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  #1  
Old 06-03-2009, 03:14 PM
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Going to keep a rolling thread here. For the next 90 days I will hopefully add to the winners this forum already provides day in and day out. Enough winners for those following to build a huge bankroll for the upcoming football season. I am looking at 200 units in the next 90 days just in MLB action. Laugh at it, play it, or just ignore it. Consider this an early x-mas present to this forum when it works out.

Since I am new here, all I would like in return is some positivity, whether this turns out over or under the predicted amount. They aren't just picks with a dollar amount, as I will always have a write-up to go along with it most of the time. There will be anywhere from 3-5 plays on most days. This will continue for 3 months watch it for a few weeks to see if it is actually legit, and yes it is straight from me, not a copy of someone else's stuff.

Hopefully the forum will enjoy this thread! Thank You!


JUNE 3,2009

$500 Angels/Jays UNDER 9

This game will likely cruise to the under. Last night these teams went over and considering the fact that they have played the under 13 of the last 17, it should make for a great call tonight. Weaver faces Janssen. Weaver has yet to face the Jays in Toronto, but at home he has made a name for himself vs. this club. Toronto has averaged about 3 runs per game when Weaver starts. Janssen is on the verge of making a name for himself after some quality outputs this year. He has allowed 3 ERs in each of his 2 starts with both being 6 innings and 7 innings respectively. In his career he has failed to allow a run to the Angels just yet. In 2 outings back in 2006, he pitched over 15 innings of scoreless baseball. I suspect he will get it done tonight in a 3-1 final.
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  #2  
Old 06-03-2009, 03:21 PM
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GL man!!
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  #3  
Old 06-03-2009, 03:55 PM
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thanks a bunch, hopefully this works out and helps a ton of people. gl to you!
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  #4  
Old 06-03-2009, 04:23 PM
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I like X-Mas

Good luck TPS
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  #5  
Old 06-03-2009, 06:01 PM
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GL tonight!! Looks like a winner to me. Love the write up!!
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  #6  
Old 06-03-2009, 06:04 PM
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Good luck ThePlatinumStandard!
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  #7  
Old 06-04-2009, 08:20 AM
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Here Also GF wow looking to get some clients for the underground tout service.

Last edited by BIGFELLA; 06-04-2009 at 08:32 AM.
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  #8  
Old 06-04-2009, 08:32 AM
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I'm sorry its not Tha Godfather anymore its ASWA AKA Aftermath or after the Storm C'mon just go under your name no big deal. No need to sneak around Bro and then you go under your famous line for all those tout names.
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  #9  
Old 06-04-2009, 08:33 AM
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I do not think that members here would appreciate that type of tout stuff!
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  #10  
Old 06-04-2009, 11:25 AM
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Yesterday: Angels/Jays Under pushed

Janssen hadn't allowed a run in 2 straight games vs. LA and gets tagged early.
Jesse Carlson had 2 and 1/3 relief vs. LAA previously, no runs allowed. Yesterday, 3 hits 1 Earned. Rolen's error would've been out number two setting up the Figgens K. 6-1 should've been the final but the push stings, it don't hurt.

June 4th

Between the Sox and Dodgers we are looking at a 75% win ratio meaning that we will win 3 of the next 4 of these selections.


$1000 Boston Red Sox -125
Boston is on fire right now, things are clicking, guys are starting to hit and drive in runs and that spells trouble for the AL. Detroit is being outscored and outplayed by Boston. I see this continuing today. Willis had a rough return this year but had 2 solid home starts to follow. He then fell off in his last start allowing 7 ERs. Is this a sign of games to come? I think the Sox will struggle against him a bit but have not faced him since 2006. Willis is not the same pitcher as he was then. Regardless, he will either pitch badly which will lead to a blow-out, or pitch well, but only go 5 innings. That is what my take on this game is. Wakefield has had good numbers vs. Det. Last year he went 13 innings in 2 starts allowing 1 ER, including a shutout. Play the road fave today!


$500 LA Dodgers -105
Looks like the Phills and Dodgers meet yet again. I would not put too much weight on Kershaw in his last two against Philly as he was on the road. He is better at home. Which brings me to Hamels, who has settled down this season, owns LA no matter where they play, but he has a 6+ ERA on the season on the road. The home team in this series last year was 11-2 during the regular season. LA is still serving payback for the playoff loss last year. Both starters have lost 5-3 games this year, in Philly. Look for Kershaw to outduel Hamels for the win tonight.

$300 Indians/Twins Under 9.5
I feel that the best total on the board is right in this game and here is why...Both Carmona and Baker have drastic changes in numbers comparing the Minnesota ballpark to the Cleveland park. Stats are like night and day. Baker in Cleveland, allowed 15 ERs, 28 inngs, last 5 starts. Baker at home vs. Cle, allowed 4 ERs, over 20 inngs, last 3. Carmona at home vs. Min, 13 ERs, 17.33 inngs, last 3. Carmona in Minny, 5 ERs in 22 innings in his last 3 there. Going by those drastic numbers they are both pitching in the right ballpark today. This one may get to 9 runs but should stay under that 9.5 for the win!
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  #11  
Old 06-05-2009, 01:59 PM
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Okay, in case anyone had questions, I will explain in more detail exactly how these selections are to be played. I have a database with 5 MLB angles with 16 sub angles all together. Based off of several years of history and stats, along with all around team statistics.

The highest platform play will read 10 units or $1000. This is the best scenario worth of plays. The other ratios will range anywhere from 1 unit to 6 or 7 units. The 6 and 7 unit plays are very rare and will only be seen once in a blue moon.

Totals will be above .500 for this segment and should add to the fund.
If playing for a smaller amount, obviously many will start small if following, I suggest breaking down the listed units to where you feel comfortable. Leave room for at least 3 big days worth of plays. Usually Mon/Tuesdays and Fridays are the biggest days of the week. I wouldn't just let it ride on any given night as it could put you out of playing for good. Best to maybe sit back and watch for a week or even just play the 10 unit ones to start building as they are the most solid.

As for the plays themselves, all totals are usually listed pitchers with most sportsbooks and that is how I usually play them. Sides are always action, regardless of starter, we are playing the team itself in that spot. All listed units are to win that amount. So alot of 10 unit plays will be risking a bit more to win the 10 units.

Four of the angles are based on previous statistics. It gives me a win pct, and units are based off of those numbers. For example: the 10 unit plays hit at roughly 70% consistantly on average over years of research in MLB. The worst angle actually shows an average of 54-44 yearly which isn't much but shows a profit of a near 50 units based on playing 300 pp. The other angle shows an 85-54 mark per season. This also includes some 70% plays.

Sure hope this helped. It is a lot of info but it is needed for those with questions.

Today's plays to follow shortly!
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  #12  
Old 06-06-2009, 12:50 PM
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End date/deadline: 8/31/09

The Standard: 200 units by the deadline

Yesterday: 4-3, +3.05 units

Current standing: 4.5 units
Units remaining: 195.5

JUNE 6th

$500 Cleveland/Chisox Over 9.5
Sowers has struggled mightily on the road and previously against the Chisox making this a good play for the over this afternoon. Sowers has a 12.60 ERA on the road this year, allowed 20 ER's in his last 4 road starts, and 18 ERs in his last 4 vs. Chicago. His last 3 of 4 outings vs. Sox were brutal, and I am banking that he will struggle again today. Floyd has started to pitch well but his last 3 vs. Cleveland have gone over the total. This is a rematch from a 9-7 game last season these starters were involved in. Between the starters and bullpens this one should reach double digits today.

$200 Seattle/Minnesota Over 7.5(Bookmaker.com/?cmpid=4437" target="_blank">Bookmaker)
Blackburn and Washburn have both pitched well recently. Both these teams are capable of hitting, and after a low output last night, I expect this one to reach 9 runs in the least. It is very do-able. Each starter should give up 3 a piece, setting up for a few late runs by either one or both clubs. The over is 10-4-1 in the last 15 meetings in Seattle.

$200 Mets/Washington Over 9
Even though the Nats are dead even just about with overs/unders on the season it is really taking a risk playing under the total. Even though both Maine and Lannan have shined at times vs. these line-ups they also have been struggling in this spot. Maine has struggled on the road this year and opponents are averaging 5 runs per game over his last 5 on road. Lannan has struggled in 2 of his last 3 vs. NY allowing 5 ERs in the 2 bad outings. He has allowed 4+ runs in 4 of his last 6 vs. NY. The Nats had a strong showing by their bullpen up until the 10th last night and I feel it won't go so smoothly tonight.

$200 Colorado/St. Louis Under 8.5
All signs point to an over in this one with Cook and Wellemeyer slated to start. Usually when a total looks to good to be true it is. The public will jump on the over with this low total but I feel it has a shot at the under tonight. I would assume Cook will go 6 or 7 and Wellemeyer at least 5. Here are some interesting trends that have formed for this games situation tonight. Under is 11-5-1 last 17 mtgs in STL. In Cards last 11 home gms under is 9-2. Wellemeyer is surprisingly 4-0 to the under in his last 4 as fave. Rocks are 12-3-2 to the under in their last 17 as a dog.
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  #13  
Old 06-07-2009, 07:46 AM
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The Standard: 200 units by the deadline

Yesterday: 0-4, -12.1 units

Current standing: -8.4 units
Units remaining: 208.4

Funny how I was on the losing end of all 4, with every starter having his best worst outing vs. opponent.
Sowers and Floyd pitched career bests vs. opponents.
Blackburn and Washburn did the same.
Maine had his career wordt vs. Wsh, but Lannan had his best start ever in his career still costing me an over.
Lastly, the Rockies have Cook pitch his best vs. STL while Wellemeyer pitched his worst and count em, on 3 occasions the Rockies homered with 2 outs in that one.

Need to bounce back big today but I am keeping it light.

JUNE 7th

$300 Col/StL UNDER 8.5
After Colorado has had an output of massive run support, I feel as though today they will be stifled by one Joel Pineiro. Pineiro has shut the door on many teams this season at home with a 2.05 ERA there. He did allow 3 in Colorado last year but has not faced them at home this year. Pineiro has gone 30 innings+ over his last 4 home starts allowing just 7 ERs. He is coming off a not so good performance so look for the bounceback here. Jiminez counters for Colorado who has somehow gotten the good pitching needed to win games. Jiminez faced the Cards twice last year allowing 6 ERs over 10 innings. He should keep STL limited while Pineiro does the rest to get the Cards on the board for an under in this series.

$250 TB/NYY UNDER 9.5
We find Garza meeting Joba C. today in the early of the 3 picks. Joba has never faced TB but as the season has gone on he looks more and more comfortable. In the home start vs. Cle back in April he allowed 5 in less than 5. His next he went over 5 allowing just 4 and his most recent start of quality was a 6 inning, 2 ER outing before leaving his last home start in the 1st inning. Even with the bugs and birds in Cleveland, in his last start, he pitched 8 innings allowing 2. Garza did shut the door on the Yanks this season in a 7 inning, 2 ER performance so look for him to help keep this one under. Surprisingly the Rays have gone 6-0-1 under vs. a righty with a WHIP of 1.30+. Scott Barry will ump the plate today and 20 of his last 28 behind plate have gone under.

$200 San Diego +150
The thing I like about this one is that the Pads come off the win last night and send Josh Geer to the hill to face Danny Haren. Pads have taken the last 7 of 10 meetings between these clubs. Geer is only averaging 2 ERs on home field in his last 5 home starts. He is fighting to stay in the rotation as he has come on in relief a couple times this season. Look for him to have a good performance against an Arizona team in the - money on the year, and a team struggling for run support. Haren would need to pitch better than he has previously against SD to get his team the W. Haren also is averaging 2 ERs allowed over his last 5 but has not gotten support from his pen as opponents have finished with 4 runs on average in those 5 games. Especially his last 2 outings, 15 total runs allowed. Pads by 1.
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  #14  
Old 06-08-2009, 12:08 PM
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End date/deadline: 8/31/09

The Standard: 200 units by the deadline

Yesterday: 1-2, -2.8 units

Current standing: -14.25 units
Units remaining: 214.25

All statistics are updated thru Sundays games. The 7 play card on 6/5 didn't go through for some reson so I removed the 3.05 unit profit from it and will do a better job of making sure posts get posted. Thank You!


June 8th

$1000 (10units)St. Louis -120
$100 (ONLY 1 UNIT)Colorado/St. Louis UNDER 9
The Cardinals have looked as bad as they could have over the last few gms vs. Col. Gm 1 was a blowout, and gms 2-3 were shaping up to be good until late inning rallies in both by Colorado. Today needs to be a different story for St. Louis. They will head to the road after today and I feel they will pick up the final home win this afternoon. Thompson could be the very best that Colorado will have faced in this series. He did not allow a run in nearly 7 innings last season vs. Col, in a 3-0 win. He has only made 1 start this year and allowed 2 ERs over 5 inngs. Marquis has had rough spots vs. STL. In his recent 3 starts he allowed 5,1,6,and 3. Look for the Cards to get some runs up today as Colorado will struggle to score in a game that should see 7 runs max.

$200 Arz/SD UNDER 7.5
After yesterdays two game play and over 6 hours, look for these teams to be completely drained tonight in the finale of this 4 game series. Tonight, Garland will face Peavy, and look for both starters to take advantage. Garland shutout SD over 7 innings this season in Petco. He has only allowed 7 ERs in his most recent 5 outings on the road. Peavy has dominated Arizona in the past, allowing only 2 ERs in each of his last 3 vs. Arz at home and 7 ERs in his last 5 home starts against them. He started to look sharp in his 3 previous home starts up until the Phillies game where he allowed 4 ERs. Look for him to bounce back and for both starters to be at their best as they could be playing for a near future new contract. Zona 2-1.

$300 Detroit/Chisox UNDER 10 GAME 2 (Only if game 1 goes over 9.5)
This play is something I base off of a double header result in game 1. Game 2 is slated to be Bonderman vs. Contreras. If game 1 goes over the total of 9.5, then we will have a play on the under in game 2 which is currently set at 10 runs. That number may change by the time we can have the criteria for a play on game 2 or not, so this game 2 will be graded by the closing line at a majority of sportsbooks. Bonderman makes his first start in over a year and has hit unders in his last 4 in Chicago. Contreras should keep the run scoring low enough for the bullpen session late in this one. Sox pen has been pretty dominant of late and I see that continuing in this series. Play under only if game 1 goes over 9.5 runs.
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  #15  
Old 06-09-2009, 05:16 PM
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The Standard: 200 units by the deadline

Yesterday: 1-2, -13.20 units

Current standing: -27.45 units
Units remaining: 227.45

JUNE 9th

$500 Seattle +120
Give me Vargas over Bergeson in this ballpark. This is a re-match from last week where Seattle hung on to win 3-2. Vargas has allowed just 7 ERs on the season in 5 starts. Included in that just 3 ERs in 2 road starts this season. Opponents are averaging less than 3 runs per game in Vargas starts. Baltimore has struggled for runs and wins. They are a likely small home fave here, but do not warrant a play. They have struggled. Bergeson has pitched decent. He has a 4.60 ERA at home and has allowed 15 ERs in his last 5 home starts. The total is set at a 9 and up to 9.5, so I assume oddsmakers feel for one starter to get tagged especially after a 3-2 contest last week. Look for Seattle to open this one up at some point and win it by a couple.

$300 LAA/TB UNDER 8
With Shields and Weaver as the starters tonight, I expect minimal scoring in this one. Especially since Shields has pretty much dominated LA at home over the course of his last several starts. LA has managed just a handful of runs in Tampa off Shields and relief so look for LA to struggle tonight. Weaver has allowed just 1 ER in 5 of his last 6 starts in total, 2 of those coming on the road out of 3 games. This one should see 5-6 in total tonight.
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