((((( Rookieees 20** Exclusive play and Write~Up TB/ATL )))))

THE_ROOKIEEE · #1 06-16-2010, 06:12 AM

Well fellas this will be my biggest play of the first half... You can consider this in those game of the year kinda plays, which is the very reason for this long write up... There are few games in every season in which all the moons and baseball stars align up to form something special... I think we have one of those today with the atlanta braves

both division leaders rays and braves are at the top of the standings for one reason ... Their play on the road.... First of all let me begin by saying what everyone knows, the tampa bay rays are hands down the best road team at 22-8... Theres no one even close ... But they are only 4-3 in their last 7 roadies including last night win here in atlanta... You might be saying how can the braves be their for that reason.... Well for a team that has played the most games on the road (39) and to be almost .500 (18-21) is a big accomplishment, especially with their home record 19-7 which is 2nd best only to the yankees... With the fewest home games played this season they were 9-1 in their last 10 at home before last nights game... Maybe last nights game reflected the long 11 game road trip and going up against david price... Or maybe it was atlantas 35 year old or something pitcher who couldnt get loose enough.... Whatever the case, i know the braves will toss last nights game and will be ready to play tonight...

Believe it or not, both teams offenses are in full gear as shown below but ill side with atlantas offense due in partly to tampa playing in the launch pad in toronto and last nights game against the old man

june stats

runs ~ tb 77 // atl 68
total bases ~ tb 203 // atl 204
batting ave ~ tb .287 // atl .285

last 7 games

runs ~ tb 38 // atl 27
total bases ~ tb 109 // atl 92
batting ave ~ tb .300 // atl .292

this game is going to cash for us not because of the offense but the pitching each team has ...

Our pitcher we have on the mound is tommy hanson ...he hasn’t lost a start since 5/15 and comes into todays game with an era of 2.68 over his last 4 outings...with just 7 earned runs in his last 24 innings of work he is in top caliper form and should respond again off his 4 hit /2 er/ 10k performance in 5 1/3 innings last week against the diamondbacks... He is imo the braves future and despite having a modest 2-2 home season record with a 5.40 era, he is actually better than what those numbers state... On 5/15 and 5/20 he had b2b games at home in which imo were just frustration starts...he lost the 5/15 game with no run support after striking out 10 in that game and in the next start 5/20 he was just crushed due in part to what i believe happened in the prior start... Since then he has responded in 4 consecutive starts lowering his era to 3.69 from the 4.18

his team is 10-3 in all all his starts this year, he has a career 5-0 record in june (2.68) 10-3 in the 1st half of the season (3.39) and is lifetime 9-4 at home.... Not to mention that he is one of those pitchers that wins with rest... He is lifetime 9-3 with 5 days rest (3-0 this season) and to make it more interesting is that when he is at home with 5 days rest ~~ he is 5-1 lifetime

another aspect to this game is 9 year service umpire paul emmel behind the plate tonight, a favorable kind of ump last season to the braves (4-1) in which the average margin a victory was 4.8 runs ~~ braves (7.4 rpg) opponents (2.6 rpg)... Im more statistical of a pitchers stats with an umpire than a umpire stats with a team, therefore you need to know that paul emmel has seen tommy hanson more than any other umpire in tommys career...2 starts / 15 innings , 53 batters, and given 14 strikeouts...0.67 whip in those games while opponents batted only .176 with just one extra base hit ...a solo hr

tommy will be goIng against tampa bays worst starter in wade davis... He came to the show as a september call up last season and finished out the year 2-2 with a 3.73... He started this season in the same fashion going 2-1 with 3.68 era for the month of april.... But since then his era has sprung to 4.91 going 3-5 in may and june.... Out of all the youngsters that are in the bigs ,this kid imo is towards the bottom... His team is 9-9 lifetime in his career 18 starts and this season he is only getting 4.67 run support per a game.... Compared to the 6.14 tommy gets from his team these two pitchers are like apples and oranges

this season atlanta has done exceptionally well in the 2nd game of their series, going 15-6... They are the ninth best team batting at home with .279 but what they are doing thats making them win is their pitching....they as a team at home carry a 3.31 era (8th mlb), 1.17 whip (4th mlb), opponents bat .232 (5th mlb), opp obp .297 (5th mlb) not to mention that atlanta gives their starting pitchers a major league leading at home run support .61 per 9 innings

compare the pitching and you will see why i am riding and hopefully you as well these braves to victory tonight....

june pitching stats

braves
era 3.31
opp bat ave .246
opp total bases 177

rays
era 4.82
opp bat ave .287
opp total bases 196

last 7 games

braves
era 3.75
opp bat ave .226
opp total bases 59

rays
era 4.83
opp bat ave .310
opp total bases 95

best of luck on all your plays today and lets cash this big game with the rookieee

20***** Atlanta Braves -134

3**** Atlanta Braves -1.5 (+160)