the Tribe today.

Some serious trends in our favor as well. Indians are 7-2 over against lefties, while the Rays are 16-10 over against righties. Against teams with winning records, the Indians are 18-9 to the over this year. Against teams with losing records, the Rays are 15-6 to the over this year.

This is an 8-6 game my friends. I like this one ALOT.

Monday's play is over 9.5 in the Indians/Rays.

Hope everyone has a safe Memorial Day. G_d bless America--and those who made the ultimate sacrifice to protect us.

[vikesfan]

Bol Keith Have A Nice Holiday.

[g_rock65]

Looks like a winner. Good write-up. Will cash this with you!!!

[Keith]

Originally Posted by vikesfan

Bol Keith Have A Nice Holiday.

thanks Vikes--you too.

[Keith]

Originally Posted by g_rock65

Looks like a winner. Good write-up. Will cash this with you!!!

Thanks g_rock.

[Kaysee]

looks good keith

[RudyNYC27]

Once again we are on the same play!

BOL to us and all,

RUDY

[Keith]

thanks Rudy and Kaysee and everyone else.

[fat-freddie]

Thanks for another "Alot" play Keith Still think San Fran was worth a shot yesterday. Lets cash this today and get you to a 10-4 run, this is a good call man, on it $$$$ Great info on the game !!!

Fats.............................................. .............

[secondbase]

GL Keith

Let's get some Runs !!

[twentyonekid]

good luck keith

[Keith]

thanks Fats, 2B and Kid.

[agent318]

gl keith with the over.

[Keith]

thanks agent and everyone else.

For the record, I got the over 9.5 at -125.

Have a great day fellas !

[Bobtheicon]