((((( St.louis Vs New York Early Write Up With The Rookieee)))))

THE_ROOKIEEE · #1 06-25-2009, 11:59 AM

After Shutting Out The Cardinals Last Night With A Big Offense Output Of 16 Hits And 11 Runs The Mets Look To Johan Santana Who Is 1-2 In His Last 3 Games Sporting A Can You Believe 8.31 Era .... Yeah But Now He Is Home To Win The Finale... Its A Good Thing That He Is Going Back Home Where He Is 5-2 On The Season With A 2.18 Era While Opponents Are Batting .269.....

He Will Face Off With Chris Carpenter Who Is 5-1 With A 1.51 Era And A Road Record Of 2-1 With A 2.15 Era On The Road While Holding Opponents Batting Average To .229 .... He Hasnt Thrown More Than 3 Runs All Season And Has Been Solid All Year.....

The Cardinals Are 18-10 In The Last 28 And Winners 4 Of Their Last 5off A Shutout Loss.... On The Road They Are 10-5 After A Shutout While Carpenter Has Been In This Situation 4 Times And Has A 2-2 Record With One Of Those Wins Coming In The Nl Champonship Series On 10/13/06....

Lots Of Things Pointing To The Cardinals As They Seem Like The Play In This Situation, But What I Dont Like Is That Carpenter Hasnt Really Throw Against A Team When They Are Hitting ...after Last Nights Hitting I Feel The Mets Are The Play Here..... Carpenter Has Found Some Good Spots As His Era Suggests But With Only 3.26 Run Support ((which I Might Add Is Well Below Past Years Low From 4.85 '07 / 4.76 08')) ..... On The Other Hand Johan Is Also On The Short End Of The Stick This Season Of Getting Runs Behind Him With Only 3.27.... His Run Support In 2007 ( 3.22 ) While 07 Was A Monster Year At 4.44 Run Supprt ......

I Just Have To Back The Mets But Im Really Loving This Over More....i Like The Fact That Off A Shutout The Cards Have Gone Over 5 Straight Times And Have Gone Over 3 Straight Times On The Road... Over Is 11-4-1 In The Mets Last 16 With Total Set At 7-8.5 And Carpenter In Road Starts Off A Shutout Has Gone Over 3 Out Of 4 Times ... With How His Soft Schedule Imo And Over A 100 Pitches Throw In His Last Outing I Think The Mets Will Get To Him And Make This 7 Runs Pretty Easy....

With An Umpire Who Loves To Call Cardinals Games Over 7-2-1 And The Hitting Of The Mets Offense I Believe This Game Will Fly Over The Total Once Again With The Mets Winning

mets 6
Cardinals 3

So My Plays Will Be

10**** Over 6.5 (-110)

5*** Mets (+105)

2*** Alt R/l Mets -1.5