(((((( ROOKIEES EXCLUSIVE PLAYS !!! (9-1) and TRENDS for 7/4/10 )))))

THE_ROOKIEEE · #1 07-04-2010, 02:05 AM

Here are just a few trends to help with this mlb action on firework day.... I have researched the last 4 years for this day and have come up with this to aid in any your decisions

may everyone have a safe holiday

american league 28 gms played

favorites won 16 times
dogs won 12 times

home team 20-8
road team 8-20

broken down goes like this

home favorites won 13 times ~ going 9x over to 4 unders
road favorites won 3 times ~ going 2x over to 1 under

home dogs won 7 times ~ going 5x over to 2 unders
road dogs won 5 times ~ going 2 x over to 3 unders

national league 32 gms played

favorites won 21 times
dogs won 11 times

home team 23-9
road team 9-23

broken down goes like this

home favorites won 16 times ~ even on totals 8-8 (3-7 last 3yrs)
road favorites won 5 times ~ going 4x over to 1 under

home dogs won 7 times ~ going 2x over to 5 unders
road dogs won 4 times ~ even on totals 2-2

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NOW TODAY I HAVE A DOUBLE EXCLUSIVE PLAY AND A SINGLE EXCLUSIVE PLAY... THESE PLAYS HAVE GONE 9-1 FOR ME THIS SEASON... LETS HOPE THE STREAK CONTINUES

10**** EXCLUSIVE PLAY #11 ( PHILLIES -130)

FELLAS YOU KNOW THIS DAY IS ABOUT BARBECUING, GRILLING AND WATCHING THOSE FIREWORKS LIGHT THE SKY.... BUT THIS DAY IS ALSO ABOUT THE PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES AS WELL.... REASON I SAY THIS IS THAT IF YOU DIDNT KNOW ABOUT THE PHILLIES COME 4TH OF JULY, THEN YOU HAVE BEEN MISSING OUT ON SOME SWEET TREND MONEY.... THE PHILLIES HAVE WON 10 OUT OF THEIR LAST 12 INCLUDING 6 STRAIGHT 4TH OF JULY GAMES... AND IF NOT FOR TWO 1 RUN LOSSES IN 02-03 THAT WOULD BE 12 CONSECUTIVE DATING BACK TO 1998... IN FACT IF IT WERE NOT FOR THEM MID 90'S GARBAGE COACHED (JIM FREGOSI) TEAMS, THIS TREND WOULD BE AMAZING.... STILL THEY WENT 5-3 FROM 1990-1997 WHICH OVERALL IS 15-5 THE LAST 20 YEARS.... ON TO TODAY

JOE BLANTON STARTS AND TRIES TO CONTINUE THE TREND AGAINST A PIRATE TEAM WHOM HE HAS 3 STARTS AGAINST... IN THOSE 3 STARTS HE HAS GIVEN UP ONLY 11 HITS / 4 EARNED RUNS IN 20 1/3 INNINGS OF WORK FOR A 1.77 ERA AND A WHIP OF 0.79.... HE FACED THIS PIRATE TEAM ABOUT THE SAME TIME LAST SEASON ON JULY 10TH AND THREW 4 HIT BALL AGAINST HALF THE LINEUP THAT STARTED LAST NIGHT... WE CAN ALSO THROW IN THE MIX THAT THE PHILLIES HAVE WON 7 OUT OF HIS LAST 8 JULY STARTS DATING BACK TO LAST SEASON AND LAST BUT NOT LEAST...PITTSBURG HITTERS ARE HITTING A MEASLY .178 LIFETIME AGAINST HIM....

NOW THE PHILLIES OFFENSE HAVE BEEN HAVING A HARD TIME AT THE PLATE THESE PAST 7 DAYS ~ BATTING .239 WITH 90 TOTAL BASES BUT THEY HAVE SCORED 29 RUNS IN THAT SPAN.... BUT UP AGAINST PITTSBURGS PAST 7 GAMES, THERES NO COMPARISON.(.192 AVE) 55 TOTAL BASES AND ONLY 12 RUNS SCORED.... SURE THE PIRATES MAY HAVE A DECENT UMPIRE PHIL CUZZI THAT FAVORS HOME TEAMS BUT WHEN A PITCHER IS ONLY 5-11 LIFETIME IN HIS OWN PARK, THAT TELLS A LOT.... I DONT CARE IF HE IS 2-0 THIS SEASON AT HOME...FOR A PITCHER TO HAVE 40 STARTS AND ONLY 11 WINS IS PATHETIC, ESPECIALLY AFTER THE PHILLIES OFFENSE JUST ROCKED PITTSBURGS BEST PITCHER THIS SEASON P.MALHOM FOR 7 EARNED RUNS IN 3 INNINGS LAST NIGHT......

THIS SEEMS TOO GOOD TO BE TRUE..... BUT ILL RISK AN EXCLUSIVE PLAY ON IT, AND SO SHOULD YOU !!!!!

5**** EXCLUSIVE PLAY #12 ~~ (CINCY REDS +115)

SINCE MAY 19TH AFTER THE CUBBIES WON 4 IN A ROW THEY HAVE ONLY WON BACK TO BACK GAMES TWICE AND TODAYS PITCHER TED LILLY WASNT IN EITHER OF THOSE MINI STREAKS.... ILL GIVE CREDIT TO HIS TEAM WINNING 3 OF HIS LAST 4 STARTS BUT AGAINST PITTSBURG AND SEATTLE IN THEIR LAST.... PLEASE GIVE ME A BREAK .... JUST LIKE THE 4TH OF JULY TREND WITH PHILLY THE CUBBIES ARE COMPLETE OPPOSITES...THEY ARE 2-9 THEIR LAST 11 GAMES ON 4TH OF JULY, BUT WE DONT NEED TO LOOK AT PAST HISTORY WITH THESE CUBS AS WE ALL KNOW HOW TERRIBLE THEY ARE RIGHT NOW.... I PICKED A GOOD NIGHT LAST NIGHT WITH THEM TO CATCH A WIN, BUT FOR THEM TO WIN 2 STRAIGHT AVERAGING ONLY 3.5 FOR JUNE AND 2.2 OVER LAST 7 GAMES IS NEXT TO IMPOSSIBLE.... CINCY LINEUP BATS .270 AGAINST LILLY AND HE HAS A 2-6 LIFETIME RECORD AGAINST THEM....

CINCY ON THE OTHER HAND HAS MANAGED TO SCORE A MLB BEST 41 RUNS OVER THE LAST 7 WITH 108 TOTAL BASES WHICH IS QUITE SOME DISTANCE TO THE CUBS 16 RUNS AND 75 TOTAL BASES... NOW ROOKIE MIKE LEAKE IS NOTHING TO BRAG ABOUT WHEN HE IS ON THE MOUND, BUT I CAN SAY ONE THING AND ONE THING THAT CONVINCED ME.... IN HIS PAST 5 STARTS THE REDS HAVE GIVEN HIM A RUN SUPPORT OF AT LEAST 5 RUNS PER A GAME.... WHICH ILL TAKE ANYDAY OVER THIS CUBBIE TEAM RIGHT NOW

I MAY HAVE AN AFTERNOON GAME THAT IM LOOKING AT... BUT LETS CASH THESE FIRST....

BEST OF LUCK ON ALL YOUR PLAYS

10* EXCLUSIVE PLAY ~~~ PHILLIES -130
5*EXCLUSIVE PLAY ~~~ REDS +115