ONE SMART PLAY EVERYDAY - MLB TRENDS and ANALYSIS with - WEDNESDAY - AUG 24

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New York Mets 60-68 (47%) @ Philadelphia Phillies 83-44 (65%)

M.

Pelfrey, starting for New York Mets, has a FIP of 4.58 (#159 in MLB),

xFIP of 4.42 (#161 in MLB), and tERA of 4.56 (#135 in MLB), with a BABIP

of .281, LOB% of 70%, and E-F of -0.05. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.84,

with a WHIP of 1.36, and opponent BA of .266. His batted-ball

peripherals are: LD%: 18%, GB%: 45%, FB%: 37% for a 1.22 GB/FB ratio,

and a HR/FB of 10%.

K. Kendrick, starting for Philadelphia

Phillies, has a FIP of 4.72 (#174 in MLB), xFIP of 4.09 (#116 in MLB),

and tERA of 5.28 (#177 in MLB), with a BABIP of .265, LOB% of 78%, and

E-F of -1.23. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.07, with a WHIP of 1.23, and

opponent BA of .258. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 18%, GB%:

49%, FB%: 33% for a 1.49 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 9%.

New York

Mets have the #20 bullpen, #6 offense, and are rated #29 in fielding.

They have a road record of 35-33 (51%), ranked #11 in MLB and have Lost 5

in a row.

Philadelphia Phillies have the #14 bullpen, #13

offense, and are rated #21 in fielding. They have a home record of 46-20

(70%), ranked #2 in MLB and have Won 2 in a row.



Odds: NYM +173 (37%) PHI -185 (65%) O/U = 9

Lean: none
=======================================

Los Angeles Dodgers 59-69 (46%) @ St Louis Cardinals 67-62 (52%)

H.

Kuroda, starting for Los Angeles Dodgers, has a FIP of 3.5 (#49 in

MLB), xFIP of 3.57 (#44 in MLB), and tERA of 4.02 (#78 in MLB), with a

BABIP of .288, LOB% of 79%, and E-F of -0.62. He has a K/BB ratio of

3.03, with a WHIP of 1.21, and opponent BA of .246. His batted-ball

peripherals are: LD%: 22%, GB%: 43%, FB%: 35% for a 1.26 GB/FB ratio,

and a HR/FB of 9%.

J. Garcia, starting for St Louis Cardinals,

has a FIP of 3.11 (#29 in MLB), xFIP of 3.24 (#17 in MLB), and tERA of

3.25 (#20 in MLB), with a BABIP of .317, LOB% of 68%, and E-F of 0.31.

He has a K/BB ratio of 3.05, with a WHIP of 1.32, and opponent BA of

.262. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 18%, GB%: 54%, FB%: 29% for a

1.86 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 8%.

Los Angeles Dodgers have

the #12 bullpen, #25 offense, and are rated #12 in fielding. They have a

road record of 28-35 (44%), ranked #21 in MLB and have Won 2 in a row.

St

Louis Cardinals have the #18 bullpen, #4 offense, and are rated #25 in

fielding. They have a home record of 32-29 (52%), ranked #16 in MLB and

have Lost 2 in a row.



Odds: LAD +129 (44%) STL -137 (58%) O/U = 7.5

Lean: UNDER
=======================================

Houston Astros 42-87 (33%) @ Colorado Rockies 62-68 (48%)

W.

Rodriguez, starting for Houston Astros, has a FIP of 4.01 (#111 in

MLB), xFIP of 3.67 (#64 in MLB), and tERA of 4.3 (#103 in MLB), with a

BABIP of .286, LOB% of 78%, and E-F of -0.52. He has a K/BB ratio of

2.49, with a WHIP of 1.29, and opponent BA of .246. His batted-ball

peripherals are: LD%: 20%, GB%: 46%, FB%: 35% for a 1.3 GB/FB ratio, and

a HR/FB of 12%.

A. Cook, starting for Colorado Rockies, has a

FIP of 4.51 (#150 in MLB), xFIP of 4.49 (#173 in MLB), and tERA of 5.48

(#196 in MLB), with a BABIP of .326, LOB% of 69%, and E-F of 0.72. He

has a K/BB ratio of 0.96, with a WHIP of 1.63, and opponent BA of .31.

His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 19%, GB%: 58%, FB%: 23% for a 2.51

GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 10%.

Houston Astros have the #27

bullpen, #23 offense, and are rated #27 in fielding. They have a road

record of 19-45 (30%), ranked #30 in MLB and have Lost 3 in a row.

Colorado

Rockies have the #13 bullpen, #6 offense, and are rated #17 in

fielding. They have a home record of 34-33 (51%), ranked #18 in MLB and

have Won 4 in a row.



Odds: HOU +147 (40%) COL -156 (61%) O/U = 9.5

Lean: none
=======================================

Arizona Diamondbacks 70-59 (54%) @ Washington Nationals 62-65 (49%)

D.

Hudson, starting for Arizona Diamondbacks, has a FIP of 2.98 (#23 in

MLB), xFIP of 3.64 (#60 in MLB), and tERA of 3.64 (#43 in MLB), with a

BABIP of .317, LOB% of 67%, and E-F of 0.77. He has a K/BB ratio of

3.47, with a WHIP of 1.26, and opponent BA of .266. His batted-ball

peripherals are: LD%: 21%, GB%: 43%, FB%: 36% for a 1.17 GB/FB ratio,

and a HR/FB of 5%.

L. Hernandez, starting for Washington

Nationals, has a FIP of 3.93 (#99 in MLB), xFIP of 4.14 (#124 in MLB),

and tERA of 4.69 (#145 in MLB), with a BABIP of .315, LOB% of 69%, and

E-F of 0.28. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.36, with a WHIP of 1.39, and

opponent BA of .284. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 22%, GB%:

40%, FB%: 38% for a 1.07 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 8%.

Arizona

Diamondbacks have the #11 bullpen, #11 offense, and are rated #1 in

fielding. They have a road record of 34-33 (51%), ranked #13 in MLB and

have Won 1 in a row.

Washington Nationals have the #15 bullpen,

#22 offense, and are rated #20 in fielding. They have a home record of

37-26 (59%), ranked #7 in MLB and have Lost 1 in a row.



Odds: ARI -125 (56%) WSN +118 (46%) O/U = 8

Lean: Diamondbacks
=======================================

Atlanta Braves 78-52 (60%) @ Chicago Cubs 56-73 (43%)

D.

Lowe, starting for Atlanta Braves, has a FIP of 3.56 (#57 in MLB), xFIP

of 3.62 (#55 in MLB), and tERA of 3.95 (#69 in MLB), with a BABIP of

.325, LOB% of 67%, and E-F of 1.34. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.91, with a

WHIP of 1.49, and opponent BA of .279. His batted-ball peripherals are:

LD%: 19%, GB%: 59%, FB%: 22% for a 2.67 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 9%.

R.

Wells, starting for Chicago Cubs, has a FIP of 5.46 (#212 in MLB), xFIP

of 4.36 (#151 in MLB), and tERA of 6.47 (#216 in MLB), with a BABIP of

.311, LOB% of 70%, and E-F of 0.44. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.65, with a

WHIP of 1.59, and opponent BA of .297. His batted-ball peripherals are:

LD%: 22%, GB%: 44%, FB%: 35% for a 1.26 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 17%.

Atlanta

Braves have the #1 bullpen, #20 offense, and are rated #28 in fielding.

They have a road record of 37-27 (58%), ranked #4 in MLB and have Won 6

in a row.

Chicago Cubs have the #20 bullpen, #13 offense, and

are rated #22 in fielding. They have a home record of 31-36 (46%),

ranked #22 in MLB and have Lost 3 in a row.



Odds: ATL -130 (57%) CHC +122 (45%) O/U =

Lean: ATL
=======================================

San Diego Padres 60-70 (46%) @ San Francisco Giants 68-61 (53%)


T.

Stauffer, starting for San Diego Padres, has a FIP of 3.93 (#99 in

MLB), xFIP of 3.56 (#43 in MLB), and tERA of 4.19 (#87 in MLB), with a

BABIP of .284, LOB% of 78%, and E-F of -0.5. He has a K/BB ratio of

2.63, with a WHIP of 1.24, and opponent BA of .252. His batted-ball

peripherals are: LD%: 21%, GB%: 51%, FB%: 28% for a 1.86 GB/FB ratio,

and a HR/FB of 13%.


T. Lincecum, starting for San Francisco

Giants, has a FIP of 2.85 (#15 in MLB), xFIP of 3.08 (#8 in MLB), and

tERA of 3.08 (#14 in MLB), with a BABIP of .276, LOB% of 79%, and E-F of

-0.32. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.8, with a WHIP of 1.15, and opponent BA

of .208. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 18%, GB%: 50%, FB%: 32%

for a 1.54 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 7%.


San Diego Padres have

the #6 bullpen, #28 offense, and are rated #10 in fielding. They have a

road record of 32-32 (50%), ranked #15 in MLB and have Won 5 in a row.


San

Francisco Giants have the #3 bullpen, #29 offense, and are rated #9 in

fielding. They have a home record of 35-26 (57%), ranked #10 in MLB and

have Lost 1 in a row.




Odds: SDP +168 (37%) SFG -179 (64%) O/U = 6


Lean: Giants

=======================================


Seattle Mariners 55-73 (43%) @ Cleveland Indians 63-63 (50%)


F.

Hernandez, starting for Seattle Mariners, has a FIP of 3.25 (#35 in

MLB), xFIP of 3.19 (#13 in MLB), and tERA of 3.55 (#33 in MLB), with a

BABIP of .294, LOB% of 74%, and E-F of 0.13. He has a K/BB ratio of

3.09, with a WHIP of 1.19, and opponent BA of .236. His batted-ball

peripherals are: LD%: 20%, GB%: 48%, FB%: 32% for a 1.51 GB/FB ratio,

and a HR/FB of 10%.


J. Tomlin, starting for Cleveland Indians,

has a FIP of 4.09 (#118 in MLB), xFIP of 3.97 (#104 in MLB), and tERA of

4.51 (#129 in MLB), with a BABIP of .246, LOB% of 69%, and E-F of

-0.12. He has a K/BB ratio of 4.05, with a WHIP of 1.04, and opponent BA

of .238. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 21%, GB%: 40%, FB%: 40%

for a 0.99 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 10%.


Seattle Mariners have

the #22 bullpen, #30 offense, and are rated #11 in fielding. They have a

road record of 23-41 (36%), ranked #27 in MLB and have Won 1 in a row.


Cleveland

Indians have the #9 bullpen, #17 offense, and are rated #23 in

fielding. They have a home record of 34-27 (56%), ranked #12 in MLB and

have Lost 1 in a row.




Odds: SEA -104 (51%) CLE -102 (50%) O/U = 7


Lean: Mariners

=======================================


Oakland Athletics 58-70 (45%) @ New York Yankees 77-49 (61%)


T.

Cahill, starting for Oakland Athletics, has a FIP of 4.04 (#115 in

MLB), xFIP of 3.81 (#78 in MLB), and tERA of 4.26 (#92 in MLB), with a

BABIP of .293, LOB% of 71%, and E-F of 0.14. He has a K/BB ratio of

1.76, with a WHIP of 1.4, and opponent BA of .255. His batted-ball

peripherals are: LD%: 18%, GB%: 56%, FB%: 25% for a 2.21 GB/FB ratio,

and a HR/FB of 12%.


C. Sabathia, starting for New York Yankees,

has a FIP of 2.79 (#12 in MLB), xFIP of 3 (#7 in MLB), and tERA of 3.53

(#32 in MLB), with a BABIP of .302, LOB% of 75%, and E-F of 0.17. He has

a K/BB ratio of 3.91, with a WHIP of 1.16, and opponent BA of .24. His

batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 22%, GB%: 47%, FB%: 31% for a 1.5

GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 7%.


Oakland Athletics have the #7

bullpen, #24 offense, and are rated #26 in fielding. They have a road

record of 23-40 (37%), ranked #26 in MLB and have Won 1 in a row.


New

York Yankees have the #2 bullpen, #1 offense, and are rated #6 in

fielding. They have a home record of 40-25 (62%), ranked #5 in MLB and

have Lost 1 in a row.




Odds: OAK +224 (31%) NYY -240 (71%) O/U = 8.5


Lean: NYY

=======================================


Kansas City Royals 53-76 (41%) @ Toronto Blue Jays 65-63 (51%)


L.

Hochevar, starting for Kansas City Royals, has a FIP of 4.5 (#148 in

MLB), xFIP of 4.12 (#122 in MLB), and tERA of 5.01 (#164 in MLB), with a

BABIP of .28, LOB% of 66%, and E-F of 0.43. He has a K/BB ratio of

1.81, with a WHIP of 1.33, and opponent BA of .261. His batted-ball

peripherals are: LD%: 19%, GB%: 50%, FB%: 31% for a 1.59 GB/FB ratio,

and a HR/FB of 12%.


R. Romero, starting for Toronto Blue Jays,

has a FIP of 3.84 (#92 in MLB), xFIP of 3.63 (#58 in MLB), and tERA of

3.61 (#38 in MLB), with a BABIP of .242, LOB% of 81%, and E-F of -1.12.

He has a K/BB ratio of 2.33, with a WHIP of 1.11, and opponent BA of

.206. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 13%, GB%: 55%, FB%: 32% for a

1.73 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 11%.


Kansas City Royals have

the #23 bullpen, #12 offense, and are rated #14 in fielding. They have a

road record of 20-39 (34%), ranked #28 in MLB and have Won 1 in a row.


Toronto

Blue Jays have the #19 bullpen, #6 offense, and are rated #19 in

fielding. They have a home record of 31-30 (51%), ranked #17 in MLB and

have Lost 1 in a row.




Odds: KCR +178 (36%) TOR -190 (66%) O/U = 8


Lean: none

=======================================


Detroit Tigers 70-58 (55%) @ Tampa Bay Rays 69-58 (54%)


M.

Scherzer, starting for Detroit Tigers, has a FIP of 4.09 (#118 in MLB),

xFIP of 3.77 (#74 in MLB), and tERA of 4.44 (#118 in MLB), with a BABIP

of .31, LOB% of 73%, and E-F of 0.28. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.89, with

a WHIP of 1.36, and opponent BA of .267. His batted-ball peripherals

are: LD%: 20%, GB%: 39%, FB%: 41% for a 0.96 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of

11%.


W. Davis, starting for Tampa Bay Rays, has a FIP of 4.74

(#178 in MLB), xFIP of 5.04 (#212 in MLB), and tERA of 4.89 (#155 in

MLB), with a BABIP of .287, LOB% of 71%, and E-F of -0.14. He has a K/BB

ratio of 1.52, with a WHIP of 1.42, and opponent BA of .273. His

batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 20%, GB%: 34%, FB%: 46% for a 0.74

GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 8%.


Detroit Tigers have the #24

bullpen, #5 offense, and are rated #24 in fielding. They have a road

record of 33-31 (52%), ranked #7 in MLB and have Won 5 in a row.


Tampa

Bay Rays have the #26 bullpen, #16 offense, and are rated #5 in

fielding. They have a home record of 34-30 (53%), ranked #14 in MLB and

have Lost 2 in a row.




Odds: DET -104 (51%) TBR -102 (50%) O/U = 8.5


Lean: Tigers

=======================================

Boston Red Sox 78-50 (61%) @ Texas Rangers 74-56 (57%)


J.

Beckett, starting for Boston Red Sox, has a FIP of 3.4 (#42 in MLB),

xFIP of 3.55 (#41 in MLB), and tERA of 3.62 (#41 in MLB), with a BABIP

of .234, LOB% of 83%, and E-F of -0.94. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.43,

with a WHIP of 0.97, and opponent BA of .198. His batted-ball

peripherals are: LD%: 18%, GB%: 39%, FB%: 43% for a 0.9 GB/FB ratio, and

a HR/FB of 8%.


M. Harrison, starting for Texas Rangers, has a

FIP of 3.73 (#81 in MLB), xFIP of 3.88 (#89 in MLB), and tERA of 4.27

(#95 in MLB), with a BABIP of .285, LOB% of 75%, and E-F of -0.54. He

has a K/BB ratio of 2.11, with a WHIP of 1.27, and opponent BA of .251.

His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 20%, GB%: 47%, FB%: 34% for a 1.39

GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 8%.


Boston Red Sox have the #4

bullpen, #2 offense, and are rated #2 in fielding. They have a road

record of 40-26 (61%), ranked #3 in MLB and have Won 1 in a row.


Texas

Rangers have the #29 bullpen, #3 offense, and are rated #7 in fielding.

They have a home record of 40-24 (63%), ranked #3 in MLB and have Lost 1

in a row.




Odds: BOS -105 (51%) TEX -101 (50%) O/U = 9


Lean: none

=======================================


Baltimore Orioles 49-77 (39%) @ Minnesota Twins 55-73 (43%)


J.

Guthrie, starting for Baltimore Orioles, has a FIP of 4.64 (#164 in

MLB), xFIP of 4.43 (#165 in MLB), and tERA of 5.29 (#178 in MLB), with a

BABIP of .285, LOB% of 68%, and E-F of -0.01. He has a K/BB ratio of

1.94, with a WHIP of 1.35, and opponent BA of .269. His batted-ball

peripherals are: LD%: 21%, GB%: 39%, FB%: 40% for a 0.99 GB/FB ratio,

and a HR/FB of 10%.


Slowey's first start this year.


Baltimore

Orioles have the #27 bullpen, #15 offense, and are rated #30 in

fielding. They have a road record of 20-42 (32%), ranked #29 in MLB and

have Won 2 in a row.


Minnesota Twins have the #30 bullpen, #26

offense, and are rated #13 in fielding. They have a home record of 28-35

(44%), ranked #26 in MLB and have Lost 3 in a row.




Odds: BAL +115 (47%) MIN -122 (55%) O/U = 9


Lean: none

=======================================


Chicago White Sox 63-64 (50%) @ LAA Angels 70-59 (54%)


Z.

Stewart, starting for Chicago White Sox, has a FIP of 4.34 (#139 in

MLB), xFIP of 4.08 (#115 in MLB), and tERA of 5.23 (#173 in MLB), with a

BABIP of .373, LOB% of 83%, and E-F of -0.65. He has a K/BB ratio of

1.88, with a WHIP of 1.67, and opponent BA of .342. His batted-ball

peripherals are: LD%: 21%, GB%: 53%, FB%: 26% for a 2.03 GB/FB ratio,

and a HR/FB of 14%.


J. Weaver, starting for LAA Angels, has a FIP

of 2.84 (#14 in MLB), xFIP of 3.62 (#55 in MLB), and tERA of 2.78 (#8

in MLB), with a BABIP of .25, LOB% of 83%, and E-F of -0.74. He has a

K/BB ratio of 3.76, with a WHIP of 0.97, and opponent BA of .205. His

batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 18%, GB%: 34%, FB%: 48% for a 0.7

GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 5%.


Chicago White Sox have the #8

bullpen, #17 offense, and are rated #16 in fielding. They have a road

record of 34-28 (55%), ranked #6 in MLB and have Lost 1 in a row.


LAA

Angels have the #24 bullpen, #21 offense, and are rated #3 in fielding.

They have a home record of 37-28 (57%), ranked #11 in MLB and have Won 5

in a row.




Odds: CHW +201 (33%) LAA -215 (68%) O/U = 7


Lean: none

=======================================

[BOBBYW]

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