((( Sunday Night Baseball Tampa Bay Vs Texas Write Up )))

THE_ROOKIEEE · #1 07-05-2009, 04:49 PM

TAMPA BAY RAYS VS. TEXAS RANGERS

Tonights game is one of those that look so good yet there are negative loopholes for every positive statistic....

here are a few stats for game time

batting against righties

tb .272 // tex .259

batting away // home

tb .268 averaging 5.4 rpg
tex .270 averaging 5.1 rpg

batting night games

tb .281 averaging 5.9 rpg
tex .259 avering 5.1 rpg

tonight pitching match-up last 3 starts

garza 2-1 / 2.70 era .304 obp
feldman 1-1 / 4.24 era .304 obp

at first glance this should be by stats alone this should be over the total play, especially by how texas has lit the board winning 4 straight and making 3 out of their last 4 over the total..... In those 4 games they have scored 33 runs on 42 hits..... to add to this over thought, both temas pitcher get run supprt as garzas gets 4.29 ropg and feldman 4.9.... with this being the last road game for tampa bay wouldnt it seem like they would want to leave here with something positive.....especially knowing that a loss here would sweep them for just the second time this season.. probably the reason they are favorites right now......

rookieees final thought :

there is a lot of questions to what will happen in this game so im going to lean with what is going on right now for both teams with a couple of tidbits that connect for me...... i am going to side with the rangers to win this game and go under the total...

both teams are 7-3 over their last 10 games and believe it or not both of these team are suppose to challenge for the wild card spot... but thats a while from now so over the last 7 days (6games each) both teams have really been struggling at the plate with tampa batting just .223 averaging 2.8 rpg // and texas batting .222 but averaging 4.3 rpg.... and most of that was with the angels...but if you look at what the angels have done lately...no pitching all offense then that 4.3 is a little streatched....... career wise matt garza has his trouble against rangers ian kinsler and david murphy but tonight he catches both of them in a combined 7 for 43 (.163) batting slump...not to mention both pitchers had respectable starts last year against their opponents... you throw in the fact that both pitchers recent 3 starts combined era is under 7.5 and you have what i would have to say some big value in this under tonight..... the reason you have to take texas is that they are the better team coming in tonight ~~~ they have averaged 1.5 more runs than tb in their last 6 games, they have batted .301 in july averaging 8 runs compared to tb batting in july of .165 averaging 1.6..... not to mantion that texas is the 4th best home team in their division at 27-17 while tampa is mid pack away with a 18-25 record

SEEMS GOOD ENOUGH FOR ME TO PLAY IT !!!!

10****** under 9.5 even

4**** texas +120

2*** parlay tex/under 9.5

JUST FOR YOUR INFO ..... THE BIG PLAYS HAVE BEEN FALLING!!!!!

THE_ROOKIEEE · #2 07-05-2009, 05:15 PM

I FORGOT ....

TB GARZA FACED PHILLY AT HOME AND ON THE ROAD TOR,COL

FELDMAN FACED HOME VS LAA, @ SF, @ ARI

GARZA GET NO HELP FROM HIS TEAM ON THE ROAD AND I THINK THAT FELDMAN JUST IS THE BETTER PITCHER TODAY

HATE THIS SITE BUT IT SAYS

GARZA is 3-1 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 1.98 and a WHIP of 0.842.
His team's record is 3-1 (+1.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-4. (-4.2 units)

JUST ANOTHER STAT TOWARDS THE UNDER...ESPECIALLY IF I THINK THAT FELDMAN IS THE BETTER PITCHER