Saturday's Plays--A Day/Night Combo !!

Keith · #1 04-25-2009, 09:15 AM

first the re-cap. Lost with over in the Cubs/Cards last night, bringing the overall record to 2-4 (-$255). I intend to get even today with a day/night combo of winners. Let's get to it.

For the day, I like a rare (for me at least) side play. I am playing the Tampa Rays -130 to the A's. Here's why: The Rays start Matt Garza. He is 1-1 on the year with a 4.58 ERA, but his WHIP is only 1.27 and his batting average against is only .214. In his career against the A's he is 0-1 with a 1.59 ERA. He pitches better on the road (3.93 ERA over the past 3 years) than he does in Tampa (4.12 ERA). The A's bat only .246 against righties (2nd worst in the AL), they bat only .216 at home (worst in the AL), and they bat only .162 in day games (again worst in the AL). Oh yeah, the A's are also batting an AL-worst .190 over the past 7 days.

The A's start lefty Dallas Braden. Seemingly good numbers (1-2 with a 2.79 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP), but his batting average against is .263. In his career against the Rays he is 1-1 with a 5.23 ERA and a .289 batting average against. For his career at McAffee he is 2-7 with an ERA of over 5.00. For his entire career, his ERA is 5.12 and his batting average against is .291. In day games for his career he is 2-8 with a 6.89 ERA and a .302 batting average against. The Rays bat .268 against lefties, they bat .278 on the road, and they are batting .270 over the past 7 days.

The Rays take it to the A's this afternoon.

Saturday's day play is the Tampa Rays -130.

At night, I am going with the over 11.5 in the Orioles/Rangers. Last night's game between the two did not go over, but these teams have been over machines this year. Texas is 11-4 over on the year and Baltimore is 12-5 over.

The Rangers start righty Scott Feldman. The O's, who bat .284 at Camden, are batting .273 against righties this year. As for Feldman, the Rangers would be better off starting Marty Feldman ("it's pronounced Eye-gor"). He is 0-0 on the year with a 12.15 ERA, a 2.25 WHIP and a batting average against of .355. He is 0-0 against the O's this year, but with a 10.13 ERA and a .333 batting average against. For the last 3 years when pitching at Camden, his ERA is "only" 4.15, but his batting average against is .344.

Meanwhile, the O's start lefty Mark Hendrickson. The Rangers bat a rock-solid .311 against lefties. Hendrickson seemingly has good numbers this year, 1-2 with a 3.86 ERA, but let's dig deeper. His WHIP is an astronomical 1.93 and his batting average against is .295. Against the Rangers this year his ERA is 4.91 and his batting average against is .350. For his career against Texas he is 1-3 with an 8.50 ERA and a 1.94 WHIP. Over the past 3 years, he is 0-1 against Texas with a 10.13 ERA and a .304 batting average against.

My friends, this total was set at 11.5 for a reason. This is an 8-6 game.

Saturday's night play is over 11.5 in the Orioles/Rangers.

vikesfan · #2 04-25-2009, 09:22 AM

Good Luck Keith Win Them Both.

PHILLYBIRDS20 · #3 04-25-2009, 09:31 AM

bol keeeef

Keith · #4 04-25-2009, 09:32 AM

thanks guys.

RudyNYC27 · #5 04-25-2009, 09:39 AM

GL, partner...RUDY is with you on the Tex/Balt OVER (they can't make that total high enough for the likes of us) but went with UNDER in Oakland...RUDY sees the Rays winning 4-1 or so but RUDY is always concerned that the Rays bats will be scared off by a southpaw.

Nonetheless, RUDY thinks you have two winners.

GL and thanks,
RUDY

fat-freddie · #6 04-25-2009, 09:44 AM

Man I was hoping you would have a play on that Tex/Balt. game

Lets cash both these bad boys and get it going again friend. Good luck on your double today Keith. Thanks for the info on that TB/Oak game !!!!!!!! Good stuff..........

Fats.............................................. ...........